Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 15-17, 2019

With The Lego Movie 2 underperforming, it makes next weekend ripe for a new number one film. Alita: Battle Angel may have the best chance simply because it has more advertising. That said, Isn’t It Romantic could be a surprise hit giving it the top spot. Happy Death Day 2U is a sequel to a film that wasn’t that big at the box office, so probably won’t do well in its second attempt.

Our Highest Rated Films: Isn’t It Romantic, Birds of Passage, Sorry Angel
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Hotel by the River

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 8-10, 2019

After several weeks of meager offerings, we get no less than four wide releases, with one of them clearly the frontrunner for topping the box office chart. The Lego Movie 2 is the follow-up to the incredibly popular The Lego Movie, which opened five years ago to the tune of $69 million. It went on to make $257 million. It has since gained in popularity and should have no problem pulling in more than that topping all other releases.

Our Highest Rated Films: XXXX
Our Best Awards Ratings: XXXX

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Chokehold
Peppa Celebrates Chinese New Year

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 1-3, 2019

There’s only one choice this week for box office topper and Miss Bala might be it. Glass is already growing long in the tooth, so it’s next weekend should be small enough that Miss Bala, which doesn’t have a lot of strong box office prospects could come out on top.

Our Highest Rated Films: Arctic, The Wild Pear Tree
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Ek Ladki Ko Dekah Toh Aisa Laga
Jimi Hendrix: Electric Church

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 25-27, 2019

There aren’t a lot of good options this weekend, which suggests Glass may pick up a second week atop the chart. The Kid Who Would Be King is the only new release this week that could have a superb weekend or a tepid one and still come in second.

Our Highest Rated Films: Never Look Away
Our Best Awards Ratings: Never Look Away

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

In Like Flynn
The Invisibles
Jihadists

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 18-20, 2019

The weekend sees one new wide release and it will handily top the box office. Glass is the third film in an unexpected trilogy from M. Night Shyamalan who, from all accounts, has gotten his groove back. Of course, digging back into his second-most popular feature was probably good idea for him.

Our Highest Rated Films: An Acceptable Loss; Adult Life Skills
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Heiresses

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 11-13, 2019

Of the new releases, two films are clearly in line for the chart topper position. A Dog’s Way Home is the latest canine-centric drama that could take the box office by storm. Unfortunately, it comes up against Bryan Cranston and Kevin Hart in the American remake of The Intouchables, which has all the makings of a number one film.

Our Highest Rated Films: Perfect Strangers
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Aspern Papers
On the Basis of Sex (Expanding)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 4-6, 2018

There aren’t a lot of box office options in the first weekend of 2019. While there’s one new release, everything else will be leftovers from 2018. While Aquaman would

Our Highest Rated Film: Escape Room
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Great Great Great

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 28-30, 2018

There aren’t a lot of options this weekend outside of holdovers. There are two new wide releases and only one of them has genuine potential to top the box office. Will Ferrell and John C. Reilly star as the frequently filmed Sherlock Holmes and Dr. John Watson. The pair have done well at the box office in the past and there’s little reason to think they won’t again, though they may have competition from the second weekend of Aquaman.

Our Highest Rated Films: Stan & Ollie, On the Basis of Sex, Destroyer
Our Best Awards Ratings: Vice, Destroyer, On the Basis of Sex

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 21-23, 2018

Five major films release this weekend with three of them having the potential of landing in the top spot with one of those three having a tougher time thanks to its Wednesday opening. Mary Poppins Returns is that film, which should pick up quite a lot of money in the two days prior to the rest of the weekend’s new releases opening. That diminishes its chances for a weekend win, but the other two films will duke it out quite heavily to see which comes out on top. Bumblebee is something of a reboot for the Transformers franchise, taking the series back a few decades. It’s said that this one delivers what fans of the original cartoon had always wanted in a Transformers film, but couldn’t get because of Michael Bay’s possession of the director’s chair. There might be some residual frustration about the series, which could hurt Bumblebee‘s chances. That leaves Aquaman an almost clear line to the top of the box office. The other films in the DC Extended Universe have done well at the box office and this adventure promises to be the same.

Our Highest Rated Films: Mary Poppins Returns, Welcome to Marwen, Cold War
Our Best Awards Ratings: Mary Poppins Returns, Cold War, Welcome to Marwen

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Zero
The Favourite (Expanding)
Mary Queen of Scots (Expanding)

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 14-16, 2018

Three potential box office toppers release this weekend and, once again, Marvel appears to be likely to win it all. Mortal Engines is the latest attempt to building a major young adult dystopian cinematic franchise. Few have succeeded and while this one seems bolder and more effects-heavy than prior versions, it still looks to be the kind of film that disappoints and nosedives after the weekend. The Mule is the latest attempt by Clint Eastwood to remain relevant as a viable director. The film has been labeled as minor and while Eastwood has been a draw in the past, does anyone really want to see a dour movie about an old man smuggling drugs for the sake of his estranged family? Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse is the latest Sony attempt to make something out of its Spider-Man property and all appearances suggest that they’ve finally hit on something spectacular. It’s won numerous awards for Best Animated Feature and appears to be in the running for an Oscar nomination, and possibly even a win. That plus the animated component make this a very serious threat to box office dominance. Especially with nothing else in sight.

