Precursor: 22nd Online Film & Television Awards (2017)

The Online Film & Television Association has announced its 2017 awards winners. While most of the winners match what a lot of people are thinking are the Oscar frontrunners, they’ve managed to push forward a couple of ideas: Lady Bird and Get Out are stronger in competition than some might thing with Get Out taking the award for Best Picture while Lady Bird is in second. The other two Oscar contenders, The Shape of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri came in third and fifth respectively. Saoirse Ronan also managed to pull off a surprise win for Best Actress topping Oscar frontrunner Frances McDormand. Baby Driver pulled off a victory over frontrunner Dunkirk in Film Editing while Star Wars: The Last Jedi won Sound Effects in something of a surprise. These are solid choices, though, they may not be predictive in a few places.

Award Tallies

(4) Get Out
(3) Baby Driver, Blade Runner 2049, The Shape of Water (4), Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(2) Call Me by Your Name, Coco, Darkest Hour

The Awards

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Precursor: 22nd Satellite Awards (2017)

In the department of awards that no one seemed to care about, the International Press Academy has selected their winners for 2017. The reason I ask if anyone cares is that we are now a week after their supposed presentation date of February 11 and I’ve only now found their winners. I looked the night of the ceremony, the day after, and at least one other point last week and found nothing. No news sources, no Wikipedia updates, and even their own website had not been updated with the winners. From the years of missing deadlines (both early and late), this group has shown that it’s small potatoes. I still cover it, but even looking at these winners, it’s hard to take them too seriously.

Award Tallies

(3) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(2) Blade Runner 2049, In the Fade, Lucky, The Shape of Water

The Awards

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This Day in Oscar History: February 18 (2018)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released


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Precursor: 32nd Cinematographers Guild Awards (2017)

The cinematographers have spoken and although they haven’t the greatest Oscar track record, Blade Runner 2049 remains in the race. Had anyone else, especially Mudbound won, Blade Runner 2049 would have been done at the Oscars. It now lives on to compete with Roger Deakins potentially winning his richly deserved first Oscar.

The Awards

Best Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049 (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)

American Society of Cinematographers Data

Year Founded: 1919
First Awards: 1986 (32)

Film Preview: Solo: A Star Wars Story (2018)

Page Revisions:

(February 11, 2018) Original

Release Date:

May 25, 2018

Synopsis:

From IMDb: “During an adventure into a dark criminal underworld, Han Solo meets his future copilot Chewbacca and encounters Lando Calrissian years before joining the Rebellion.”

Poster Rating: C+ (4)

SEE ALL POSTERS BELOW
Review: (#1-#4) These character posters have a nice color scheme within the lettering, but the rest of the poster design isn’t terribly flattering.

Trailer Rating: C

SEE ALL TRAILERS BELOW
Review: I guess if you have a built-in audience, you don’t need to make a trailer that excites it. They just have to hear a wookie yell, see a Millennium Falcon and hope that it will turn out better than the trailer makes it look. Everything about this looks as if the studio is trying way too hard to mask some major failings with the film and it could be that there isn’t much of a plot, even if the music and structure make this seem like an opportunity for a Star Wars meets film noir concept.

Oscar Prospects:

All of the Star Wars films should be considered Oscar contenders, though the off-trilogy ones don’t seem to be doing that well, so this one might not.

Trailer #1

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2017 Precursor Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors

The Motion Picture Sound Editors, those fine folk who contribute to the Best Sound Editing (formerly Best Sound Effects Editing) Oscar will reveal their winners on Sunday. With seven categories, it’s hard to be certain which will most reflect thoughts of Oscar voters, there are really only two categories that typically correlate: Sound Effects and Foley, and Dialogue and ADR. Our predictions below reflect where we see the race going and there’s a lot of divergence in our selections, so we are essentially saying: no one knows for certain, but whatever wins becomes an Oscar frontrunner and if one film wins both awards (or more than two), they are even more likely to win at the Oscars.

MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects and Foley in a Feature Film

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049 (Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Dunkirk (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Logan (Peter)
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Thor: Ragnarok
War for the Planet of the Apes (RU:Peter)

Wesley Lovell: I’ve been feeling for awhile now that Dunkirk isn’t as strong as we once thought. While I suspect it will come out on top in the end, I’m going to predict Blade Runner 2049 based on its hefty use of sounds that aren’t frequently heard in film.
Peter J. Patrick: This could go to any one of the actioners nominated, but I’ll give a shout-out to Logan with War for the Planet of the Apes its closest competition.
Tripp Burton: All those war sounds, on land, sea, and air, should make Dunkirk the easy pick here.
Thomas LaTourette: Dunkirk would seem to be the favorite here.
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This Day in Oscar History: February 17 (2018)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Nominations


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90th Oscars: Presenters, Group 1

The Academy has announced its first batch of presenters. They are set out in the press release below. Included in the list are last year’s Best Supporting Actor (Mahershala Ali), last year’s Best Supporting Actress (Viola Davis), and last year’s Best Actress (Emma Stone). It has already been announced that Casey Affleck will not return to present, meaning we now have all of last year’s available winners presenting. In addition, we have nine other presenters listed, a diverse set.

