Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 23-25, 2017

There’s no competition for Transformers: The Last Knight. Wonder Woman should have a decent fourth weekend, but not enough to take it into the top spot. Cars 3 had a relatively soft opening, which means its second weekend drop, even if small, is going to drop it below Wonder Woman. So, even if Transformers gets bad reviews, which it will, the $100 million opening of the prior film, in spite of bad reviews, won’t dissuade moviegoers to check it out.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Beguiled
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Beguiled (Oscars); Transformers: The Last Knight (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Alien Arrival
F(l)ag Football
Food Evolution
The Operative
The Ornithologist
Tubelight

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 16-18, 2017

It cannot be underestimated. Although Cars is the weakest series in the Pixar universe, the box office hasn’t seen a lot of animated films recently, so its ripe for a conquering. Cars 3 will do incredibly well and will likely knock Wonder Woman off its throne. That is, of course, unless the film doesn’t live up to the original and is constantly compared to the much-maligned sequel. Then things could get dicey. Rough Night will likely do well and 47 Meters Down could be a spoiler.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Book of Henry; The Journey
Our Best Awards Ratings: Cars 3 (Oscars); Maudie (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Hare Krishna! The Mantra, the Movement and the Swami Who Started it All
Jasmine
The K-LOVE Fan Awards “Ignite Hope”
Pray for Rain
Warriors of the Dawn

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 9-11, 2017

It will be an interesting fight between the second weekend of Wonder Woman and the first weekend of The Mummy. The ad blitz Mummy has been getting should put it on top, but considering they waited until tonight to start holding screenings of the film, perhaps the critics will eviscerate it and destroy its chances at number one. I give it the edge, but Wonder Woman could be on top again.

Our Highest Rated Films: My Cousin Rachel, The Hero
Our Best Awards Ratings: Beatriz at Dinner (Oscars/Critics), The Hero (Oscars/Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Miles
Night School
Chris Brown: Welcome to My Life

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 2-4, 2017

Trading on its strong reviews, the latest effort in the DC Extended Universe should pull an easy win at the box office. Wonder Woman has no serious competition for the top spot this week. Its chief competitor is the DreamWorks animated film Captain Underpants, which looks squarely targeted at children, which may allow it to do solid business, but certainly nothing spectacular. The second weekend of Pirates of the Caribbean won’t generate much enthusiasm, so the path is clear. Can Wonder Woman top $100 million in its opening weekend? That’s entirely possible, but I’m going to suggest it opens below simply because of mitigating factors that shouldn’t be mitigating in the least, but will be.

Our Highest Rated Films: Wonder Woman
Our Best Awards Ratings: Wonder Woman (Oscars), Dean (Critics/Spirit Awards)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

3 Idiotas
God of War
Love, Kennedy

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Looking at the Weekend: May 26-28, 2017

When you have a venerable franchise against a movie that no one seems to be clamoring for, the venerable franchise should win. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales maybe the latest in a series that’s grown long in the tooth, but its main competition is Baywatch, a film that hopes to tap into the audience that made 21 Jump Street a surprise hit. The difference here is critics. They have been consistently negative on both films and, for Baywatch, that’s not a good sign since Jump Street did fairly well with critics.

Our Highest Rated Films: Pirates of the Caribbean (sort of)
Our Best Awards Ratings: Baywatch (Razzies)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Buena Vista Social Club: Adios
The Here After
Long Strange Trip – The Untold Story of The Grateful Dead

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Looking at the Weekend: May 19-21, 2017

Although the previous film, Prometheus was ravaged by critics and fans, the new Alien: Covenant should still prove to be a potent box office foe. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 will likely go down to defeat. The rest of the week’s new films don’t stand a chance.

Our Highest Rated Films: Alien: Covenant
Our Best Awards Ratings: Alien: Covenant (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Champion

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Looking at the Weekend: May 12-14, 2017

A second week at the top of the charts is expected for Guardians of the Galaxy, but second place will come down to a fight between Guy Ritchie’s latest derivation on the period literary drama and the return of Amy Schumer and long out-of-the-business Goldie Hawn. Neither film sports a truly great trailer, so it all comes down to what people are looking for Guardians features most of the same genres as both with Snatched being a more raucous comedy and King Arthur: Legend of the Sword being a more violent drama. All things considered, the trailer for Snatched just doesn’t look appealing enough to make it a huge hit whereas the King Arthur trailer at least promises the kind of action and visuals that made Ritchie’s Sherlock Holmes a hit.

Our Highest Rated Films: Whisky Galore
Our Best Awards Ratings: King Arthur (Oscars), Snatched (Globes), Manifesto (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Generation Iron 2
The Last Shaman
Meri Pyaari Bindu
Stefan Zweig: Farewell to Europe

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Looking at the Weekend: May 5-7, 2017

For a reason, only one film is releasing wide this weekend. Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 re-teams the cast of the original with a handful of new characters to deliver the second set of strong box office results for Disney so far this year. There’s no question it will be the number one film of the year. The only question is can it top $200 million in its opening weekend. My guess is that it won’t. Even Rogue One couldn’t. Three films so far have managed the feat, two were long-awaited follow-ups to past blockbuster and the third was the culmination of years of build up. Guardians may come close, but I suspect it will fall short. (Editor’s Note: The ratings and information below have been updated as of 5/3/17 at 7:00pm Central to include Thomas’ last-minute entries.)

