Category: Precursors

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 15

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

And there we have it. The 91st Academy Award are over and we’re free for nine months until Oscar season begins again. Before we wrap-up everything for this year’s Academy Awards, let’s take one last look at the winners and losers of Oscar season based on the actual Oscar winners and losers.

Big Winners

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Precursor: 34th Spirit Awards (2018)

Finally earning its due, If Beale Street Could Talk took home every award for which it was nominated, though even the Spirit Awards didn’t nominate it everywhere it should have. Meanwhile, all the expected winners in the acting categories won.

Award Tallies

(3) If Beale Street Could Talk
(2) Can You Ever Forgive Me?

The Awards

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Precursor: 39th Golden Raspberry Awards (2018)

The worst of the year have been announced for the 39th Golden Raspberry awards. There aren’t any real surprises here. Plenty of digs at Holmes & Watson and Donald Trump.

Award Tallies

(4) Holmes & Watson
(3) Fahrenheit 11/9
(2) Death of a Nation

The Awards

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Precursor: 56th Publicists Guild Awards (2018)

The ICG Publists Guild doesn’t have anything remotely significant in terms of Oscar predictability and, of these films, four of them are fringe contenders that could be nominated, but definitely not all of them will. Doubtful that any of them would even win.

The Awards

Maxwell Weinberg Publicist Showmanship Motion Picture

Crazy Rich Asians

Best Unit Still Photography for Motion Pictures

Murray Close

Les Mason Award, the highest honor publicists can bestow on one of their own

Ernie Malik

Press Award

Justin Chang

International Media Award

Jami Philbrick

Henri Bollinger Award

Henri Bollinger

International Cinematographers Guild Publicists Data

Year Founded: 1937
First Awards: 1964 (56)

Precursor: 21st Film Music Critics Awards (2018)

Solo: A Star Wars Story was the most honored score of the year even without an Oscar nomination. The only Oscar nominee to earn an aawrd was Mary Poppins Returns in the comedy category.

Award Tallies

(3) Solo

The Awards

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Precursor: 21st Costume Designers Guild Awards (2018)

The Oscar frontrunners are the winners here, which will make for an interesting race at the Oscars where The Favourite and Black Panther will battle it out. The former has legendary, 14-time nominee Sandy Powell while the latter has another legendary costume designer Ruth Carter, who has never won before.

The Awards

Best Period Costume Design

The Favourite (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Fantasy Costume Design

Black Panther (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Contemporary Costume Design

Crazy Rich Asians (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Costume Designers Guild Data

First Awards: 1998 (21)

Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 14

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This is our penultimate week looking at the winners and losers. Next week, we’ll be looking at the winners and losers in relation to the Academy Awards, which air Sunday. This was our last opportunity to see what films will benefit and which will be injured by precursors with a small number of them coming out. The Writers Guild, the two sound-oriented guilds, and the Make-Up Artists guild are the only groups to announce in the last week.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 15

Tuesday, Feb. 19 – Costume Designers (Awards) (Official)
Tuesday, Feb. 19 – Academy Awards Voting Ends (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 20 – Film Music Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Friday, Feb. 22 – Publicists (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 23 – Razzies (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Feb. 23 – Spirit Awards (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Sunday, Feb. 24 – Academy Awards (91st) (Official)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 66th Sound Editors Guild Awards (2018)

A night of few surprises, A Quiet Place won the traditional effects/foley category while dialogue/ADR went to Bohemian Rhapsody. Rhapsody also picked up the musical category, but the surprise (to some, but not to those who’ve actually seen it) win was Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, which not only took the expected animation feature category, but also the musical underscore category.

Award Tallies

(2) Bohemian Rhapsody, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

The Awards

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects and Foley in a Feature Film

A Quiet Place (Wesley, Tripp, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Editing: Dialogue and ADR in a Feature Film

Bohemian Rhapsody (RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Editing & Music in an Animation Feature Film

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Sound Editing & Music in a Feature Documentary

TIE:
Free Solo (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
They Shall Not Grow Old (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)

Best Sound Editing: Sound Effects, Foley, Dialogue and ADR in a Feature Foreign Language Film

Roma (Wesley, Peter, Tripp)

Best Sound Editing: Music in a Feature Film

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Wesley)

Best Sound Editing: Music in a Musical Feature Film

Bohemian Rhapsody (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)

Motion Picture Sound Editors Data

Year Founded: 1953
First Awards: 1953 (66)

Precursor: 71st Writers Guild Awards (2018)

Never content to leave a race predictable. The Writers Guild of America, already with the most unusual, arcane rules of all of the guilds, went out on a limb not once, but twice. Eighth Grade beats all the odds and triumphed over Oscar-nominated scripts by familiar names. Can You Ever Forgive Me? did the same. Will this mean much to the Oscars? Obviously not. I wonder if The Favourite had been nominated, if Eighth Grade would have won. Maybe this is a sign of the weakness of Green Book as a Best Picture winner. It could still win the Oscar, but if even it can’t win the WGA, what hope does it have at the Oscars? More idiosyncratic is the selection of Can You Ever Forgive Me?, which is a rather unusual choice since If Beale Street could Talk is the most honored screenplay of the year and BlacKkKlansman as an opportunity to recognize the legendary Spike Lee. Does this matter to the Oscars? Unlikely. Lee’s name on the ballot will help more with the smaller membership of AMPAS, but at this point, nothing is certain.

