Normally, I don't post the upcoming precursors until Monday, but I just discovered that I had incorrectly included Sunday as a new week and that would leave five guilds that are supposed to announce on Sunday without a necessary forewarning. So, here are the guilds that will announce on Sunday. I will try to update my tracking list so I don't miss these next time. And since I will be posting my updates on Monday mornings, I will also advance post Monday's as well.
Groups Announcing Nominations
Washington D.C. Area Critics Nominations (Guesstimate)
Houston Film Critics Nominations (Guesstimate)
Online Film Critics Society Nominations (Actual)
San Diego Film Critics Nominations (Guesstimate)
Groups Announcing Awards
Boston Society of Film Critics Awards (Actual)
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards (Actual)
New York Online Film Critics Awards (Actual)
American Film Institute Top Ten (Actual)
Washington D.C. Area Critics Awards (Actual)
The Grammy nominations are seldom a good precursor, but with so few groups (and no awards from any composers guild), this is one of the few that might give a faint glimpse into the potential Oscar nominations. Unfortunately, of the three categories, Best Original Song is the only one with any likely impact. The Great Gatsby was most nominated, but the Compilation Soundtrack category doesn't have a corresponding Oscar field and Gatsby is one of three 2013 films on that list. Gatsby is also on the Score Soundtrack list, which best corresponds to the Academy's Best Original Score category, but here Gatsby is the only 2013 film on the list, making it unlikely to have an impact (since any of the other films are likely to beat it).
Best Original Song has two songs from 2012, one from television and three from 2013. Of those, two have been frequently cited as potential Oscar nominees. "Atlas" from The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and "Young and Beautiful" from The Great Gatsby. The song from Safe Haven is unlikely to appeal to Academy voters and while the other two songs are decent bets for nomination, neither will win. The song from Frozen is more likely, but missed the strange eligibility period of the Recording Academy by at least a month. So, nothing much will come from this list, but it's interesting to see nonetheless.
Spike Jonze's new film, Her, was a big hit with the National Board of Review, which selected the film for Best Picture and Best Director. Yet, it was Fruitvale Station that managed to pick up the most awards with three, including Best Supporting Actress, Best Breakthrough Actor and Best Directorial Debut. So far, only two categories have been unanimous among the two groups that have announced so far. The Wind Rises picks up its second Best Animated Film award and Stories We Tell wins a second Documentary prize. This trend isn't likely to hold, but it's interesting to see a complete lack of consensus this year with no one rallying around either of the presumed front-runners 12 Years a Slave and Gravity.
What happened today with the New York Film Critics Circle could be described many different ways. A post-awards verbal sparring on Twitter suggests that there's a lot of enmity brewing in the venerable organization. Displeased with several selections, members are complaining about the votes, totals of which are prohibited by bylaw from being shared. As such, it's hard to know exactly what happened, but we do know that American Hustle (which came away with the most prizes) was in a tight race with 12 Years a Slave for the prize. The reason why the two films were so competitive remains to be seen. David O. Russell's film did come out the big winner, though. As did actors thought to be strong bets for Oscar, Cate Blanchett and Jared Leto, among others. There were notably few shocks in this list, though the utter failure of The Wolf of Wall Street to make an impact suggests the late showing issue may have prevented enough members from seeing it or it may just not be as good as people are claiming. (Commentary added 7:35pm 12/3/13)
(3) American Hustle
Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
After a few years where DreamWorks dominated these awards, Disney & Pixar have done exceptionally well once again. Tying for the most nominated gives them added respectability. The Wind Rises makes an appearance, but without Miyazaki in Best Director. Apparently, his time at the top of the animation heap has finally come to an end, being pushed out by computer animation. His film isn't likely to win based solely on his film's lack of nominations. However, never count him out entirely. At this point, Frozen looks to be nigh unbeatable here. (Commentary added 12:27a, 12/2/13)
(10) Frozen, Monsters University
(9) Despicable Me 2, The Croods
(6) Ernest & Celestine, Turbo
(3) Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, The Wind Rises
Whoever programs this organization's website needs to be replaced. Just like last year, the full list that was posted was incomplete and they slowly added incorrect names as the day wore on. It appears to be complete now as all categories have the same number of categories. After updating the information, the tallies are now accurate. Looking at the nominations, the biggest takeaway is that The Wolf of Wall Street had a particularly weak showing, which may have been because of the film receiving very late screenings. American Hustle did very well, nabbing nominations in all four acting categories while Rush is the odd duck with one major nomination (Best Director) and a slew of tech nods. There's nothing particularly glaring in terms of omissions with the kitchen-sink approach the Satellites take. Best Picture is largely reflective of where most of us think the race is now. (Commentary added 12:39p 12/2/13)
(10) 12 Years a Slave
(8) American Hustle, Gravity
(6) Inside Llewyn Davis, Saving Mr. Banks
(5) Blue Jasmine, Captain Phillips, The Wolf of Wall Street
(4) All Is Lost, Philomena
(3) Blue Is the Warmest Color, The Great Gatsby, Lee Daniels’ The Butler, Oz the Great and Powerful, Prisoners
As the precursor awards continue unabated through the month of December, I'm going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (this will be in place of my prior weekly article "Oscar Preview". Today, we look back at the results of the New York Film Critics Circle, National Board of Review, Satellite Awards nominations, Spirit Awards nominations and the Producers Guild of America nominations. This is a healthy spread of award bodies from indie to big budget, and a nice broad spectrum of critics groups.
