80th Academy Awards (2007): Winner Predictions

Predictions are in the order I think they have a chance of winning the award (except the short film categories, which are unranked and each listed as “Toss Up”). I have added notations to each indicating how strong I think they are a contender.

LEGEND:
Winner Prediction (c-Win Pred Date Set) — Chance at Win —
Other Nominees — Chance at Win —

Best Picture

• No Country for Old Men – Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (c-1/28) — Even —
• There Will Be Blood – JoAnne Sellar, Paul Thomas Anderson, Daniel Lupi — 2:1 —
• Michael Clayton – Sydney Pollack, Jennifer Fox, Kerry Orent — 3:1 —
• Juno – Lianne Halfon, Mason Novick, Russell Smith — 5:1 —
• Atonement – Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Paul Webster — 7:1 —

Best Animated Feature

• Ratatouille – Brad Bird (c-5/1) — Even —
• Surf’s Up – Ash Brannon, Chris Buck — 10:1 —
• Persepolis – Marjane Satrapi, Vincent Paronnaud — 3:1 —

Best Director

• No Country for Old Men – Ethan Coen, Joel Coen (c-12/8) — Even —
• Juno – Jason Reitman — 20:1 —
• The Diving Bell and the Butterfly – Julian Schnabel — 3:1 —
• There Will Be Blood – Paul Thomas Anderson — 3:1 —
• Michael Clayton – Tony Gilroy — 7:1 —

Best Actor

• There Will Be Blood – Daniel Day-Lewis (c-10/2) — Even —
• Sweeney Todd – Johnny Depp — 10:1 —
• Eastern Promises – Viggo Mortensen — 20:1 —
• In the Valley of Elah – Tommy Lee Jones — 20:1 —
• Michael Clayton – George Clooney — 5:1 —

Best Actress

• Away from Her – Julie Christie (c-5/1) — Even —
• Elizabeth: The Golden Age – Cate Blanchett — 10:1 —
• Juno – Ellen Page — 2:1 —
• The Savages – Laura Linney — 5:1 —
• La Vie en Rose – Marion Cotillard — Even —

Best Supporting Actor

• No Country for Old Men – Javier Bardem (c-1/28) — Even —
• Into the Wild – Hal Holbrook — 2:1 —
• Charlie Wilson’s War – Philip Seymour Hoffman — 20:1 —
• The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – Casey Affleck — 4:1 —
• Michael Clayton – Tom Wilkinson — 7:1 —

Best Supporting Actress

• Michael Clayton – Tilda Swinton (c-2/20) — Even —
• American Gangster – Ruby Dee — 2:1 —
• I’m Not There – Cate Blanchett — 2:1 —
• Gone Baby Gone – Amy Ryan — 3:1 —
• Atonement – Saorise Ronan — 5:1 —

Best Original Screenplay

• Juno – Diablo Cody (c-12/16) — Even —
• Ratatouille – Brad Bird, Jan Pinkava, Jim Capobianco — 2:1 —
• Lars and the Real Girl – Nancy Oliver — 20:1 —
• Michael Clayton – Tony Gilroy — 4:1 —
• The Savages – Tamara Jenkins — 7:1 —

Best Adapted Screenplay

• No Country for Old Men – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen (c-1/22) — Even —
• Away from Her – Sarah Polley — 10:1 —
• There Will Be Blood – Paul Thomas Anderson — 3:1 —
• The Diving Bell and the Butterfly – Ronald Harwood — 4:1 —
• Atonement – Christopher Hampton — 5:1 —

Best Original Song

• Once – Falling Slowly (c-12/12) — Even —
• Enchanted – So Close — 10:1 —
• Enchanted – That’s How You Know — 2:1 —
• Enchanted – Happy Working Song — 3:1 —
• August Rush – Raise It Up — 5:1 —

Best Original Score

• Ratatouille – Michael Giacchino (c-1/22) — Even —
• Michael Clayton – James Newton Howard — 10:1 —
• 3:10 to Yuma – Marco Beltrami — 4:1 —
• The Kite Runner – Alberto Iglesias — 5:1 —
• Atonement – Dario Marianelli — Even —

Best Editing

• The Bourne Ultimatum – Christopher Rouse (c-1/11) — Even —
• No Country for Old Men – Roderick Jaynes — 2:1 —
• Into the Wild – Jay Lash Cassidy — 20:1 —
• There Will Be Blood – Dylan Tichenor — 3:1 —
• The Diving Bell and the Butterfly – Juliette Welfling — 7:1 —

