Precursor: 34th Spirit Awards (2018)

Finally earning its due, If Beale Street Could Talk took home every award for which it was nominated, though even the Spirit Awards didn’t nominate it everywhere it should have. Meanwhile, all the expected winners in the acting categories won.

Award Tallies

(3) If Beale Street Could Talk
(2) Can You Ever Forgive Me?

The Awards

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Trailer Watch: Pet Sematary (2019) Updated

New Trailer (#2) / New Posters (#3-#5)

Pet Sematary, updated

Preview Link: CLICK HERE for all of the new content as well as the original.

Film Preview: We Are the Heat (2019)

Page Revisions:

(February 17, 2019) Original

Release Date:

February 26, 2019

Synopsis:

From IMDb: “In Buenaventura-Colombia, Harvey and his three friends are doomed to a life of poverty and uncertainty. While attempting to escape their reality, they use music and urban dance to overcome and defy their violent destiny.”

Poster Rating: –


Review: There was no poster immediately available for my review. Should one become available in the future, this section will be updated.

Trailer Rating: C+

SEE ALL TRAILERS BELOW
Review: This Colombian film takes us deep into the heart of street dancing and violence in a way that feels both fresh and familiar with the familiar outweighing the fresh.

Oscar Prospects:

None.

Trailer #1

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Precursor: 39th Golden Raspberry Awards (2018)

The worst of the year have been announced for the 39th Golden Raspberry awards. There aren’t any real surprises here. Plenty of digs at Holmes & Watson and Donald Trump.

Award Tallies

(4) Holmes & Watson
(3) Fahrenheit 11/9
(2) Death of a Nation

The Awards

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This Day in Oscar History: February 23 (2019)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Ceremonies

Oscar Nominations

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Precursor: 56th Publicists Guild Awards (2018)

The ICG Publists Guild doesn’t have anything remotely significant in terms of Oscar predictability and, of these films, four of them are fringe contenders that could be nominated, but definitely not all of them will. Doubtful that any of them would even win.

The Awards

Maxwell Weinberg Publicist Showmanship Motion Picture

Crazy Rich Asians

Best Unit Still Photography for Motion Pictures

Murray Close

Les Mason Award, the highest honor publicists can bestow on one of their own

Ernie Malik

Press Award

Justin Chang

International Media Award

Jami Philbrick

Henri Bollinger Award

Henri Bollinger

International Cinematographers Guild Publicists Data

Year Founded: 1937
First Awards: 1964 (56)

Film Preview: Ash Is Purest White (2019)

Page Revisions:

(February 17, 2019) Original

Release Date:

March 15, 2019

Synopsis:

From IMDb: “A story of violent love within a time frame spanning from 2001 to 2017.”

Poster Rating: –


Review: There was no poster immediately available for my review. Should one become available in the future, this section will be updated.

Trailer Rating: C+

SEE ALL TRAILERS BELOW
Review: The trailer does its best to suggest the film is an artistic exploration of love and loss, but never ignites passion in the viewer making them want to see the film before all others.

Oscar Prospects:

None.

Trailer #1

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Film Preview: Stray (2019)

Page Revisions:

(February 17, 2019) Original

Release Date:

March 1, 2019

Synopsis:

From IMDb: “An orphaned teenager forms an unlikely friendship with a detective. Together they investigate her mother’s murder, and uncover the supernatural force that proves to be a threat to her family.”

Poster Rating: B-

SEE ALL POSTERS BELOW
Review: The design has an interesting structure and uses colors quite effectively, though it’s a bit lackluster in terms of content and matte coloration.

Trailer Rating: C+

SEE ALL TRAILERS BELOW
Review: What exactly is this film about? The trailer never quite locks onto an idea and runs with it. It tries to create suspense and superhero familiarity, but always feels like it’s just reaching for an idea and missing.

Oscar Prospects:

None.

Trailer #1

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Oscar in Box Office History (Week 8, 2019)

Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Animated Feature.

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The NEW Friday Face-Off #291

We’re nearing completion on this initial batch of Friday Face-Offs. We’ll finish out the losers and winners brackets and once it’s all done, we’ll highlight the full winners in each category. Once that’s done, we’ll try and do a better job of facing things off for a new and more comprehensive go-round.

Here are this week’s face-offs.

