Category: Oscar Preview

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 13

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This was the week that Oscar season took some strange, unexpected turns.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 14

Tuesday, Feb. 12 – Academy Awards Voting Begins (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 13 – David di Donatello Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Audio Society (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Make-Up Artists Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Sound Editors (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Visual Effects Society (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Writers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Satellites (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 12

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With a handful of precursors this past week, one of them being the Directors Guild of America, there isn’t a lot to say about this week’s winners. While a few of the races may have solidified, the big one, Best Picture, still remains relatively murky.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 13

Monday, Feb. 4 – Nominees Lunch (Official)
Monday, Feb. 4 – AARP (Awards) (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 6 – Film Music Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Feb. 7 – Berlin Festival (Festival) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – Cinematographers (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – USC Scripter (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 9 – Sci-Tech Awards (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – British Academy (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – Grammy Awards (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 10 – Online Film & TV Association (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 11

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With so little from the past week to talk about (the Chicago Independent Film Critics nominations and the SAG awards), there isn’t much this week in terms of winners and losers. Just two.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 12

Thursday, Jan. 31 – Casting Society (Awards) (Official)
Friday, Feb. 1 – Cinema Editors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Chicago Independent Critics (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Annie Awards (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Art Directors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Directors Guild (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Feb. 4 – Nominees Lunch (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 10

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

The last of the guilds and other major nominating groups were announced this last week with a smattering of good news for everyone. This week’s Big Losers were more Minor Losers because they lost ground, but not in everything.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 11

Tuesday, Jan. 22 – Academy Awards Nominations (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Chicago Independent Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Screen Actors (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 9

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

Numerous precursors came out in the last week, many of them from guilds, which should help us set expectations going into the Oscar nominations next week.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 10

Tuesday, Jan. 15 – Visual Effects Society (Nominations) (Official)
Tuesday, Jan. 15 – USC Scripter (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 17 – Publicists (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Jan. 19 – Producers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 20 – Online Film & TV Association (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 21 – Sound Editors (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 21 – Razzies (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 8

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

And it’s now time for all of the precursor awards from critics to slowly fade and the guilds to begin in earnest. While the Producers Guild of America is the first of the latest batch and the second after the Screen Actors Guild, is the tip of the iceberg.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 9

Tuesday, Jan. 8 – Toronto Critics – Canadian Film (Awards) (Official)
Tuesday, Jan. 8 – GALECA (Awards) (Official)
Tuesday, Jan. 8 – Audio Society (Nominations) (Official)
Tuesday, Jan. 8 – Directors Guild – Director & First Feature (Nominations) (Official)
Wednesday, Jan. 9 – LA Online Critics (Awards) (Official)
Wednesday, Jan. 9 – British Academy (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 10 – Women Journalists (Awards) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 10 – Costume Designers (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 10 – Make-Up Artists Guild (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 10 – Asian Film Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Jan. 10 – Bodil Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Friday, Jan. 11 – Georgia Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 13 – Broadcast Critics (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 14 – Denver Critics (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 14 – NAACP Image Awards (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 14 – Academy Awards Nominations Voting Ends (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of Jan. 28-30, 2018

For our final Oscar Preview of 2018 and the last one to post until March, we had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Vice

If you look at director Adam McKay’s filmography, you might see early films that seem like he was never going to be an Oscar player. Films like Anchorman, Talladega Nights, Step Brothers, The Other Guys, and Anchorman 2 are far from the kinds of films Oscar voters tend to recognize. Something happened in 2015 that upended the conversation and now McKay seems like he may be an Oscar mainstay.

The Big Short released late in the year 2016 and was a historical satire of the financial crisis that caused the U.S. economy to collapse. An all-star cast filled McKay’s film with gravitas and the political potency of the warning against future changes in the credit sector that would permit the kind of malfeasance that destroyed countless American lives. The film picked up five Oscar nominations, including citations for Best Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Christian Bale), Adapted Screenplay, and Editing. The film earned McKay and Charles Randolph Oscars for the screenplay.

