Category: Oscar Preview

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Apr. 19-21, 2019

We had no films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Apr. 12-14, 2019

We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Missing Link

There is only one studio to date that has managed to secure a Best Animated Feature nomination every time they’ve made a movie. Not Pixar. Not Disney. Not Aardman. Laika is the undisputed king of the Animated Feature category, at least from a nomination perspective. Not a single one of their films have ever won.

Missing Link is the latest feature to bear the Laika name. The studio, known only for its stop-motion animation work, started out doing contract work, including Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride, which was the first film they worked on to get an Oscar nomination for Animated Feature. That 2005 film had an 84% Fresh rating from Rotten Tomatoes and an 83 from MetaCritic. From there, they created their first self-produced feature in 2009. Coraline earned a 90% Fresh rating from Rotten Tomatoes with an 80 from MetaCritic. It earned an Oscar nomination. Their first follow-up was 2012’s ParaNorman, which also earned an Oscar nomination with an 88% Fresh and 72 MetaCritic.

The continued producing Oscar nominee after Oscar nominee with The Boxtrolls in 2014 (76% Fresh, 61 MetaCritic). Their biggest success to date came two years later in 2016. Kubo and the Two Strings scored a near-perfect 97% Fresh rating from Rotten Tomatoes and a superb 84 from MetaCritic, their highest score to date from both. It also became their first film to score an Oscar nomination outside of Best Animated Feature, securing a nod for Best Visual Effects, the first fully animated film ever to accomplish the feat.

Although their fifth original film, Missing Link has taken a step back with its 89% Fresh and 68 MetaCritic scores, those numbers are still quite impressive and may be further proof that the film has a strong claim to a Best Animated Feature nomination.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Apr. 5-7, 2019

We had no films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Mar. 29-31, 2019

We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Dumbo

The latest film in Disney’s attempts to update their animated properties into live-action, Dumbo takes us back to the world of an elephant with huge ears who can fly. The original delight audiences for generations since its 1941. Will returning to this ell benefit Disney in terms of Oscars?

The 1941 version was nominated for two Academy Awards, Best Scoring of a Musical Picture and Best Original Song for “Baby Mine,” which features prominently in the trailers for the new film. It won the Oscar for scoring. There are two reasons why this remake has a chance for Oscar nominations. The first reason is Disney. Dumbo is the seventh overall film to directly adapt an animated classic into a live-action feature. The first such film was all the way back in 1996 when 101 Dalmatians hit the cineplex to modest success. However, it was Tim Burton who kicked off the current string of reimagined hits with 2010’s Alice in Wonderland. His first film scored three Oscar nominations for Disney and took home two. Maleficent picked up one; Cinderella gained one; The Jungle Book earned one and won one; and Beauty and the Beast took two nominations. That means that every single 2010 and later outing so far has earned at least a single Oscar nomination.

The other factor going in Dumbo‘s favor is Burton himself. This is his nineteenth theatrical release. His first was Pee-Wee’s Big Adventure in 1985. Since then, twelve of them have earned Oscar nominations. That’s an impressive feat. This gives Dumbo a chance of earning Oscar nominations, specifically in the Production Design and Costume Design categories. That his films’ last Oscar nomination was for Animated Feature Frankenweenie and his last live-action Oscar nomination was Disney’s Alice in Wonderland nine years ago is a sign that the bloom may be off the rose. This is his fifth film since Alice and his fourth live-action film since then.

The other factor hindering his chances is the response of critics. With a 52 from Metacritic and a 50% from Rotten Tomatoes, it’s clear that the response has been muted. The A- CinemaScore will help it with audiences, but ultimate, the critical response is what prognosticators should be most worried about. With this effort, the number of Burton’s films that have gotten rotten responses from critics were, with one exception, Oscar no-shows. Alice in Wonderland is that one exception. Will his fifth, Dumbo, be the other? Big Eyes and Miss Peregrine were positively reviewed, but were ignored by Oscar, so that suggests that even when he’s well liked, he cannot guarantee Oscar attention.

Ultimately, I think it’s probable that he could earn nominations at the Oscars. It’s also equally probable that he’d be ignored. If the film were a rousing success, then he would be almost assured consideration.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Mar. 22-24, 2019

We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Us

A scant two years ago, Jordan Peele entered the Oscar lexicon with his instant horror classic Get Out. He sticks to the horror genre with his second feature as a director, Us.

Starring Lupita Nyong’o, the film follows a family who are beset by a group of dopplegangers and must fight for their lives to survive. Little is known about the plot, but the critics are over the moon about it and it just had one of the biggest debuts of the year and one of horror’s all-time best openings. While the film’s 94% fresh rating at Rotten Tomatoes is slightly below Get Out‘s 98% (at MetaCritic, it’s a similar drop from 84 for Get Out to 81 for Us), the new numbers are outstanding.

