Category: Precursors

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 13

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

It was a fairly big week for the precursors with the Visual Effects Society (VES), American Society of Cinematographers (ASC), Motion Picture Sound Editors (MPSE), Online Film & Television Association (OFTA), and British Film & Television Arts (BAFTA) awards all being given out.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 14

Tue. 20 – Academy Awards Voting Begins (Oscars) (Official)
Tue. 20 – Costume Designers (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 24 – Audio Society (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 24 – Make-Up Artists Guild (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 65th Sound Editors Guild Awards (2017)

In a surprise for this Oscar season, not only did no film win more than one award from the sound editors, but Blade Runner 2049 took the top award for sound effects and foley while non-Oscar nominee War for the Planet of the Apes captured the Dialogue/ADR award. While Oscar voters aren’t always keen on looking to guilds for guidelines of whom to vote for, this certain improves Blade Runner 2049‘s Oscar chances over presumed frontrunner Dunkirk, which took only the music category.

The Awards

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects and Foley in a Feature Film

Blade Runner 2049 (Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Editing: Dialogue and ADR in a Feature Film

War for the Planet of the Apes (RU:Tripp)

Best Sound Editing & Music in an Animation Feature Film

Coco (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Sound Editing & Music in a Feature Documentary

Jane (Peter, Tripp)

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects, Foley, Dialogue and ADR in a Feature Foreign Language Film

Loveless (RU:Peter)

Best Sound Editing: Music in a Feature Film

Dunkirk (RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Editing: Music in a Musical Feature Film

The Greatest Showman (Peter, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)

Motion Picture Sound Editors Data

Year Founded: 1953
First Awards: 1953 (65)

Precursor: 59th British Academy Awards (2017)

The British Academy has selected its winners for this year and a lot of pieces have fallen into place and perhaps not good ones. Three Billboards decimated competition, winning Best Film as well as Best Original Screenplay, the two awards where it had the most competition. It’s victory sets it up as the strongest Best Picture contender at the Oscars. Most of the rest of the choices fall into line with prior predictions, though Phantom Thread got a boost for its Costume Design, Baby Driver got a boost for Film Editing, and Shape of Water got a boost for Production Design.

Award Tallies

(5) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(3) The Shape of Water
(2) Blade Runner 2049, Darkest Hour

The Awards

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Precursor: 22nd Online Film & Television Awards (2017)

The Online Film & Television Association has announced its 2017 awards winners. While most of the winners match what a lot of people are thinking are the Oscar frontrunners, they’ve managed to push forward a couple of ideas: Lady Bird and Get Out are stronger in competition than some might thing with Get Out taking the award for Best Picture while Lady Bird is in second. The other two Oscar contenders, The Shape of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri came in third and fifth respectively. Saoirse Ronan also managed to pull off a surprise win for Best Actress topping Oscar frontrunner Frances McDormand. Baby Driver pulled off a victory over frontrunner Dunkirk in Film Editing while Star Wars: The Last Jedi won Sound Effects in something of a surprise. These are solid choices, though, they may not be predictive in a few places.

Award Tallies

(4) Get Out
(3) Baby Driver, Blade Runner 2049, The Shape of Water (4), Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(2) Call Me by Your Name, Coco, Darkest Hour

The Awards

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Precursor: 22nd Satellite Awards (2017)

In the department of awards that no one seemed to care about, the International Press Academy has selected their winners for 2017. The reason I ask if anyone cares is that we are now a week after their supposed presentation date of February 11 and I’ve only now found their winners. I looked the night of the ceremony, the day after, and at least one other point last week and found nothing. No news sources, no Wikipedia updates, and even their own website had not been updated with the winners. From the years of missing deadlines (both early and late), this group has shown that it’s small potatoes. I still cover it, but even looking at these winners, it’s hard to take them too seriously.

Award Tallies

(3) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(2) Blade Runner 2049, In the Fade, Lucky, The Shape of Water

The Awards

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Precursor: 32nd Cinematographers Guild Awards (2017)

The cinematographers have spoken and although they haven’t the greatest Oscar track record, Blade Runner 2049 remains in the race. Had anyone else, especially Mudbound won, Blade Runner 2049 would have been done at the Oscars. It now lives on to compete with Roger Deakins potentially winning his richly deserved first Oscar.