Our Highest Rated Films: Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2; The Lovers
Our Best Awards Ratings: Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 (Oscars); The Lovers (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Mr. Chibbs
Risk
Sacred
This Is Not What I Expected

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 28-30, 2017

Emma Watson has a chance to make a splash on the big screen for the second time this year with her lead role in an adaptation of the popular futuristic novel The Circle. Apart from the third week of The Fate of the Furious, there isn’t much competing against The Circle. Fellow release How to Be a Latin Lover isn’t the kind of movie that tops box office charts.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Circle
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Circle (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Below Her Mouth
Grey Lady
The King’s Case Note
The Promise (Expanding) (Read our Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 21-23, 2017

Five films release this weekend in hopes of picking up some scraps during The Fate of the Furious‘ guaranteed second week at the top of the box office. Among these, Unforgettable has the most potential for broad appeal. Free Fire is too niche, Phoenix Forgotten is being dragged down by a late and weak marketing campaign, and The Promise is trying to avoid the more lucrative and appropriate platform release to head wide at the start. As such, the pulpy Unforgettable should pick up the most business, though it won’t even come close to holding a candle next to Furious.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Maki, Free Fire, The Promise
Our Best Awards Ratings: Free Fire (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Lost City of Z (Expanding) (Read our Looking at the Weekend Coverage here)
Born in China
Citizen Jane
The Penguin Counters

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 14-16, 2017

Apart from the third film, which opened below the second, each new The Fast & the Furious franchise entry has outperformed the previous in terms of opening weekend. The first film beats the second and third in terms of overall box office, but it largely holds true there as well. The seventh film earned $147 million. This entry will either improve on that, which seems like a stretch, or will do worse, but still top the sixth film’s $97 million. That said, it’s clear the film will earn the top spot at the box office as there is no other competition.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Lost City of Z, A Quiet Passion
Our Best Awards Ratings: A Quiet Passion (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Gifted (Expanding) (Previous Article)
7 Witches
Chasing Trane: The John Coltrane Documentary
Finding Oscar
Jeremiah Tower
Maurizio Cattelan: Be Right Back

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 7-9, 2017

The Boss Baby is proof you can never count out animated films to produce strong box office results. Having one come out so close to another might prove fatal, but the other two new releases don’t sound like they’ll be much competition for Smurfs: The Lost Village or holdovers Boss Baby and Beauty and the Beast, a film that might jut rebound to #1.

Our Highest Rated Films: Your Name., Their Finest
Our Best Awards Ratings: Gifted (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Alive and Kicking
The Eyes
Graduation
Truman

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 31-Apr. 2, 2017

Although the reviews aren’t great, The Boss Baby is likely to be the week’s top newcomer, though Beauty and the Beast will still top the charts.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Zookeeper’s Wife
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Boss Baby (Razzies/Oscars), The Zookeeper’s Wife (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

God Knows Where I Am
Naam Shabana

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 24-26, 2017

What will the audience be in the mood for, other than a second weekend of Beauty and the Beast? You have two films built of television series and a new sci-fi drama starring Ryan Reynolds and Jake Gyllenhaal. Normally, it wouldn’t be a contest, but the Power Rangers are still immensely popular after all these years and CHiPs promises stupid comedy that has shown a tenacity at the box office. My prediction is that CHiPs crashes and burns while Power Rangers debuts fairly well, but Life will perform better than anyone expected.

Our Highest Rated Films: Life
Our Best Awards Ratings: Life (Oscars), The Leveling (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

I Called Him Morgan
Phillauri
Slamma Jamma

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 17-19, 2017

In 1991, Disney’s animated renaissance went into overdrive with Beauty and the Beast, which grossed more than $300 million at the box office (adjusted for inflation), and became the first animated film in history to earn a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars. The film received six total nominations, winning two for Original Song for the title track and Original Score. Three years later, Disney brought the film to the Broadway stage yielding over 5,400 performances over a 13-year span and winning one of its nine Tony Award nominations for Costume Design. Ten years after leaving the Broadway stage and 26 years after the original graced the big screen for the first time, a live-action adaptation has arrived directed by Oscar-winning filmmaker Bill Condon and starring Harry Potter alum Emma Watson and former Downton Abbey star Dan Stevens among others. There is little doubt that the film will triumph over the weekend, but how big it becomes is the question on everyone’s mind and huge might be just too small a word for it.

Our Highest Rated Films: Beauty and the Beast
Our Best Awards Ratings: Beauty and the Beast (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Burn Your Maps

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