Best Cinematography

• There Will Be Blood – Robert Elswit (c-1/22) — Even —
• The Diving Bell and the Butterfly – Janusz Kaminski — 2:1 —
• No Country for Old Men – Roger Deakins — 2:1 —
• The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – Roger Deakins — 4:1 —
• Atonement – Seamus McGarvey — 5:1 —

Best Art Direction

• There Will Be Blood – Jack Fisk, Jim Erickson (c-2/17) — Even —
• Atonement – Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer — 2:1 —
• The Golden Compass – Dennis Gassner, Anna Pinnock — 3:1 —
• Sweeney Todd – Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo — 3:1 —
• American Gangster – Arthur Max, Beth A. Rubino — 7:1 —

Best Costume Design

• Sweeney Todd – Colleen Atwood (c-8/27) — Even —
• Atonement – Jacqueline Durran — 2:1 —
• La Vie en Rose – Marit Allen — 2:1 —
• Across the Universe – Albert Wolsky — 20:1 —
• Elizabeth: The Golden Age – Alexandra Byrne — Even —

Best Makeup

• La Vie en Rose – Didier Lavergne, Jan Archibald (c-2/17) — Even —
• Norbit – Rick Baker, Kazuhiro Tsuji — 10:1 —
• Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End – Ve Neill, Martin Samuel — 3:1 —

Best Sound Mixing

• Transformers – Kevin O’Connell, Greg P. Russell, Peter J. Devlin (c-1/11) — Even —
• 3:10 to Yuma – Paul Massey, David Giammarco, Jim Stuebe — 10:1 —
• No Country for Old Men – Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff, Peter Kurland — 2:1 —
• Ratatouille – Randy Thom, Michael Semanick, Doc Kane — 3:1 —
• The Bourne Ultimatum – Scott Millan, David Parker, Kirk Francis — Even —

Best Sound Editing

• There Will Be Blood – Matthew Wood (c-1/22) — Even —
• The Bourne Ultimatum – Karen Baker Landers, Per Hallberg — 2:1 —
• Ratatouille – Randy Thom, Michael Silvers — 2:1 —
• Transformers – Ethan Van der Ryn, Mike Hopkins — 2:1 —
• No Country for Old Men – Skip Lievsay — 5:1 —

Best Visual Effects

• Transformers – Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Russell Earl, John Frazier (c-8/27) — Even —
• Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End – John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson, John Frazier — 5:1 —
• The Golden Compass – Michael Fink, Bill Westenhofer, Ben Morris, Trevor Wood — 7:1 —

Best Foreign Film

• Katyn – Poland (c-2/19) — Even —
• 12 – Russia — 2:1 —
• The Counterfeiters – Austria — 2:1 —
• Beaufort – Israel — 5:1 —
• Mongol – Kazakhstan — 5:1 —

Best Documentary Feature

• Sicko – Michael Moore, Meghan O’Hara (c-11/19) — Even —
• Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience – Richard E. Robbins — 3:1 —
• Taxi to the Dark Side – Alex Gibney, Eva Orner — 5:1 —
• No End in Sight – Charles Ferguson, Audrey Marrs — Even —
• War/Dance – Andrea Nix Fine, Sean Fine — Even —

Best Documentary Short Subject

• Sari’s Mother – James Longley (c-1/22) — Even —
• La Corona (The Crown) – Amanda Micheli, Isabel Vega — Even —
• Freeheld – Cynthia Wade, Vanessa Roth — Even —
• Salim Baba – Tim Sternberg, Francisco Bello — Even —

Best Animated Short Film

• Mme Les Pigeons Vont au Paradis (Even Pigeons Go to Heaven) – Samuel Tourneux, Simon Vanesse (c-1/22) — Even —
• I Met the Walrus – Josh Raskin — Even —
• Madame Tutli-Putli – Chris Lavis, Maciek Szczerbowski — Even —
• My Love (Moya Lyubov) – Alexander Petrov — Even —
• Peter & The Wolf – Suzie Templeton, Hugh Welchman — Even —

Best Live-Action Short Film

• At Night – Christian E. Christiansen, Louise Vesth (c-1/22) — Even —
• Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets) – Philippe Pollet-Villard — Even —
• Il Supplente (The Substitute) – Andrea Jublin — Even —
• Tanghi Argentini – Guido Thys, Anja Daelemans — Even —
• The Tonto Woman – Daniel Barber, Matthew Brown — Even —