87th Academy Awards (2014): Winner Predictions

Last Updated: February 19, 2015

AWARDS

4

2

1











Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
American Sniper
Whiplash
Birdman
Citizenfour
Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Feast
Guardians of the Galaxy
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Ida
Interstellar
Selma
Still Alice
The Imitation Game
The Phone Call
The Theory of Everything

Predictions are in the order I think they have a chance of winning the award (except the short film categories, which are unranked). I have added notations to each indicating how strong I think they are a contender.

LEGEND:
Winner Prediction (c-Win Pred Date Set) — Chance at Win —
Other Nominees — Chance at Win —

CHANCE AT WIN:
Guarantee: I wouldn’t bet on anything else.
Certain: Almost guaranteed, but there’s always a kernel of doubt.
Likely: The most likely winner, but a spoiler is waiting in the wings.
Toss Up: This race is too close to call for all those labelled toss ups.
Spoiler: This is a title that isn’t necessarily a sure thing, but is running close enough it could upset the predicted victor.
Doubtful: It’s not likely these titles will win, but there’s still a possibility.
Long Shot: There is very little likelihood that they’ll win.

Best Picture

  • Boyhood (c-1/12) — Toss Up —
  • Birdman — Toss Up —
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel — Spoiler —
  • American Sniper — Spoiler —
  • The Imitation Game — Doubtful —
  • Selma — Doubtful —
  • The Theory of Everything — Doubtful —
  • Whiplash — Doubtful —

Best Animated Film

  • How to Train Your Dragon 2 (c-1/14) — Toss Up —
  • Big Hero 6 — Toss Up —
  • The Tale of the Princess Kaguya — Spoiler —
  • Song of the Sea — Doubtful —
  • The Boxtrolls — Doubtful —

Best Director

  • Boyhood – Richard Linklater (c-1/11) — Toss Up —
  • Birdman – Alejandro G. Inarritu — Toss Up —
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson — Spoiler —
  • The Imitation Game – Morten Tyldum — Long Shot —
  • Foxcatcher – Bennett Miller — Long Shot —

Best Actor

  • Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything (c-2/12) — Toss Up —
  • Michael Keaton – Birdman — Toss Up —
  • Bradley Cooper – American Sniper — Spoiler —
  • Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game — Doubtful —
  • Steve Carell – Foxcatcher — Long Shot —

Best Actress

  • Julianne Moore – Still Alice (c-11/7) — Certain —
  • Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl — Spoiler —
  • Reese Witherspoon – Wild — Doubtful —
  • Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night — Doubtful —
  • Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything — Long Shot —

Best Supporting Actor

  • J.K. Simmons – Whiplash (c-11/7) — Guarantee —
  • Edward Norton – Birdman — Spoiler —
  • Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher — Doubtful —
  • Ethan Hawke – Boyhood — Doubtful —
  • Robert Duvall – The Judge — Long Shot —

Best Supporting Actress

  • Patricia Arquette – Boyhood (c-1/14) — Certain —
  • Emma Stone – Birdman — Spoiler —
  • Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game — Doubtful —
  • Laura Dern – Wild — Long Shot —
  • Meryl Streep – Into the Woods — Long Shot —

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel (c-2/17) — Likely —
  • Birdman — Spoiler —
  • Boyhood — Spoiler —
  • Nightcrawler — Doubtful —
  • Foxcatcher — Long Shot —

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Imitation Game (c-1/14) — Likely —
  • American Sniper — Spoiler —
  • Inherent Vice — Long Shot —
  • The Theory of Everything — Spoiler —
  • Whiplash — Spoiler —

Best Original Score

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel (c-1/29) — Likely —
  • The Theory of Everything — Spoiler —
  • The Imitation Game — Spoiler —
  • Mr. Turner — Doubtful —
  • Interstellar — Long Shot —

Best Original Song

  • Glory – Selma (c-1/14) — Toss Up —
  • Everything Is Awesome – The Lego Movie — Toss Up —
  • I’m Not Gonna Miss You – Glen Campbell…I’ll Be Me — Spoiler —
  • Lost Stars – Begin Again — Doubtful —
  • Grateful – Beyond the Lights — Long Shot —

Best Editing

  • Boyhood (c-2/19) — Toss Up —
  • Whiplash — Toss Up —
  • American Sniper — Toss Up —
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel — Doubtful —
  • The Imitation Game — Long Shot —

Best Cinematography

  • Birdman (c-12/22) — Likely —
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel — Spoiler —
  • Mr. Turner — Spoiler —
  • Unbroken — Doubtful —
  • Ida — Doubtful —

Best Production Design

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel (c-12/22) — Guarantee —
  • Mr. Turner — Spoiler —
  • Into the Woods — Spoiler —
  • The Imitation Game — Doubtful —
  • Interstellar — Doubtful —

Best Costume Design

  • The Grand Budapest Hotel (c-2/18) — Likely —
  • Into the Woods — Spoiler —
  • Mr. Turner — Spoiler —
  • Maleficent — Spoiler —
  • Inherent Vice — Long Shot —

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  • Guardians of the Galaxy (c-12/15) — Toss Up —
  • The Grand Budapest Hotel — Toss Up —
  • Foxcatcher — Toss Up —

Best Sound Mixing

  • American Sniper (c-2/16) — Likely —
  • Whiplash — Spoiler —
  • Birdman — Spoiler —
  • Interstellar — Spoiler —
  • Unbroken — Doubtful —

Best Sound Editing

  • American Sniper (c-2/16) — Likely —
  • Birdman — Spoiler —
  • Interstellar — Spoiler —
  • Unbroken — Doubtful —
  • The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies — Long Shot —

Best Visual Effects

  • Interstellar (c-4/21) — Toss Up —
  • Guardians of the Galaxy — Toss Up —
  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes — Toss Up —
  • X-Men: Days of Future Past — Spoiler —
  • Captain America: The Winter Soldier — Doubtful —

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Ida (c-1/14) — Toss Up —
  • Leviathan — Toss Up —
  • Wild Tales — Toss Up —
  • Timbuktu — Spoiler —
  • Tangerines — Doubtful —

Best Documentary Feature

  • Citizenfour (c-12/2) — Likely —
  • Last Days in Vietnam — Spoiler —
  • Virunga — Spoiler —
  • Finding Vivian Maier — Spoiler —
  • The Salt of the Earth — Doubtful —

Best Documentary Short Subject

  • Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1 (c-12/23) — Toss Up —
  • Joanna — Toss Up —
  • Our Curse — Toss Up —
  • The Reaper — Toss Up —
  • White Earth — Toss Up —

Best Animated Short Film

  • Feast (c-11/24) — Toss Up —
  • The Bigger Picture — Toss Up —
  • Dam Keeper — Toss Up —
  • Me and My Moulton — Toss Up —
  • A Single Life — Toss Up —

Best Live Action Short Film

  • The Phone Call (c-12/25) — Toss Up —
  • Aya — Toss Up —
  • Boogaloo and Graham — Toss Up —
  • Butter Lamp — Toss Up —
  • Parvaneh — Toss Up —

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