Our Highest Rated Films: If Beale Street Could Talk; Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Our Best Awards Ratings: If Beale Street Could Talk; Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse; Capernaum

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Wedding

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 7-9, 2018

Since there are no new wide releases this weekend, it’s hard to know exactly which of the four new limited releases will perform best. All of them have potential, though the two bigger Oscar contenders are most likely to shine. Mary Queen of Scots is bigger and bolder than Ben Is Back, but the latter stars Julia Roberts, which could make things a wash. I’m going with instinct here to suggest Mary Queen of Scots since that film seems to have a much larger Oscar profile, but I could be surprised.

Our Highest Rated Films: Mary Queen of Scots
Our Best Awards Ratings: Mary Queen of Scots, Ben Is Back, Vox Lux

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Central Park
The Charmer
Divide and Conquer: The Story of Roger Ailes
Swimming with Men

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 30-Dec. 2, 2018

The post-Thanksgiving weekend is always a quiet one where the turkey day champs make another weekend of lots of money. The only newcomer will be The Possession of Hannah Grace, a film that is way outside of its customary programming window, so it probably won’t top any of the major holdovers.

Our Highest Rated Films: Anna and the Apocalypse, Sicilian Ghost Story
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

None

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 23-25, 2018

The Thanksgiving holiday weekend is always an interesting one. With several prominent holdovers and three major new films, there should be a flood of business this week. While the second week of Fantastic Beasts should be decent, it won’t be enough to top any of the three other releases. Likely placing third place this weekend, Robin Hood can look to 2010’s version for guidance on how well it can perform. With $36 million, the Russell Crowe-starrer opened strong, but there isn’t that level of talent at the top, nor behind the camera. Fighting for second with Robin Hood, but likely coming in second, Creed II hopes to best the weekend numbers for its predecessor, which opened to $29 million three years ago. Residual love should help this film, rise above the retelling of Robin Hood for a second place finish. At the top of the weekend box office, though, should be Disney’s Ralph Breaks the Internet, the sequel to its $189 million 2012 hit, which opened to $49 million that year. With competition only from Fantastic Beasts, I suspect it could top its predecessor as well, giving it a fairly wide berth to the number one position.

Our Highest Rated Films: Ralph Breaks the Internet, The Favourite
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Favourite (Oscars), Ralph Breaks the Internet (Oscars), Shoplifters (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The World Before Your Feet

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 16-18, 2018

The previous film opened to $74 million two years ago on its way to $234 million. It was the lowest tally both for the Wizarding World films, but also the lowest opening. That doesn’t mean that this second film will underperform as well. Although the new series is not based on books that were wildly popular, the first film might have been an opportunity to whet the appetites of Harry Potter fans who may just turn out in stronger numbers for the second film. Unfortunately, the second film of the Harry Potter series did underperform the original and came in well below. However, it was also the fourth best inflation-adjusted numbers of the series. I suspect this film will fall right around the same tally for opening weekend and possibly slightly higher for its full-run tally. There is no other competition for number one this year.

Our Highest Rated Films: Widows, Green Book
Our Best Awards Ratings: Green Book (Oscars), At Eternity’s Gate (Oscars), Widows (Oscars), Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Heart, Baby!
The Last Race
Team Khan

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Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 9-11, 2018

For the second weekend of November, a trio of potential box office champions are releasing with only one of those seeming to be a likely chart topper. Likely coming in third behind the second weekend of Bohemian Rhapsody, The Girl in the Spider’s Web changes directors and cast and skips book to present a new Lisbeth Salander movie. While fans of the book series will probably have no problem giving it a go, those who were fans of the David Fincher version will likely be disappointed. That gives J.J. Abrams-produced Overlord a chance to make a run for third at the box office this weekend. The film doesn’t feel like the kind of movie that excels at the box office, but it’s different enough from everything else out there, it could be a success. The third film, however, is probably going to take the box office crown. The creators of the Despicable Me series take on Dr. Seuss’ most legendary characters, The Grinch. This animated feature fills a void at the box office for animated films and should do quite well, topping Bohemian Rhapsody after its 55% drop-off.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Front Runner
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Grinch (Oscars); The Front Runner (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Narcissister Organ Player
Weightless

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