91st Oscars: Screener Watch, Week 5

There aren’t likely many more screeners to come in as most of the major contenders have been forwarded. Here are the most recent eight.

Ben Is Back

Oscar Chances: Unlikely: Although early reviews suggested that both Julia Roberts and Lucas Hedges were delivering solid work, it seemed like the film’s chances of Oscar glory were strong. Yet, as precursor season has continued, the film has gotten very little attention, making both actors also-rans. It’a also inhibited Peter Hedges’ chances at an Original Screenplay nomination.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Nina Jacobson, Brad Simpson, Teddy Schwarzman, Peter Hedges)
  • Actress (Julia Roberts)
  • Actor (Lucas Hedges)
  • Supporting Actor (Courtney B. Vance)
  • Supporting Actress (Kathryn Newton)
  • Director (Peter Hedges)
  • Original Screenplay (Peter Hedges)

Destroyer

Oscar Chances: Uncertain: This was another film whose chances seemed strong early in the season. Nicole Kidman has gotten far more attention than Roberts, but has missed several key nominations along the way, making her roll towards an Oscar nomination weak at best.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Fred Berger, Phil Hay, Matt Manfredi)
  • Director (Karyn Kusama)
  • Original Screenplay (Phil Hay, Matt Manfredi)
  • Actress (Nicole Kidman)
  • Supporting Actor (Sebastian Stan, Bradley Whitford)
  • Supporting Actress (Tatiana Maslany)
  • Cinematography (Julie Kirkwood)
  • Film Editing (Plummy Tucker)
  • Production Design (Kay Lee, Lisa Son)
  • Costume Design (Audrey Fisher)
  • Sound Mixing (Phillip Bladh, Onnallee Blank, Tony Lamberti)
  • Sound Editing (Onnalee Blank)
  • Original Score (Theodore Shapiro)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Bill Corso, Barbara Lorenz)
  • Visual Effects (Chris Wells, Dan Bartolucci)

First Man

Oscar Chances: Good: Before reviews came out, this was thought to be the most likely film to garner double-digit Oscar nominations and lead the field in chances at a win. After all, director Damien Chazelle seems to be some kind of Oscar wunderkind, especially after his near-miss at Best Picture for La La Land. The reviews came out and that seemed even more certain. However, the box office was awful and the film failed to make a reasonable run at it, leaving its chances in the dust. Then the critics came in and started handing out awards and while the film did well in creative categories, it’s been poorly represented elsewhere making its above-the-line chances minimal, though still plausible.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Wyck Godfrey, Marty Bowen, Isaac Klausner, Damien Chazelle)
  • Director (Damien Chazelle)
  • Adapted Screenplay (Josh Singer, James R. Hansen)
  • Actor (Ryan Gosling)
  • Supporting Actor (Jason Clarke, Kyle Chandler, Corey Stoll)
  • Supporting Actress (Claire Foy)
  • Cinematography (Linus Sandgren)
  • Film Editing (Tom Cross)
  • Production Design (Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas)
  • Costume Design (Mary Zophres)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Donald Mowat, Marie Larkin)
  • Sound Mixing (Mary H. Ellis, Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano, Ai-Ling Lee)
  • Sound Editing (Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan)
  • Visual Effects (Paul Lambert, J.D. Schwalm, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles)
  • Original Score (Justin Hurwitz)

Green Book

Oscar Chances: Excellent: Before its film festival debut, Green Book was thought to be a minor contender, but critics seemed to love it and it won the Toronto Film Festival audience award, which has, lately, been a major stepping stone on a path towards Oscar glory. The attention hasn’t dissipated much since then, but the luster has worn off a bit. Articles are now coming out about Viggo Mortensen’s use of the “N” word at a panel, and then John Shirley’s family disputing the veracity of the film. While it’s still on track to earn several Oscar nominations, its chances at victory have diminished a great deal since the early fall.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga)
  • Director (Peter Farrelly)
  • Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
  • Supporting Actor (Mahershala Ali)
  • Supporting Actress (Linda Cardellini)
  • Original Screenplay (Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly)
  • Cinematography (Sean Porter)
  • Film Editing (Patrick J. Don Vito)
  • Production Design (Tim Valvin, Selina M. Van Den Brink)
  • Costume Design (Betsy Heimann)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Tarra Day, Geordie Sheffer, Emily Tatum, Yolanda Mercadel)
  • Sound Mixing (RIchard Schexnayder, Mark Paterson, Tony Lamberti)
  • Sound Editing (Andrew De Cristofaro)
  • Visual Effects (Raymond McIntyre Jr., Victor DiMichina)
  • Original Score (Kris Bowers)