The Awards

Best Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049 (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)

American Society of Cinematographers Data

Year Founded: 1919
First Awards: 1986 (32)

Precursor: 16th Visual Effects Society Awards (2017)

Dominating the 16th Visual Effects Society awards, War for the Planet of the Apes continued its franchise sweep of the VES awards, nabbing the third trophy for Best Visual Effects. This may have some effect on the Oscars, but we won’t kow for sure unti lthe final envelope is opened, considering Oscar ignored the prior to films in the series in favor of other pictures. Coco won all of the animated categories while Blade Runner 2049 picked up a pair of prizes.

Award Tallies

(4) Coco, War for the Planet of the Apes
(2) Blade Runner 2049

The Awards

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 12

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

We’re almost into the home stretch. The last of the major precursors will be given out in the next week after the last of the major guilds were handed out this past week. There are a few stragglers the subsequent week, plus the pre-Oscar Spirit Awards, but we’re getting close to the finish line and the picture is becoming ever clearer.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 13

Tue. 13 – Visual Effects Society (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 17 – Cinematographers (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – British Academy (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – Online Film & TV Association (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – Sound Editors (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 70th Writers Guild Awards (2017)

There we have them. After a really quick announcement run, the two Oscar writing categories now have frontrunners, well at least one of them does. Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars is sure to follow suit, but the WGA choice for Original Screenplay will now face off against non-nominated Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. The Oscar is very likely to go to director Martin McDonagh for being snubbed by the directors branch, but after the year it’s had, Get Out could very certainly still win.

The Awards

Best Original Screenplay

Get Out (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me by Your Name (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Documentary Screenplay

Jane (Wesley, Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Writers Guild of America Data

Year Founded: 1933
First Awards: 1948 (70)

Precursor: 31st USC Scripter Awards (2017)

One of the easiest calls so far this Oscar season was the expected victory of James Ivory for Call Me by Your Name.

The Awards

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me by Your Name (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

USC Scripter Data

Year Founded: 1988
First Awards: 1987 (31)

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 11

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

While the upcoming week is a bit busier than this past week, it’s still a small smattering of precursors. Last week saw two guilds, one of them, the Directors Guild of America (DGA) is the granddaddy of guilds, at least guilds that give awards, and they are one of the most accurate predictors. The Annie Awards, giving out by ASIFA Hollywood, are also a strong precursor, but they are relatively new at the game since the Animated Feature prize has only been given out at the Oscars since 2001.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 12

Sat. 10 – Satellites (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 10 – Sci-Tech Awards (Oscars) (Official)
Sat. 10 – USC Scripter (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 11 – Writers Guild (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 70th Directors Guild Awards (2017)

With Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water winning both the PGA and DGA awards, it goes into Oscar night as the odds-on favorite. Three Billboards and Get Out are still threats, but considering how long it’s been since a truly huge production took the top prize, this love letter to old Hollywood in general and creature features in specific, it’s a fairly heavy favorite at this point.

The Awards

Best Direction

Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best First Feature

Jordan Peele – Get Out (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Documentary Direction

Matthew Heineman – City of Ghosts (Peter, RU:Tripp)

Directors Guild of America Data

Year Founded: 1936
First Awards: 1948 (70)

Precursor: 45th Annie Awards (2017)

Destroying all competition, Coco won every single category in which it was nominated (though, it did lose two awards because it was competing against itself. However, it’s an impressive haul, especially with a lot of the fine work against it had been nominated in a few categories. This should prove a guarantee for the film to win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature.

Award Tallies

(10) Coco
(1) The Breadwinner, Dear Basketball, Revolting Rhymes, War for the Planet of the Apes

The Awards

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 10

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

While there isn’t much going on this next week, last week was a pretty significant week. The Oscar nominations were announced. So, while I would like to talk about how Blade Runner 2049 picked up the Art Directors Guild award alongside The Shape of Water making them both frontrunners, or how the Cinema Editors threw Baby Driver under the bus and pretty much assured us that Dunkirk would win the Oscar, I’m going to focus on the nominations and who the big winners and losers were. I’ve added a section below to discuss the films that both won big and also lost big.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 11

Sat. 03 – Annie Awards (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 03 – Directors Guild (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 05 – Nominees Lunch (Oscars) (Official)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 60th Grammy Awards (2017)

La La Land won two of the three categories in which it was nominated. The surprise was one of those wasn’t Best Song.

Award Tallies

(2) La La Land

The Awards

Best Music Film

The Defiant Ones

Best Compilation Soundtrack for Visual Media

La La Land

Best Score Soundtrack for Visual Media

La La Land

Best Song Written for Visual Media

“How Far I’ll Go” – Moana

Grammy Awards Data

Year Founded: 1957
First Awards: 1958 (60)

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