The Awards

Best Original Screenplay

Eighth Grade

Best Adapted Screenplay

Can You Ever Forgive Me? (RU:Peter)

Documentary Screenplay

Bathtubs Over Broadway (Thomas)

Writers Guild of America Data

Year Founded: 1933
First Awards: 1948 (71)

Precursor: 10th Make-Up Artists Guild Awards (2018)

Nothing terribly surprising happened with the Hollywood Make-Up and Hair Stylists Guild awards with Vice winning its two expected prizes and the other nominated Oscar nominee Mary Queen of Scots winning one. A Star Is Born and Crazy Rich Asians split the contemporary prizes.

Award Tallies

(2) Vice

The Awards

Best Period and/or Character Make-up

Vice (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)

Best Period and/or Character Hair Styling

Mary Queen of Scots (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)

Best Special Make-up Effects

Vice (Wesley, Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Best Contemporary Make-up

A Star Is Born (Tripp, RU:Wesley)

Best Contemporary Hair Styling

Crazy Rich Asians (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)

Make-Up and Hair Stylists Guild Data

Year Founded: 1937
First Awards: 1999 (10)

Precursor: 26th Cinema Audio Society Awards (2018)

In a shocking turn of events, the Cinema Audio Society chose Bohemian…no, that’s not the shocking part. Most people thought it was a possibility and it confirmed my Oscar suspicions. The surprise was that Isle of Dogs managed to beat Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse for the animated sound mixing award.

The Awards

Best Sound Mixing – Live Action

Bohemian Rhapsody (Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Best Sound Mixing – Animated

Isle of Dogs (RU:Peter)

Best Sound Mixing – Documentary

Free Solo (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)

Cinema Audio Society Data

Year Founded: 1964
First Awards: 1993 (26)

Precursor: 50th NAACP Image Awards Nominations (2018)

The NAACP Image Award, an annual recognition of films, television, music, and more that celebrate the black experience in America, have made some stellar selections with Crazy Rich Asians the only title that has no black actors in it, but all of which celebrate diversity in one way or another. It should be quite telling to anyone paying attention that the sole nomination Green Book received was for Mahershala Ali and not the film itself. It’s also disappointing that the only place If Beale Street Could Talk was given its due was here.

Award Tallies

(12) Black Panther
(9) If Beale Street Could Talk
(7) BlacKkKlansman
(5) The Hate U Give
(4) Crazy Rich Asians
(3) Widows

The Awards

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 13

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

This was the week that Oscar season took some strange, unexpected turns.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 14

Tuesday, Feb. 12 – Academy Awards Voting Begins (Official)
Wednesday, Feb. 13 – David di Donatello Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Audio Society (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 16 – Make-Up Artists Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Sound Editors (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Visual Effects Society (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Writers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Feb. 17 – Satellites (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 61st Grammy Awards (2018)

For the first time in quite some years, the Grammy winners have an actual chance of matching or predicting the Oscar winners. Both of this year’s Oscar-corresponding categories are 2018 releases rather than releases from a prior year. Although Black Panther will likely lose to not-yet-eligible If Beale Street Could Talk, “Shallow” is currently the frontrunner for Best Original Song.

The Awards

Best Music Film

Quincy

Best Compilation Soundtrack for Visual Media

The Greatest Showman

Best Score Soundtrack for Visual Media

Black Panther

Best Song Written for Visual Media

“Shallow” – A Star Is Born

Grammy Awards Data

Year Founded: 1957
First Awards: 1958 (61)

Precursor: 60th British Academy Awards (2018)

The winners have been announced. Other than a couple of surprises in categories like Adapted Screenplay, Original Music, and Editing the Oscar frontrunners are either winning consistently or solidifying. Even Roma managed to pull off an unexpected win for Best Film when The Favourite was the night’s win leader with 7. Could these be the ultimate winners? Quite possibly.

Award Tallies

(7) The Favourite
(4) Roma
(2) Bohemian Rhapsody
(1) Beast, Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Green Book, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, A Star Is Born, Vice

The Awards

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