Category: 89th Oscars (2016)

89th Oscars: The Polls – Best Documentary Feature

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2015 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Documentary Feature

Cinema Sight Asks: Which 89th Oscars nominee for Best Documentary Feature is best?

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Precursor: 24th Cinema Audio Society Awards (2016)

Another win for La La Land, which continues to show its strengths in categories where it is expected to triumph. Finding Dory‘s win is strange, but looking at the nominee roster, it looks like familiarity and name recognition may have played a part.

The Awards

Best Sound Mixing – Live Action

La La Land (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Sound Mixing – Animated

Finding Dory (RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Mixing – Documentary

The Music of Strangers: Yo-Yo Ma and the Silk Road Ensemble (Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Cinema Audio Society Data

Year Founded: 1964
First Awards: 1993 (23)

89th Oscars: The Polls – Best Director

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2015 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Director

Cinema Sight Asks: Which 89th Oscars nominee for Best Director is best?

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2016 Precursor Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors

The Motion Picture Sound Editors were the stragglers of the guild nominations announcements, but they are right in the thick of handing out awards. With so many categories, they have plenty of chances to match the Oscar winner, so their selections may be intriguing.

MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects and Foley in a Feature Film

Arrival (Tripp, RU:Peter)
Captain America: Civil War
Deadpool
Deepwater Horizon (RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Doctor Strange
Hacksaw Ridge (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
The Jungle Book
Rogue One

Wesley Lovell: Sound Effects and Foley, this is where the magic of sound creation happens. It’s this category that tends to favor the film with the most and most original sound effects. While all of them are strong entries, things may come down to potentially three films: war drama Hacksaw Ridge, explosion-heavy Deepwater Horizon, and alien sci-fi Arrival. I want to say Arrival will win simply because it was the film that had to create the most original effects, but this group loves war movies and the sheer volume of effects in Deepwater Horizon may be more likely. All three films are Oscar nominees, so one of them will likely win. However, it’s a neck-and-neck-and-neck race and my predictions are far from assured.
Peter J. Patrick: The obvious choice here is Hacksaw Ridge, unless they’re going for subtlety, in which case Arrival wins.
Tripp Burton: With no La La Land, this is between Oscar nominees Hacksaw Ridge and Arrival. I have no idea which will win, but I’ll guess the BAFTA-winning Arrival.
Thomas LaTourette: A case could be made for all of these, but I will go with Hacksaw Ridge.

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2016 Precursor Predictions: Hollywood Make Up & Hair Stylists Guild

The youngest guild in the Oscar competition has several categories and an imperfect track record with the Oscars. We’ll follow them anyway.

HOLLYWOOD MAKE UP & HAIR STYLISTS GUILD AWARDS

Best Period and/or Character Make-up

Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Peter, Thomas, RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp)
Hail, Caesar!
Loving
Suicide Squad (Wesley, Tripp, RU: Peter, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: There’s a single Oscar nominee on the list, it would be unwise to bet against it. However, the way the Academy selects their nominees isn’t typical and could mean their nominations are less indicitive of broad support. In terms of makeup, only Fantastic Beasts is likely to compete, but I suspect the volume of makeup work in Suicide Squad may top all others.
Peter J. Patrick: This will likely go to the one with the most makeup.
Tripp Burton: Suicide Squad is the only Oscar nominee here, and the bulk of tattoos and prosthetics should service it well.
Thomas LaTourette: Fantastic Beasts seems like a good fit to win, though the Oscar-nominated Suicide Squad could pull it off.

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2016 Precursor Predictions: Cinema Audio Society

The Cinema Audio Society correlates with the Sound Mixing award at the Oscars. We’ll look to them to tell us just how strong the love for La La Land is.

CINEMA AUDIO SOCIETY AWARDS

Best Sound Mixing – Live Action

Doctor Strange
Hacksaw Ridge (Peter, RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp)
La La Land (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)
Rogue One (RU:Thomas)
Sully (RU:Peter)

Wesley Lovell: They only have one category with any potential of predicting the Oscars. This is it. Three of the Oscar nominees are here. Missing are Arrival and 13 Hours. They are replaced by Doctor Strange and Sully. The winner is likely to be an Oscar nominee and La La Land is the prohibitive frontrunner. Since this is voted on by the entire membership at the Oscars, La La Land is sure to win there. However, I’ve heard from a friend who works in sound and he was not impressed with the work done on the film. That doesn’t mean this group won’t go for it, but I do consider it a less-than-safe selection with Hacksaw Ridge a very likely spoiler.
Peter J. Patrick: It’s probably foolish to bet against La La Land, but it can’t win everything, right? Hacksaw Ridge would be a more conventional choice, as would Sully.
Tripp Burton: Three of these nominees got Oscar nominations, and they would appear to be the frontrunners. My hunch is with La La Land, with a blend of music that seems tailor-made for a victory here.
Thomas LaTourette: Being a musical, La La Land should have the edge on the competition in this category.

