Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 15-17, 2017

Two year ago, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, the seventh film in the most vaunted franchise in film history, opened to a staggering $247 million. Although I would be astounded to see this ninth film (Episode VIII) do the same, there is no question it will top $200 million and there are no forces outside of nuclear annihilation that will stop it from opening at number one.

Our Highest Rated Films: Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Our Best Awards Ratings: Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Oscars); Ferdinand (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Miss Kiet’s Children
The Thousand Faces of Dunjia

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 8-10, 2017

As Thanksgiving becomes a memory, December releases begin taking a stronger interest in box office success. With numerous likely huge films coming out later in the month, it’s a bit surprising that this weekend sees only a single release. Just Getting Started is the latest in a series of similar films that put big name older actors into situations that appeal primarily to older audiences. The attempt is clear, bring these folk to the box office and make money. Yet, in recent years, such films have been struggling. The question here is whether Just Getting Started can top the second weekend of Coco. I suspect the answer will be no.

Our Highest Rated Films: I, Tonya
Our Best Awards Ratings: I, Tonya (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Disaster Artist (Expanding)(Read our previous Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 1-3, 2017

Of the week’s new limited releases, The Shape of Water has the most potential to be a box office hit after its limited run. There are no new wide releases, so it will be Coco at the top of the charts.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Shape of Water; Wonder Wheel
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Shape of Water (Oscars); Wonder Wheel (Oscars); The Disaster Artist (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Badsville
Daisy Winters
Inoperable
Kepler’s Dream
Naples ’44

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 24-26, 2017

After the disappointing debut of Justice League last weekend, Coco should have a shot of taking the Thanksgiving crown in its sole-wide opening weekend. There’s the possibility that it under-performs since we don’t know how Pixar can do with characters that are all Hispanic in a very politicized climate, but a strong debut would be a good omen.

Our Highest Rated Films: Call Me By Your Name; Coco; Darkest Hour
Our Best Awards Ratings: Call Me By Your Name (Oscars); Coco (Oscars); Darkest Hour (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Roman J. Israel, Esq (Expanding) (Read our previous Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)
Antiporno
BOMBSHELL: The Hedy Lamarr Story
Eric Clapton: A Life in 12 Bars

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 17-19, 2017

What do comic book movies and the box office have in common? The former always debuts at number one on the latter. That’s certain to be true of Justice League whose only competition is the third weekend of Thor: Ragnarok. There is nothing that could destroy the film’s chances at this point. It will be a $100 million-plus juggernaut. Wonder could debut decently, but will be no competition and The Star is sure to collapse under the weight of its terrible animation (and likely terrible reviews).

Our Highest Rated Films (Above 5.0 Rating): Wonder; Roman J. Israel, Esq.; Justice League
Our Best Awards Ratings: Justice League (Oscars); Wonder (Oscars); Roman J. Israel, Esq. (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Big Sonia
Song of Granite

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 10-12, 2017

There isn’t much selection this weekend, which means Thor: Ragnarok will be taking a second tour at the top of the chart. Likely coming in second is the “anticipated” sequel to the box office hit Daddy’s Home. It’s only competition is Murder on the Orient Express, which isn’t likely to have a lot of broad appeal.

Our Highest Rated Films: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Our Best Awards Ratings: Murder on the Orient Express (Oscars), Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Amanda and Jack Go Glamping
No Greater Love
The Secret Life of Lance Letscher

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 3-5, 2017

Thor: Ragnarok will destroy its competition this weekend. The first film opened to a soft $65 million. The second film easily topped it with $85 million. Will there be a twenty-million jump again? I doubt it. I suspect the film will top its prior film for opening weekend, but not move too much further up the charts. It’s competition, A Bad Moms Christmas opens two days earlier, which means its opening weekend numbers will slump. The first film opened to $23 million before climbing to $113 million. I suspect both numbers will be missed, probably by wide margins.

Our Highest Rated Films: Lady Bird
Our Best Awards Ratings: Thor: Ragnarok (Oscars); Lady Bird (Oscars); Last Flag Flying (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

11/8/16
Bad Grandmas (Read our previous Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)
Battlecreek
Dream Boat
Frank Serpico
Gilbert
ITTEFAQ
On Wings of Eagles
Singularity

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 27-29, 2017

Absence makes the heart grow fonder and with so many years between the final Saw and this reboot may be enough to help people forget the long slide into awfulness the series had become. That should give it enough boost to reign supreme over the Halloween weekend box office. None of the rest of the films seem like they could do much in terms of box office, better yet top Jigsaw.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Square
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Divine Order (Oscars), Novitiate (Oscars), The Square (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Brimstone and Glory
God’s Own Country
The Heyday of the Insensitive Bastards
Let There Be Light

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 20-22, 2017

A large slate of new releases will compete to be the number one film of the weekend, with the films most likely to have a chance being Geostorm, Boo 2, and Only the Brave. Snowman could surprise, but the negative reviews will depress turnout. I would normally give the edge to the disaster film, but Only the Brave is timely and will likely draw more of an audience from middle America than the other films.