Of the twelve, four are black, eight are women, one of whom is transgender, and one is Pakistani. Tom Holland is the only white guy on the list. There are no Native American, Asian, Hispanic, or gay presenters on this list. It is already one of the most diverse the Academy has had, so we’ll see if that trend continues and representation of other minorities are represented.

90TH OSCARS® FIRST SLATE OF PRESENTERS ANNOUNCED

MAHERSHALA ALI, CHADWICK BOSEMAN, VIOLA DAVIS, LAURA DERN, JENNIFER GARNER, GRETA GERWIG, TIFFANY HADDISH, TOM HOLLAND, KUMAIL NANJIANI, MARGOT ROBBIE, EMMA STONE AND DANIELA VEGA

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Film Preview: Venom (2018)

Page Revisions:

(February 11, 2018) Original

Release Date:

October 5, 2018

Synopsis:

From IMDb: “This plot is unknown.”

Poster Rating: D+

SEE ALL POSTERS BELOW
Review: If you recognize the Venom eyes, this poster will be somewhat exciting to you. For everyone else, it’s utterly dull.

Trailer Rating: C+

SEE ALL TRAILERS BELOW
Review: It’s just a teaser, so it’s no surprise that there’s not enough detail being presented, but as it stands now, it looks like a second-rate comic book adaptation rather than a major motion picture.

Oscar Prospects:

Maybe a Best Visual Effects nomination, but I doubt it.

Trailer #1

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Oscar in Box Office History (Week 7, 2018)

Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Black Panther (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Costume Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects.

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The NEW Friday Face-Off #238

We are back to the winners bracket while the losers are percolating. We’re moving into round fou.

Here is this week’s ten (or fewer) face-offs.

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2017 Precursor Predictions: British Academy

Once upon a time, the British Academy of Film & Television Arts gave out their awards after the Oscars, making them mostly an afterthought and, in some situations, a copycat. Then they shifted to before the Oscars and since then, they have become a major bellwether. What we are looking for here is not for what wins (though, that helps), but where upsets occur. Those upsets may presage a major Oscar shift. Either that, or we find out the status quo is as we thought all along.

These awards are telecast on a delay. The BBC requires them fit in a specific schedule and so they often record them and then air them after the fact. This means that we will find out the winners in trickles throughout the afternoon (the evening over in London) before we get to see the winners crowned.
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2017 Precursor Predictions: American Society of Cinematographers

Although the Best Cinematography Oscar is directly tied to the American Society of Cinematographers’ award for the same category, they have disagreed so often that you cannot count on the ASC to give a truly accurate picture of where Academy voters might head. After all, only ASC members vote here, but at the Oscars, non-cinematographers also vote, which means they sometimes pick pretty over great.

AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS AWARDS

Best Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049 (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound (Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
The Shape of Water (RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: Roger Deakins is a beloved figure among cinematographers and they’ve seldom not recognized him. I sincerely doubt that they will go another direction, but if they do, they may just pick Mudbound to show they aren’t above going outside the “club.”
Peter J. Patrick: Unlike the Oscars, voters who come from all disciplines, the cinematographers know very well who Roger Deakins is, and in fact have already given him three competitive awards and a life achievement award. I think they’ll give him another award for Blade Runner 2049. Rachel Morrison, the first female nominee (for Mudbound) might well be his closest competition.
Tripp Burton: The ASC has already given several awards to Roger Deakins, who has never won an Oscar, so they may not be as itchy to give him this as Oscar voters may be. That means that they could instead honor Rachel Morrison, the Mudbound cinematographer who has gotten a lot of press for being the first female nominated in this category at the Oscars. If either Dunkirk or Shape of Water wins here, it could mean they are in for a big night at the Oscars.
Thomas LaTourette: I find this a difficult one to call. The guild has given several awards to Roger Deakins over the years, so there is not that feeling of his being passed over that the Oscars has. That could leave the way open for The Shape of Water or even Dunkirk to win. I am not certain if the winner here will shed light on the probable Oscar winner, but one can hope. If Deakins wins, that will help his Oscar chances, but that has happened before. If The Shape of Water wins here, that probably will mean that Deakins will have to wait yet another year to finally win an Oscar. So I think Blade Runner 2049 will win, but it may not as well.

The Rundown 2017: Supporting Actress

For our twelfth Rundown article, the most able assistance any category could have. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Supporting Actress as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off on Monday with an acting category where once a Best Picture win most frequently required a nomination and which has in recent years fallen into third place in its necessity.
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This Day in Oscar History: February 16 (2018)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Nominations


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