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Precursor: 11th St. Louis Critics Awards (2014)

We've got a little more catch up today with the nominations and winners for the St. Louis Film Critics. There's really not much to say about these that I'm discovering late as they just fit into the formula for the season.

Award Tallies

(4) Birdman
(2) Boyhood, Gone Girl, Guardians of the Galaxy, Whiplash

Nominations Tallies

(10) Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel
(8) Gone Girl
(7) Boyhood
(5) Guardians of the Galaxy, The Imitation Game, Whiplash
(4) Interstellar, Nightcrawler
(3) Locke, The Theory of Everything

The Nominations & Awards

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Precursor: 15th Vancouver Critics Awards (2014)

The nominees were announced on December 22, 2014 while the winners were chosen January 5, 2015. Winners are highlighted in bold. This group seemed to spread things out a little better, splitting Picture/Director in a way that it isn't normally swapped while some of the other choices are either eclectic or mainstream without fail. The Canadian film selections were a bit surprising in a few places, but without knowing enough about that late of features, I can't say if it was a good or a bad thing.

Award Tallies

(3) Mommy, Tu dors Nicole
(2) Boyhood, Violent

The Awards

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Precursor: 4th Georgia Critics Awards (2014)

Another feather in the Boyhood cap as Jake Gyllenhaal picks up a rare award this season while everything else is fairly straight forward and narrative-fitting.

Award Tallies

(2) Boyhood, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Nightcrawler, Selma

The Awards

Best Picture

Boyhood

Best Animated Feature

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Precursor: 18th Toronto Critics – Canadian Film (2014)

Catching up on some precursors from the past week, The Toronto Film Critics Association announced their winner for Best Canadian Film, which went to Denis Villeneuve's Enemy, beating out Michael Dowse's The F Word and Canadian Foreign Language Film submission to the Oscars Xavier Dolan's Mommy.

The Awards

Best Canadian Film

Enemy

Toronto Film Critics Association Data

First Awards: 1997 (18)

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Precursor: 56th British Academy Nominations (2014)

Before anyone panics, Selma and Cake (Jennifer Aniston) were likely not eligible as they did not release in Britain in time. That said, this list mostly follows conventional Oscar season narratives with the distinctions being Steve Carell got moved to supporting actor, British performers and productions still do disproportionately well (Paddington nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay, Imelda Staunton in Best Supporting Actress), and Whiplash is far stronger now than it was thought to be at the beginning of the season.

Let these nominations wash over you some and realize that the five films nominated for Best Film here are definitely locks for Best Picture at the Oscars, along with possibly five other films.

Nominations Tallies

(11) The Grand Budapest Hotel
(10) Birdman, The Theory of Everything
(9) The Imitation Game
(5) Boyhood, Whiplash
(4) Interstellar, Mr. Turner, Nightcrawler
(3) Pride

The Nominations

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Precursor: 6th Make-Up Artists Guild Nominations (2014)

Proof there's a lot of below-the-line support for Guardians of the Galaxy, which might help it's Oscar Best Picture chances, the Makeup artists have tied it with Into the Woods for most nominations at this year's makeup and hairstyling awards. The organization had given out awards early in the 2000's, but had taken a break until recently. Their predictive capability is difficult to assess. However, of the seven films shortlisted by the Academy's makeup artists, Foxcatcher, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Guardians of the Galaxy, Maleficent and The Theory of Everything make an appearance below. Into the Woods, which shared most nominations with Galaxy wasn't on the Academy shortlist. Missing from the below list that made the Academy's are The Amazing Spider-Man 2 and Noah, neither of which seemed like films the Academy would nominate anyway.

Nominations Tallies

(3) Guardians of the Galaxy, Into the Woods
(2) The Grand Budapest Hotel, Interstellar, The Theory of Everything

The Nominations

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Precursor: 28th USC Scripter Nominations (2014)

With the Writers Guild of America increasingly stingy with its nominations (only to guild members and products made under a WGA contract), the precursor that seems best at predicting the Adapted Screenplay category at the Oscars is the USC Libraries and their annual Scripter Awards. Recognizing the screenwriter and the source material author, the Scripter have a lovely little gathering each year, broadcast live on the internet, that gives out an award that's frequently in step with the Oscars' selections.

The Nominations

Best Adapted Screenplay

Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
Inherent Vice
The Theory of Everything
Wild

USC Scripter Data

Year Founded: 1988
First Awards: 1987 (28)

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Precursor: 17th Costume Designers Guild Nominations (2014)

Unlike the Art Directors Guild, the Costumers got behind a few more interesting picks. Selma finally makes it to the guild rounds. I can't see any major omissions here, though Belle missing the list is a bit surprising. That's the type of small period film this group usually goes for. Not a single one of these nominees is a traditional costume drama. There's a first for everything, I guess?