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2018 Oscar Winner Predictions: FINAL

And here we are at the end of the road. Oscar Season 2018 ends this weekend and we have our final predictions to present to you. Before we get into the meat of the predictions, here are some introductions written by our contributors. After you finish reading our introductions, head into the predictions and see where we stand and how you compare.

Wesley Lovell: Compared to the low suspense year that was 2016 (which ended up with one major suspenseful conclusion) and 2017’s back-and-forth races, 2018 has been comparatively a nail-biter. Even with several major categories locking into winners. Many categories, though, seem to be up in the air still, or at least seem like anyone could win even if a frontrunner is almost certain. In several races, I could have swapped first and second (and even third or fourth) place finishers with one another and still felt I had a solid prediction set. I’ve spent a lot of time writing about these categories. If you want to read my thoughts in more detail, take a look at my article Oscar Guy’s Final Thoughts to know more about what I see as this year’s best bets, runners-up, and my personal opinions.
Peter J. Patrick: I can’t recall a year in which I had no clear idea of what would win Best Picture while at the same time being sure of most of the other categories. If that’s not a good reason to stay awake until the last envelope is opened Sunday night, I don’t know what is.
Tripp Burton: The guilds have all awarded a different film this year, and things are more up in the air than any year I can remember. The show might be a disaster this year, but we are sure in for a lot of surprises, mostly because there aren’t a lot of consensus predictions going on. I could get half of these wrong and not be surprised!
Thomas La Tourrette: Having seen all but three of the nominees, it is time to put my predictions to rest. While some categories are easy, there are several including best picture, that are proving to be bears this year. Editing, documentary feature, sound mixing and editing, and costume and production design are all categories that could go one way or another. It keeps it both interesting, but also difficult. I am still second guessing some of my choices even as I get ready to send this. It has been a decent year for films, though not an exceptional one, but there are still lots of good choices in most categories. I just found that I liked more movies in 2017 than I did in 2018. I have never been on the Roma bandwagon, and I still do not know why it is the frontrunner in many categories. And many will not agree with me, but I thought Black Panther was just another Marvel film. Many of the other best picture nominees were enjoyable, but not what I would consider worthy of winning. Of the eight nominees, BlacKkKlansman and Green Book are probably my favorites, with BlacKkKlansman being the better made film. Though I doubt it could win. No film will truly dominate this year’s awards, which probably makes it harder to predict. But here are my predictions and I will call it good, though I may change my mind on a couple before Sunday night.
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2018 Precursor Predictions: Spirit Awards

And here we have the final precursor of the 2018 Oscar season. The Spirit Awards are often the first and always the last precursor (the Razzie awards are too, but they don’t precurse anything). While we always look at how they could influence the Oscars (after all, five of the last seven winners have also won the Best Picture Oscar), this year’s list seems to be surprisingly bereft of major Oscar players. The Best Feature slate doesn’t have a single Best Picture nominee on it, the first time in a decade that’s happened (2008 was the last time and before that was 2002 and 2001). We won’t know the winners until the night before the Oscars and the overlap is minimal, so the end results won’t be terribly instructive.

SPIRIT AWARDS

Best Feature

Eighth Grade (Tripp, RU:Thomas)
First Reformed (RU:Wesley)
If Beale Street Could Talk (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Leave No Trace (Peter)
You Were Never Really Here

Wesley Lovell: It’s hard to say which of these films will win. While If Beale Street Could Talk came the closest to an Oscar nomination for Best Picture and is the only film of these to earn more than one Oscar nomination (First Reformed is the only other one with a single nomination), so it should be leading. However, all of them have been incredibly well received this season and any of them could win.
Peter J. Patrick: With no Oscar nominees in the running this year, this could go to any of the nominees, but they really like Debra Granik’s films at the Spirits, so I see her Leave No Trace taking it over former winner Barry Jenkins’ If Beale Street Could Talk.
Tripp Burton: With no Oscar Best Picture nominee in this bunch, this is a real free-for-all category this year. Beale Street seems like the safest contender here, but Eighth Grade keeps surprising us with guild wins and could win an upset here.
Thomas LaTourette: If Beale Street Could Talk was probably close to an Oscar nomination, so it seems the likely winner.

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The Rundown 2018: Picture

For our twentieth Rundown article, we look at the final category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Picture as well as general commentary about the race.
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91st Oscars: The Polls – Best Picture

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2018 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Picture

Which Oscar nominee for Best Picture is best?

View Results

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This Day in Oscar History: February 22 (2019)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Ceremonies

Oscar Nominations

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