Tackling an even more thorny political subject, McKay has taken 2018 by storm with his late-breaking satire of the rise to power of Dick Cheney played by Big Short Oscar nominee Bale. The production has steadily picked up various accolades and is set to earn several Oscar nominations. Bale is the most likely nominee, but Amy Adams has consistently earned recognition for her supporting work and the screenplay is a slam dunk nomination. McKay’s film will also likely earn a Best Picture nomination, which could pull him along in Directing. Beyond that, the film has a fairly strong chance at a Film Editing nomination and might also pull out a Supporting Actor nomination for recently-minted Oscar winner Sam Rockwell. Beyond that, the film’s prospects are grim, but this would be a notable haul.

The next question is: “will anyone win?” That question can’t be easily answered. While I doubt the Academy would fete the film itself, Bale has a chance at his second Oscar for the lead role and writing could carry the day as well. Adams is a long shot for the award, though she has a ton of nominations and no Oscar, which could be to her benefit. McKay could shock for a Best Directing win, but that seems unlikely. That leaves only Film Editing, which certainly could be the film’s consolation prize.

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 7

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

Only two groups announced anything in the last week, which doesn’t make for an exciting one, but the upcoming week is going to be chock full of news. Several guilds are announcing nominations on top of the Golden Globe awards being on Sunday.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 8

Tuesday, Jan. 1 – Oklahoma Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Wednesday, Jan. 2 – North Carolina Critics (Awards) (Official)
Wednesday, Jan. 2 – Online Critics (Awards) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – Central Ohio Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – Houston Critics (Awards) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – North Texas Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – GALECA (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – Women Journalists (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – Casting Society (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thursday, Jan. 3 – British Academy (Rising Star) (Nominations) (Official)
Friday, Jan. 4 – Producers Guild (Nominations) (Official)
Saturday, Jan. 5 – Hawaii Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Jan. 5 – National Society Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sunday, Jan. 6 – Golden Globes (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Austin Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Denver Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Georgia Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Art Directors (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Cinema Editors (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Cinematographers (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Directors Guild – Documentary (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Writers Guild (Nominations) (Official)
Monday, Jan. 7 – Academy Awards Nominations Voting Begins (Official)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of Dec. 21-23, 2018

We had three films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Aquaman

The DC Extended Universe has produced little in terms of Oscar, though it is the first of the two comic book universes to win an Oscar as it did with Suicide Squad for Best Makeup & Hairstyling. The question is was that a one-off fluke or a trend.

Starring Jason Momoa as the titular superhero, this effects-laden blockbuster could be a Best Visual Effects contender and it’s already made the shortlist, which is a positive sign for the film. That said, it’s also an origin story in want of a franchise worthy of it. While the film has been one of the better reviews DCEU films, its reviews aren’t as ecstatic as Wonder Woman‘s. That doesn’t mean a lot in the craft categories, though.

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 6

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

The week before Christmas is pretty sparse for critics prizes, rivaled only by the week between Christmas and New Year, which seldom has more than a couple of announcements. That said, a few films managed to pad their tallies fairly well, including The Favourite and Roma while Green Book re-emerged as a major contender.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 7

Wednesday, Dec. 26 – Online Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Dec. 27 – Chicago Independent Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Dec. 27 – Golden Eagle Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of Dec. 14-16, 2018

We had three films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

As a product of the DC universe, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse was though to be little more than a new cash grab for Sony after its ignoble attempts at resurrecting the beloved webslinger. Then something spectacular happened: critics saw it.

The exploration of various characters within the Spider-Man Universe has been receiving stellar reviews and has been named on several occasions as the best animated feature of the year. Those accolades have made the film into one of the year’s biggest contenders.

While one critics’ group has already named it the best picture of the year (animated or otherwise), there’s no indication that this will be a forecast of something bigger. Right now, a Best Animated Feature nomination is assured, and an Oscar is becoming increasingly likely; however, nominations outside of the category aren’t likely.

Capernaum

This Lebanese drama about a 12-year-old boy who sues his parents for neglect has been making the circuit since its debut at the Cannes Film Festival early this year. The film received a 15-minute standing ovation at the festival and won the Jury Prize.