If Beale Street Could Talk

Oscar Chances: Good: Barry Jenkins’ follow up to his surprise Best Picture winning Moonlight, was always going to be considered an Oscar contender. Apart from the respect he’s generated for his two prior films, the film is based on a celebrated novel, which gives it some gravitas. Reviews have been strong and it has placed in nearly every precursor handed out so far. The problem is that it stumbled at SAG where the film wasn’t nominated at all, including for Best Supporting Actress frontrunner Regina King. That might have taken some wind out of the film’s sails, but there’s still plenty of time for attention to return to the film.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Adele Romanski, Sara Murphy, Barry Jenkins, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner)
  • Director (Barry Jenkins)
  • Adapted Screenplay (Barry Jenkins)
  • Actress (KiKi Layne)
  • Actor (Stephan James)
  • Supporting Actress (Regina King)
  • Supporting Actor (Colman Domingo, Brian Tyree Henry)
  • Cinematography (James Laxton)
  • Film Editing (Joi McMillon, Nat Sanders)
  • Production Design (Mark Friedberg, Kris Moran)
  • Costume Design (Caroline Eselin-Schaefer)
  • Original Score (Nicholas Brittell)
  • Sound Mixing (Joseph White, Onnalee Blank, Mathew Waters)
  • Sound Editing (Onnalee Blank)
  • Makeup & Hairstyling (Donni Davy, Kenneth Walker)
  • Visual Effects (Tim LeDoux, John Bair)

The Sisters Brothers

Oscar Chances: Unlikely: It has the pedigree of an Oscar contender and the Academy has been receptive to modern westerns, but the film never really jumpstarted itself upon its release. Reviews have been strong, which should have parlayed into contention for at least stars John C. Reilly, Joaquin Phoenix, and Jake Gyllenhaal; however, the film has gotten virtually no love from the precursors, which suggest its chances are pretty meager at the moment.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Pascal Caucheteux, Gregoire Sorlat, Michel Merkt, Michael De Luca, ALison Dickey, John C. Reilly)
  • Director (Jacques Audiard)
  • Adapted Screenplay (Jacques Audiard, Thomas Bidegain)
  • Actor (John C. Reilly, Joaquin Phoenix)
  • Supporting Actor (Jake Gyllenhaal, Riz Ahmed)
  • Cinematography (Benois Debie)
  • Film Editing (Juliette Welfling)
  • Production Design (Michel Barthelemy, Angela Nahum)
  • Costume Design (Milena Canonero)
  • Sound Mixing (Cyril Holtz, Damien Lazzerini)
  • Sound Editing (Valerie Deldof, Hortense Bailly)
  • Original Score (Alexandre Desplat)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Luigi Rocchetti, Massimiliano Duranti)
  • Visual Effects (Cedric Fayolle)

Vice

Oscar Chances: Excellent: Ever since director Adam McKay shifted from corny comedy to political comedy, he’s been taken tremendously seriously. His The Big Short performed far better with Academy voters than anyone initially expected. His latest film, which tackles the rise to power of Dick Cheney has been receiving strong notices and has already placed in several precursor races with stars Christian Bale and Amy Adams likely nominees in acting and the film, director, and screenplay all being major threats as well.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Will Ferrell, Adam McKay, Kevin Messick)
  • Director (Adam McKay)
  • Original Screenplay (Adam McKay)
  • Actor (Christian Bale)
  • Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
  • Supporting Actor (Steve Carell, Sam Rockwell)
  • Cinematography (Greig Fraser)
  • Film Editing (Hank Corwin)
  • Production Design (Patrice Vermette, Jan Pascale)
  • Costume Design (Susan Matheson)
  • Sound Mixing (Ed Novick, Chris Scarabosio, Tony Villaflor)
  • Sound Editing (Chris Scarabosio)
  • Original Score (Nicholas Britell)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Kate Biscoe, Patricia DeHaney, Greg Cannom, Chris Gallaher)
  • Visual Effects (Raymond Gieringer)

Vox Lux

Oscar Chances: Weak: At one point, Natalie Portman’s performance as a pop star was thought to be a major Oscar contender, but with a bevy of potential nominees in Best Actress, her chances have weakened to the point where it would be surprising if she managed to pull off a nomination at this point. The film itself is pretty much out of luck.
Campaign-Proposed Categories

  • Picture (Andrew Lauren, D.J. Gugenheim, Michael Litvak, Svetlana Metkina, David Litvak, Brian Young, Gary Michael Walters, Robert Salerno, Christina Vachon, David Hinojosa)
  • Director (Brady Corbet)
  • Original Screenplay (Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold)
  • Supporting Actress (Natalie Portman, Raffey Cassidy, Stacy Martin, Jennifer Ehle)
  • Supporting Actor (Jude Law)
  • Film Editing (Matthew Hannam)
  • Production Design (Sam Lisenco)
  • Costume Design (Keri Langerman)
  • Original Score (Scott Walker)
  • Original Song (“Wrapped Up” – Greg Kurstin, Sia Furler)
  • Sound Mixing (Damian Canelos)
  • Sound Editing (Leslie Shatz)
  • Cinematography (Lol Crawley)
  • Visual Effects (Mike Myers)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling (Anouck Sullivan, Esther Ahn)

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