The big question is now whether Us can replicate the Oscar success of Get Out. Get Out managed only four nominations in 2017, but they included all top categories: Best Picture, Directing, Actor (Daniel Kaluuya), and Original Screenplay taking the Oscar for the latter. If the film can hold on until the end of the year, it could follow a similar push towards Oscar recognition.

Horror has seldom been recognized by the Academy, so getting nominations two films in a row will be a stellar achievement, but an incredibly difficult one. Some have compared Peele to Alfred Hitchcock. Hitchcock was a regular Oscar nominee, but never took home a prize. Peele, on the other hand, already has an Oscar for his screenplay and, unlike Hitchcock, writes his own films, which could give him an upper hand in future runs at the Oscars. Then again, now that he’s been honored, the Academy may think it’s enough and ignore him from here on out. How the critics respond to the film at the end of the year might tell us how Oscar will react.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Mar. 15-17, 2019

We had no films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Mar. 8-10, 2019

We had two films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Captain Marvel

Disney/Marvel has had an off-again, on-again relationship with the Oscars. Captain Marvel hopes to be more like Black Panther than like any other film in the Marvel Cinematic Unvierse.

Marvel’s first female-led superhero film looks at Carol Danvers as she becomes Captain Marvel, one of the all-time most powerful superheroes in the Marvel universe. The film, set in the 1990s, wants to follow a trajectory that led Black Panther to become the first superhero film ever nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars and haul in the same number of Oscars.

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of January 1 – March 1, 2019

We had two films release so far this year with the potential for Oscar nominations.

The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

Five years ago, The Lego Movie thrilled audiences and soared to $257 million at the domestic box office and racked 25 wins as Best Animated Feature through precursor season, 22 more than its nearest competitors (How to Train Your Dragon 2 and The Tale of the Princess Kaguya with three each).

Yet, despite the acclaim and the accolades, the film was the shock omission at the 87th Academy Awards. The film still managed to pick up a nomination for the song “Everything Is Awesome,” but it went down in defeat to “Glory” from Selma.

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 15

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

And there we have it. The 91st Academy Award are over and we’re free for nine months until Oscar season begins again. Before we wrap-up everything for this year’s Academy Awards, let’s take one last look at the winners and losers of Oscar season based on the actual Oscar winners and losers.

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 14

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This is our penultimate week looking at the winners and losers. Next week, we’ll be looking at the winners and losers in relation to the Academy Awards, which air Sunday. This was our last opportunity to see what films will benefit and which will be injured by precursors with a small number of them coming out. The Writers Guild, the two sound-oriented guilds, and the Make-Up Artists guild are the only groups to announce in the last week.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 15

Tuesday, Feb. 19 – Costume Designers (Awards) (Official)
Tuesday, Feb. 19 – Academy Awards Voting Ends (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 20 – Film Music Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Friday, Feb. 22 – Publicists (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 23 – Razzies (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Feb. 23 – Spirit Awards (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sunday, Feb. 24 – Academy Awards (91st) (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 13

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This was the week that Oscar season took some strange, unexpected turns.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 14

Tuesday, Feb. 12 – Academy Awards Voting Begins (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 13 – David di Donatello Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Audio Society (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Make-Up Artists Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Sound Editors (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Visual Effects Society (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Writers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Satellites (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 12

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With a handful of precursors this past week, one of them being the Directors Guild of America, there isn’t a lot to say about this week’s winners. While a few of the races may have solidified, the big one, Best Picture, still remains relatively murky.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 13

Monday, Feb. 4 – Nominees Lunch (Official)
Monday, Feb. 4 – AARP (Awards) (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 6 – Film Music Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Feb. 7 – Berlin Festival (Festival) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – Cinematographers (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – USC Scripter (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – Sci-Tech Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – British Academy (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – Grammy Awards (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – Online Film & TV Association (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 11

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With so little from the past week to talk about (the Chicago Independent Film Critics nominations and the SAG awards), there isn’t much this week in terms of winners and losers. Just two.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 12

Thursday, Jan. 31 – Casting Society (Awards) (Official)
Friday, Feb. 1 – Cinema Editors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Chicago Independent Critics (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Annie Awards (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Art Directors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Directors Guild (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Feb. 4 – Nominees Lunch (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 10

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

The last of the guilds and other major nominating groups were announced this last week with a smattering of good news for everyone. This week’s Big Losers were more Minor Losers because they lost ground, but not in everything.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 11

Tuesday, Jan. 22 – Academy Awards Nominations (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Chicago Independent Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Screen Actors (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 9

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

Numerous precursors came out in the last week, many of them from guilds, which should help us set expectations going into the Oscar nominations next week.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 10

Tuesday, Jan. 15 – Visual Effects Society (Nominations) (Official)
Tuesday, Jan. 15 – USC Scripter (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 17 – Publicists (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Jan. 19 – Producers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 20 – Online Film & TV Association (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 21 – Sound Editors (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 21 – Razzies (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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