Our Highest Rated Films: BPM (Beats Per Minute)
Our Best Awards Ratings: BPM (Beats Per Minute) (Oscars); Wonderstruck (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Aida’s Secrets
Dealt
Golmaal Again
Jane
Let Her Out
Never Here
The Paris Opera
The Strange Ones
Tragedy Girls
The Work

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 13-15, 2017

Before the solid, but unspectacular debut of Blade Runner 2049, I would have said all of this week’s films were likely second fiddles. Now, it’s possible that The Foreigner manages to supplant Blade Runner. It’s also possible that everything bombs or Blade Runner has a good hold-over, which would put the others below it.

Our Highest Rated Films: Professor Marston and the Wonder Women
Our Best Awards Ratings: Breathe (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

78/52: Hitchcock’s Shower Scene
The Departure
Human Flow
The Lucky Man
Man from Earth: Holocene
Swing Away
WASTED! The Story of Food Waste

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 6-8, 2017

With a weak weekend last, there’s little question that Blade Runner 2049 will top the box office. The question is how big it will be. Topping $100 million doesn’t seem out of the question at this point, though the tough-selling sci-fi elements might hinder its approach to that number. That said, there’s no question it will be a big open that will likely keep it at the top for two weeks.

Our Highest Rated Films: Blade Runner 2049; The Florida Project
Our Best Awards Ratings: Blade Runner 2049 (Oscars); The Florida Project (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Victoria and Abdul (Expanding) (Read our previous Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)
Architects of Denial
Charged
Chavela
Dina
Daisy Winters
Earth: One Amazing Day
So B. It

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 29-Oct. 1, 2017

After the stellar debut of Kingsman: The Golden Circle, but the lackluster opening of The Lego Ninjago Movie, it’s hard to know which way the box office winds will blow. Tom Cruise is a consistant box office draw, even when his films aren’t great. Of course, American Made also has the advantage of tons of advertising. Flatliners, on the other hand, has had a decent, but unexceptional advertising campaign and being a remake of a popular 1990s could have some residual appreciation to prop up its claim to a solid debut. All things considered, though, I give the edge ot Cruise and company as Flatliners has no major box office draws at the top of the ticket.

Our Highest Rated Films: American Made
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

A Question of Faith (Wide)
Chasing the Dragon (Limited)
Don’t Sleep (Limited)
Judwaa 2 (Limited)
Lucky (Limited)
Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House (Limited)
Pearl Jam – Let’s Play Two (Limited)
Signature Movie (Limited)
Take Every Wave: The Life of Liard Hamilton (Limited)
Window Horses (Limited)
Youth (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 22-24, 2017

While Kingsman: The Secret Service was a surprise hit, its opening weekend was roughly $20 million off the weekend opener of the previous Lego animation entry. The Lego Ninjago Movie isn’t likely to perform to The Lego Batman Movie‘s $53 million opening and Kingsman: The Golden Circle is sure to top its predecessor’s $36 million, but will that be enough to get Kingsman on top of Lego. With little family fare at the box office and Kingsman‘s R rating, I suspect that Lego will win the weekend, but not by a wide margin.

Our Highest Rated Films: Battle of the Sexes, Stronger
Our Best Awards Ratings: Battle of the Sexes (Oscars), Victoria and Abdul (Oscars), Stronger (Oscars), The Lego Ninjago Movie (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Brad’s Status (Expanding) (Read our previous Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)
Bobbi Jean
Ribbons
Unrest
Zoology

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 15-17, 2017

With the potency of It at the box office, a second weekend atop the charts would not be unexpected. There is another horror release that’s been heavily advertised that’s on the release schedule this week and with its competition, it would be a safe bet to put it at the top of the new releases. That said, topping the second weekend of It would be shocking. Even at a staggering 67% drop, It would take in $38 million and I think it would be a stretch to believe mother! will make that much. Noah was Darren Aronofsky’s best opening to date at $43 million, so it’s possible, though unlikely it will open that high. This week’s runner-up will be American Assassin, which doesn’t seem to have the kind of attention that makes for a blockbuster debut. All I See Is You also releases, but it hasn’t had any advertising done and I doubt it even opens near the top 10.

Our Highest Rated Films: mother!
Our Best Awards Ratings: mother! (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

All I See Is You
Because of Gracia
Dayveon
Justice
May It Last: A Portrait of the Avett Brothers
Time to Die
Wetlands

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 8-10, 2017

After three weeks of dreadful box office, the cineplexes are about to get an influx of attendees thanks to two major new releases. The romantic comedy Home Again may struggle in spite of the heavy promotion the film is getting against the first major horror film to give audiences something to get excited about. The adaptation of Stephen King’s It, problematic as it seems on paper, has earned some strong early buzz, which should easily help it top the box office.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Unknown Girl; Home Again; Napping Princess
Our Best Awards Ratings: Napping Princess (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Memoir of a Murder
Paradise Club
School Life
Trophy
Twenty Two
Year by the Sea

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