Category: Precursors

Precursor: 16th San Francisco Critics Awards (2017)

San Francisco went an unexpected direction with their 2017 winner for Best Picture. The Florida Project has gained some pretty surprising traction, beating out Call Me by Your Name, which would have been my prediction for this group’s winner. The rest of the winners are largely predictable with the exception of Andy Serkis for Best Actor and Margot Robbie for Best Actress.

Award Tallies

(2) The Florida Project, The Shape of Water

The Awards

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Precursor: 38th Boston Critics Awards (2017)

Boston has gone in fairly hard for Phantom Thread giving it a Best Picture win that no one expected. They also gave most of their other awards to expected contenders.

Award Tallies

(3) Phantom Thread
(2) Get Out, Lady Bird

The Awards

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Precursor: 16th San Francisco Critics Nominations (2017)

Blowing away all others, The Shape of Water was their most nominated film followed distantly by Call Me by Your Name and Dunkirk. There aren’t any out-of-left-field selections on this list.

Award Tallies

(9) The Shape of Water
(5) Call Me by Your Name, Dunkirk
(4) Blade Runner 2049, Get Out, Lady Bird, The Florida Project, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(3) Phantom Thread

The Nominations

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Precursor: 22nd San Diego Critics Nominations (2017)

Of all the critics groups to announce so far, San Diego is by far the most eclectic. nominating films and performances that have so far been outside the norm, they inject a bit of unusual energy into the race. It means they aren’t particularly instructive, just interesting.

Award Tallies

(8) Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(6) Get Out, Lady Bird
(4) Beauty and the Beast, Call Me by Your Name
(3) Blade Runner 2049, The Beguiled, The Big Sick, The Disaster Artist, The Lost City of Z

The Nominations

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Precursor: 6th Boston Online Critics Awards (2017)

Another critics group goes for Get Out for Best Picture. All of the winners here are either previously recognized or well regarded, so there aren’t any major surprises this time out.

Award Tallies

(3) Get Out
(2) Phantom Thread

The Awards

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Precursor: 16th DC Critics Awards (2017)

Jordan Peele’s horror hit was named Best Picture by the Washington DC Area critics. Only three films picked up multiple awards. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri picked up three different acting citations while Blade Runner 2049 was recognized in three tech categories. While many of their winners are certainly Oscar contenders, few of them are likely to be major players for wins.

Award Tallies

(3) Blade Runner 2049, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(2) Coco

The Awards

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Precursor: 17th American Film Institute (2017)

AFI announces its list of the ten best American-made films each year. Below is the list of those films. The notable omission is Blade Runner 2049, but the rest of these have been cited several times by other groups as among the best of the year with Wonder Woman the lone non-Best Picture candidate of the bunch.

Best American Films

  • The Big Sick
  • Call Me by Your Name
  • Dunkirk
  • The Florida Project
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Wonder Woman

American Film Institute Data

Year Founded: 1967
First Awards: 2001 (17)

Precursor: 11th Detroit Critics Awards (2017)

Early nominations and early wins usually means the selection of winners that are outside the Oscar conversation. Either these awards will give visibility to these productions in terms of Oscar consideration or they will be ignored as being too far out there. Only Willem Dafoe among these winners seems possible to carry over to the Oscars.

Nominations Tallies

(3) The Florida Project
(2) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Nominations

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Precursor: 16th DC Critics Nominations (2017)

Tying for first place in the nominations from the Washington DC Area Film Critics are two technical achievements, only one of which managed a Best Film nomination. The Shape of Water, Blade Runner 2049, and Mudbound were among the top seven films nominated, but not cited for Best Film. The rest of the list feels pretty standard, though the support of Mudbound is surprisingly high. This could be another situation where Netflix does well with critics and then crashes at the Oscars.

Award Tallies

(7) Dunkirk, The Shape of Water
(6) Call Me by Your Name, Mudbound, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(5) Blade Runner 2049, Get Out, Lady Bird
(4) Coco
(3) The Lego Batman Movie, The Post

The Nominations

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Precursor: 11th Detroit Critics Nominations (2017)

Why a regional group like this would want to get out ahead of the curve is anyone’s guess, especially when their selections aren’t terribly similar to what the Academy picks. They also likely didn’t get to see some of the titles they nominated, at least not enough of them, which might explain why The Post is under-represented. The list is largely composed of indie selections, which makes it tougher to equate to the Oscars in general.

Nominations Tallies

(6) Lady Bird, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(5) Get Out
(4) The Florida Project
(3) The Big Sick, Call Me by Your Name, Phantom Thread

The Nominations

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Precursor: 23rd Broadcast Critics Nominations (2017)

The nominees have been announced the big surprise is that The Shape of Water utterly destroyed all comers in terms of nominations with 14. Three films have eight each, the next highest amount. All are nominated for Best Picture. Of all the films nominated for 5 or more awards, only Blade Runner 2049 and I, Tonya aren’t up for Best Picture. There are a few surprising inclusions (Patrick Stewart) and a few surprising exclusions (no action acting categories as there have been in previous years). These nominees seem very much in-the-moment, though one film that hasn’t screened, The Greatest Showman, still managed an Original Song nominee and no others when it would likely also compete in Costume Design and Production Design as well as Score, if nowhere else.