Since then, critics have supported the film with their reviews and their awards, handing it numerous citations either as the best foreign language film of the year or one of the top five. That support is translating into buzz for an Oscar nomination. After the Academy winnowed its selections down to nine films, this was one of the remaining, suggesting it’s got a strong chance at a nomination, one of few made for female directors in the category.

The film doesn’t have a lot of prospects in other categories, though a surprise Original Screenplay nomination is a distant possibility.

If_Beale_Street_Could_Talk

Barry Jenkins’ follow up to Moonlight is the kind of film the Academy might have ignored in the past, simply because it’s not overly dramatic enough. These days, however, the Academy has been more receptive to small family dramas.

Those such films of the past that succeeded were typically filled with explosive and theatrical performances, largely from films adapted from the stage. This film is far more subdued, which could have hindered it in the past. However, critics have been incredibly supportive, giving it more of a chance with Oscar voters.

That support has extended to Regina King as Best Supporting Actress especially. King has received the vast majority of awards for her role in the film. The film has also earned prizes for its screenplay and its score along with prizes for Best Picture along with nominations in all of these categories and more.

The one fly in its ointment is the fact that the Screen Actors Guild nominating committee ignored the film entirely. That might temporarily inhibit the film’s chances, but the Producers Guild, Directors Guild, Writers Guild, and others could very well rebuild the film’s reputation and chances, especially if King wins some of the other televised awards for which she has been nominated.

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 5

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With the Screen Actors Guild announcing their nominations, this was a fairly momentous week. Several other groups also announced and while a number of prominent Oscar contenders had weaker weeks than previously, there aren’t a lot of genuine losers this time around.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 6

Tuesday, Dec. 18 – London Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Tuesday, Dec. 18 – Phoenix Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Tuesday, Dec. 18 – Phoenix Critics (Awards) (Official)
Thursday, Dec. 20 – Florida Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Dec. 22 – Nevada Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sunday, Dec. 23 – Chicago Independent Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Sunday, Dec. 23 – Florida Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of Dec. 7-9, 2018

We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Mary Queen of Scots

In Oscar history, period epic dramas have been a staple, gracing countless Oscar ceremonies and winning numerous awards. Mary Queen of Scots looks to be just the kind of movie the Academy has always loved to recognized. So, why does it feel like an also-ran?

The first sign of trouble came when critics reviewed the film. While they have been uniformly positive (68% on Rotten Tomatoes and 64 on MetaCritic), they aren’t the stuff of Oscar juggernauts. Matter of fact, the film has been almost ignored by the precursor awards so far, including the more friendly Golden Globes. Sure, the Satellite Awards gave it a few mentions, but they aren’t a group Oscar voters typically look to for validation.

The film sports Oscar nominees Saoirse Ronan and Margot Robbie, two of the biggest young actresses working today. It’s a period feast that’s sure to figure in at least Production Design and Costume Design, but the film itself just can’t seem to get a toe-hold in this year’s race. While Ronan and Robbie both look to give fiery performances, the critics are looking in other directors for their choices, which means neither is likely to compete this year.

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 4

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

A slew of precursors have been handed out this week and most of the major ones have been announced. We have a few big ones still to go (such as the Broadcast Film Critics Association, Kansas City Film Critics, and the Online Film Critics Society), but we’re also about to hit the guild nominations with Screen Actors Guild leading the way next week.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 5

Tue. 11 – Houston Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Tue. 11 – Phoenix Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Wed. 12 – Dallas Area Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Wed. 12 – African American Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Wed. 12 – Screen Actors (Nominations) (Official)
Wed. 12 – Goya Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Thu. 13 – Las Vegas Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Fri. 14 – Austin Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Fri. 14 – Vancouver Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Sat. 15 – Phoenix Circle (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sat. 15 – Black Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sun. 16 – Boston Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 16 – Kansas City Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sun. 16 – St. Louis Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 17 – Indiana Journalists (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 17 – Seattle Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 17 – Southeastern Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 17 – Utah Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 17 – Vancouver Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Oscar Preview: Weekend of Nov. 30-Dec. 2, 2018

We had no films release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.