The Nominations

Best Period Costume Design

The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Inherent Vice
Selma
The Theory of Everything

Best Fantasy Costume Design

Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1
Into the Woods
Maleficent

Best Contemporary Costume Design

Birdman
Boyhood
Gone Girl
Interstellar
Wild

Costume Designers Guild Data

First Awards: 1998 (16)

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Precursor: 67th Writers Guild Nominations (2014)

Knowing that half the major Oscar contenders weren't even eligible for the WGA awards (not made under WGA-sanctioned contracts or by WGA members), it's unsurprising to see something like Guardians of the Galaxy sneak into Best Adapted Screenplay when it has no hope at the Oscars. Don't read much into these considering the ineligible contenders, though it does confirm support for The Grand Budapest Hotel, Nightcrawler and Whiplash.

The Nominations

Best Original Screenplay

Boyhood
Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Nightcrawler
Whiplash

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Sniper
Gone Girl
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Imitation Game
Wild

Documentary Screenplay

Finding Vivian Meier
The Internet's Own Boy
Last Days in Vietnam
Red Army

Writers Guild of America Data

Year Founded: 1933
First Awards: 1948 (67)

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Precursor: 29th Cinematographers Guild Nominations (2014)

A list that excludes Interstellar is ok by me, though including The Imitation Game, which is journeyman work at best, seems like a slap in the face to so many other great cinematographers this year, including those for Ida and Nightcrawler who got quite a bit of attention this year. Don't read too much into Selma missing this list since the guilds didn't get screeners, but Interstellar's absence continues to show the film has limited support.

The Nominations

Best Cinematography

Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Mr. Turner
Unbroken

American Society of Cinematographers Data

Year Founded: 1919
First Awards: 1986 (29)

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Precursor: 9th Oklahoma Critics Awards (2014)

Seeing the same results over and over again give these small regional critics problems since everyone's heard the narrative and have moved on to the more obvious precursors. Still, this group gives out some interesting other awards, though I don't particularly like the term Guilty Pleasure, especially when applied to a film that is aesthetically and critically a terrific movie that one doesn't have to feel guilty about liking.

Awards Tallies

(3) Boyhood
(2) Birdman

The Awards

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Precursor: 4th Georgia Critics Nominations (2014)

After a drubbing from two different critics groups this morning, Selma got welcome news by topping the nominations for the Georgia Film Critics Association nominations. Thanks to two separate nominations in the breakthrough category, the film easily topped Oscar nomination front-runners Birdman, Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Nominations Tallies

(9) Selma
(7) Birdman, Boyhood, The Grand Budapest Hotel
(6) Gone Girl, Nightcrawler
(4) Interstellar, Snowpiercer
(3) Ida, Inherent Vice, A Most Violent Year, The Theory of Everything, Under the Skin, Whiplash

The Nominations

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Precursor: 26th Producers Guild Nominations (2014)

Warner Bros. should either be kicking itself or should fire its entire awards publicity staff. Selma, which is receiving very strong reviews, was entirely ignored on this year's Producers Guild of America list, completely destroying the film's chances at winning Best Picture. The film, about legendary civil rights leader Martin Luther King Jr., is directed by Ava DuVernay and had been considered by many to be a shoo-in for all sorts of nominations. It has now been left out of four major guild announcements, which puts even a Best Picture nomination at risk.

Last year, Paramount failed to get Wolf of Wall Street ready for critics in time, delaying the arrival of screeners until after most critics had already voted, making it nearly impossible for the film to gain traction. It was even ignored by the Screen Actors Guild, but bounced back when the other guilds started announcing roughly a month later. This time, a film not directed by Martin Scorsese, has had a rougher fate. While it could still bounce back to earn several Oscar nominations, its future has been forever hampered by poor planning.

Other prominent Best Picture contenders that are missing from this list are Unbroken, Into the Woods, Interstellar, A Most Violent Year and Guardians of the Galaxy. Gone Girl is the top grossing of this year's nominees followed far behind by The Grand Budapest Hotel. This seems to be the lowest-grossing slate the PGA has ever put together. Getting the biggest boosts from this list are American Sniper, Gone Girl, Nightcrawler and Whiplash.

The Nominations

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Precursor: 19th Art Directors Guild Nominations (2014)

The Art Directors Guild have presented their nominations for this year's best in production design. As always, they break their recognition into three categories, period, fantasy and contemporary. After missing out on a nomination from the American Cinema Editors, Unbroken comes back with a nod here while Selma, which Warner Bros. failed to send to guild voters on screener it seems, couldn't muster a nomination here, one of its better opportunities at guild recognition. Boyhood, A Most Violent Year and Whiplash are the only other major Best Picture contenders not recognized here.

The Nominations

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Precursor: 49th National Society of Critics Awards (2014)

I don't have a lot to say about these heavily idiosyncratic choices other than the fact that they aren't that reflective of current prevailing opinions.

Award Tallies

(2) Boyhood, Mr. Turner

The Awards

Best Picture

  1. Goodbye to Language (25 points)
  2. Boyhood (24 points)
  3. Birdman (10 points)
  4. Mr. Turner (10 points)

Best Director

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