Award Tallies

(14) The Shape of Water
(8) Call Me By Your Name, Dunkirk, Lady Bird
(7) Blade Runner 2049, The Post
(6) The Big Sick, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(5) Get Out, I, Tonya
(4) Beauty and the Beast, Darkest Hour, The Disaster Artist, Mudbound, Phantom Thread
(3) The Florida Project, Girls Trip, Logan, Thor: Ragnarok, Wonder, Wonder Woman

The Nominations

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Precursor: 26th Annie Awards Nominations (2017)

Decimating the competition, Coco should handily win many of its awards. The big surprise here is that The Breadwinner managed to pull off a feat that many indie animated films can’t: double-digit nominations. That could position it as a spoiler in a number of categories and should give it the corresponding Independent Picture race.

Nominations Tallies

(13) Coco
(10) The Breadwinner
(6) The Boss Baby
(3) The Big Bad Fox & Other Tales, Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie, Despicable Me 3, The Lego Batman Movie, Loving Vincent, Olaf’s Frozen Adventure

The Nominations

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Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 2

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

The calm before the storm. While the last couple of weeks have seen a small, but important flurry of activity, we’re about to drown in precursor awards over the next couple of weeks. This coming week alone, there are 17 groups announcing nominations or awards. Prior to those, the last week has seen the three grandparents of the precursor game, the National Board of Review, New York Film Critics Circle, and the Los Angeles Film Critics Association. They have set the tone for this year’s awards by going both in similar and different directions.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 3

Wed. 06 – Broadcast Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Wed. 06 – DC Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Thu. 07 – American Film Institute (Awards) (Official)
Fri. 08 – San Diego Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Fri. 08 – San Francisco Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Fri. 08 – DC Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 09 – Boston Online Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 10 – Chicago Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Sun. 10 – Boston Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 10 – San Francisco Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 10 – Toronto Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 11 – Golden Globes (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 11 – Seattle Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Mon. 11 – St. Louis Critics (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 11 – NY Online Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Mon. 11 – Philadelphia Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 11 – San Diego Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

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Precursor: 43rd Los Angeles Critics (2017)

The Los Angeles film critics have selected their winners for this year with two ties. Call Me By Your Name was the big winner, but The Shape of Water also performed well. The list of winners looks familiar with plenty of this year’s contenders within their ranks.

Award Tallies

(3) Call Me By Your Name, The Shape of Water

The Awards

Best Picture

Call Me By Your Name (RU: The Florida Project)

Best Animation

The Breadwinner (RU: Coco)

Best Director

TIE:
Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name

Best Actor

Timothée Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name (RU: James Franco – The Disaster Artist)

Best Actress

Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water (RU: Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project (RU: Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Best Supporting Actress

Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird (RU: Mary J. Blige – Mudbound)

Best Screenplay

Get Out (RU: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Best Music Score

Phantom Thread (RU: The Shape of Water)

Best Editing

Dunkirk (RU: I, Tonya)

Best Cinematography

The Shape of Water (RU: Blade Runner 2049)

Best Production Design

Blade Runner 2049 (RU: The Shape of Water)

Best Foreign Film

TIE:
BPM (Beats Per Minute)
Loveless

Best Documentary

Faces Places (RU: Jane)

Independent / Experimental Film / Video:

Purge This Land

New Generation Award:

Greta Gerwig

Los Angeles Film Critics Association Data

Year Founded: 1975
First Awards: 1975 (43)

Precursor: 22nd Satellite Awards Nominations (2017)

Once again, the Satellite Awards announce their nominations earlier than they posted on their own website. This kind of disorganization is plainly frustrating. So too is their inability to alphabetize anything. Now to the nominees. Dunkirk dominated with The Shape of Water not far behind. They matched all categories with the exception of which category their one acting nominee placed in and Shape of Water didn’t get a Costume Design nod (a rather strange thing that Dunkirk did). Lady Bird and Three Billboards did better here than they have so far this season and Darkest Hour managed five nominations, but not a placement in Best Picture, which features oddly enough God’s Own Country, which no one rightly expected. Other than that, most of the nominees have been on the tongues of prognosticators for a little while now.

Nominations Tallies

(11) Dunkirk
(10) The Shape of Water
(6) Lady Bird, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(5) Darkest Hour
(4) Blade Runner 2049, Get Out, War for the Planet of the Apes
(3) Call Me By Your Name, The Florida Project, I, Tonya, Mudbound, Phantom Thread, The Florida Project, Victoria & Abdul, Wonder Woman

The Nominations

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