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2016 Precursor Predictions: Writers Guild of America

The Writers Guild of America is the last precursor to award above-the-line achievements. Their atypical eligibility rules make them the least reliable at times, though this year might not be the case.

WRITERS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water
La La Land (RU:Wesley)
Loving
Manchester by the Sea (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Moonlight (Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)

Wesley Lovell: The Writers Guild is the only guild that mandates nominations come only from guild signatories. As such, their nominations are seldom instructive. Their winners, however, can be. That all depends on what’s nominated. Three of the Academy’s Best Original Screenplay nominees are here, the missing are The Lobster and 20th Century Women. Part of the reason is that Moonlight and Loving were both declared adapted by the Academy and were thus not eligible in this category. However, all we need to do is look at the three that were nominated to know which films have a shot. Right now, Manchester by the Sea seems like a good bet. It’s the film that has won the most precursors for writing among actual originals. The big question mark here is whether La La Land is going to build momentum towards a sweep. If it weren’t for Moonlight here, that might be possible. I think Manchester still holds an edge, but La La Land wouldn’t be surprising and if they want to throw things into turmoil, they could go with Moonlight, since they can’t honor it anywhere else.
Peter J. Patrick: La La Land could win, but I think the WGA will go for the more serious Manchester by the Sea or Moonlight.
Tripp Burton: The rules make this a different category than the Oscars, with two of these nominees (Moonlight and Loving) eligible for Adapted Screenplay there. Moonlight is the most praised screenplay of the year, and should win here, which makes things interesting come Oscar night.
Thomas LaTourette: There are four strong possibilities here. Loving seems to have the least chance. Manchester and Moonlight seem to have the best, though they are competing in the same category here rather than at the Oscars. La La Land and Hell or High Water cannot be ruled out, but I think they are not in as strong a position. A win here will definitely place a film into an even stronger place to win the Oscar. I am guessing that Moonlight will come out on top, but it really could go any way.

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The Rundown 2016: Director

For our thirteenth Rundown article, it’s all about control. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Director as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off our final Rundown week with a category that creates things out of nothing.
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89th Oscars: The Polls – Best Actress

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2015 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Actress

Cinema Sight Asks: Which 89th Oscars nominee for Best Actress is best?

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89th Oscars: Ceremony Presenters, Part 3

The Academy has submitted more names for their awards presentation. Below are the press releases for two different announcements. The first below are regular presenters. The second set is for performers. Oscar winners Javier Bardem and Charlize Theron; and Oscar nominees Amy Adams, Felicity Jones, and Emma Stone are joined by Riz Ahmed, John Cho, Dwayne Johnson, Leslie Mann, Janelle Monae, and David Oyelowo.

As for the performers, Auli’i Cravalho and Lin-Manuel Miranda will sing “How Far I’ll Go,” Sting will perform “The Empty Chair,” Justin Timberlake will belt out “Can’t Stop the Feeling,” and John Legend will perform both songs from La La Land: “Audition” and “City of Stars.”

AMY ADAMS, RIZ AHMED, JAVIER BARDEM, JOHN CHO, DWAYNE JOHNSON, FELICITY JONES, LESLIE MANN, JANELLE MONÁE, DAVID OYELOWO, EMMA STONE AND CHARLIZE THERON

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The Rundown 2016: Film Editing

For our twelfth Rundown article, we take a stab at the category that brings it all together. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Film Editing as well as general commentary about the race. Friday, we’ll cover a category where the person who brings all the disparate parts together is celebrated.
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89th Oscars: The Polls – Best Sound Editing

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2015 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Sound Editing

Cinema Sight Asks: Which 89th Oscars nominee for Best Sound Editing is best?

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The Rundown 2016: Animated Feature

For our eleventh Rundown article, we look at the newest Oscar category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Animated Feature as well as general commentary about the race. Thursday, we’ll examine the category that deals with putting all the pieces together.
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89th Oscars: The Polls – Best Costume Design

For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2015 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.

Best Costume Design

Cinema Sight Asks: Which 89th Oscars nominee for Best Costume Design is best?

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 12

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This week, we had five precursors, four that could have Oscar impact and one that’s purely informative. The latter one is the Grammys. Their off-set eligibility period (October through September), leaves the vast majority of Oscar competitors off the list, so we largely ignore them. The others are fairly impactful.

Two are guilds: Visual Effects Society and Art Directors Guild. One is an outside organization with a tremendous track record of predicting Adapted Screenplay: USC Scripter. One is the British equivalent to the Oscars and they have, at times, been a fine forecaster of the Oscars.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 13

Saturday, Feb. 18 – Audio Society Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 19 – Make-Up Artists Guild Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 19 – Sound Editors Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 19 – Writers Guild Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 19 – Satellites (Ceremony) Awards (Official)

Big Winners

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