But, before we get into this week's winners and losers, let's take a look at what's coming up this week:
Monday, Dec. 2 - Annie Award Nominations
Monday, Dec. 2 - Satellite Award Nominations
Tuesday, Dec. 3 - New York Film Critics Circle Awards
Wednesday, Dec. 4 - National Board of Review Awards
Friday, Dec. 6 - Grammy Award Nominations
Saturday, Dec. 7 - Boston Online Film Critics Circle Awards (guesstimate)
The Producers Guild of America have announced the nominations for the first of their three film categories. Documentary nominations were announced today, and the remaining categories will be announced January 2, 2014. (NOTE: These nominations were announced on November 26, 2013)
Apart from A Place at the Table and We Steal Secrets, none of these films really popped out at us during the run-up to awards season. The Academy hasn't released the Documentary Feature shortlist yet, so it's impossible to tell which of these will ultimately make the cut. We Steal Secrets and Food, Inc. sequel A Place at the Table obviously receive a leg-up from this list, but any one of these could emerge as an Oscar contender if they make the shortlist.
A Place at the Table
Far Out Isn't Far Enough: The Tomi Ungerer Story
Life According to Sam
We Steal Secrets: The Story of WikiLeaks
Which Way Is the Front Line From Here? The Life and Time of Tim Hetherington
Producers Guild Data
Year Founded: 1950 (Film)/1957 (TV)/1962 (Unified)
First Awards: 1989 (25)
The Spirit Award nominations have been announced, kicking off this year's Oscar season.
Topping this year's nominations was 12 Years a Slave picking up seven nominations followed closely by Alexander Payne's Nebraska. Frances Ha manages only two nominations but captures a coveted Best Feature slot while Fruitvale Station finds a place in the First Feature category (which typically never overlaps with Bets Feature). Before Midnight and Blue Jasmine are both expected to compete for a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars, but suffered from the lack of recognition here. Apart from Frances Ha, there has been chatter about all four of the other Best Feature nominees also carrying over to Oscar. For that matter, a lot of Oscar contenders appear on the below list.
What's additionally interesting is that some names we'd been talking about as possible nominees for the below films didn't make the list such as Carey Mulligan and John Goodman for Inside Llewyn Davis, Octavia Spencer for Fruitvale Station, and Matthew McConaughey for Mud. But the successes outweight the failures in this list, which is largely indicative of where the Academy stands regarding this year's independent slate of films.
Next week, Oscar Season begins with the first nominations of the year for the 29th Spirit Awards. For the next few months, we'll be posting almost daily updates with precursor winners and nominees from across all organizations, critics groups and guilds. Below is a calendar of events that should help you identify when your favorite precursor announces. Please note that several dates are marked as "Unconfirmed." These estimates are conjecture based on the announcement window from last year. It's reasonable to believe that the vast majority of the estimated dates will be accurate; however, as last year proved, date ranges are always subject to change.
In addition to the crystal ball clarifications that will come up, 5 groups will be celebrating a milestone anniversary this year, including some of the biggest names in the precursor business. Let's congratulate these groups on their achievements.
National Board of Review Awards (the oldest film awards-giving organization)
British Academy of Film & Television Arts (BAFTA)
Producers Guild of America
Screen Actors Guild
Indiana Film Journalists Association (the youngest film awards-giving organization)
There you have it. The 85th Annual Academy Awards have finally finished and although the Costume Designers Guild and Spirit Awards also happened this past week, their results had no impact on the ultimate results. Here are the winners and losers of the week. I'm not including the winners and losers of those two groups because they really didn't go for anything beyond what was expected. I hope to have a longer, more detailed analysis in the next couple of days.
The final precursor of the year sent a lot of love Silver Linings Playbook's way, but even it couldn't muster support for some of its Oscar-nominated components.
(4) Silver Linings Playbook
(2) The Sessions
Silver Linings Playbook
Best First Feature
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
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And there you have the last guild awards for 2012. The late Eiko Ishioka won the prize for Fantasy Costume Design making it a stronger competitor against the more expected victor Anna Karenina, which won Period Costume Design.
Best Period Costume Design
Best Fantasy Costume Design
Best Contemporary Costume Design
Costume Designers Guild Data
First Awards: 1998 (15)
This is it! The last week of the Oscar season. Unlucky week 13. The Academy Awards will be aired live this coming Sunday. There are only two precursors left, the Costume Designers Guild and the Spirit Awards. This past weekend saw four different guild precursors working to establish their place in the Oscar season. The two sound guilds, the editors and the writers have all announced and these are what films won the week.
But, before we get into this week's winners and losers, let's take a look at what's coming up this week:
Tuesday, Feb. 19 - Academy Awards Voting Ends
Tuesday, Feb. 19 - Costume Designers Guild
Saturday, Feb. 23 - Spirit Awards
Sunday, Feb. 24 - Academy Awards
Although Argo didn't pick up an award tonight, Life of Pi proved a potent competitor taking two prizes, but the big one went to Skyfall, the film many are predicting to carry the corresponding category at the Oscars.
(2) Life of Pi
(1) Last Call at the Oasis, Les Misérables, Rust and Bone, Skyfall, Wreck-It Ralph