Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 17-19, 2016

The Good Dinosaur was the first Pixar film that never reached #1 at the box office, so it’s a foregone conclusion that Finding Nemo will make it there. However, that’s not the reason it will top the charts. The reason is that Finding Nemo held the record for highest grossing Pixar film of all time until Toy Story passed it in 2010 and has also since been passed by Inside Out, but if you adjust for inflation, the film has never been topped and remains atop the chart. The film’s intense popularity should help overcome a 13-year absence to give it the top spot at the box office and enable it to top Captain America as the year’s highest grossing film.

Our Highest Rated Films: Finding Nemo
Our Best Awards Ratings: Finding Nemo (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Argentina
My Love, Don’t Cross That River
A Remarkable Life
Tickled

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 10-12, 2016

The only sequel releasing recently that has the potential to perform close to its predecessor. That doesn’t mean that Now You See Me 2, the sequel to an unlikely hit, won’t give it a run for its money. Meanwhile, the latest video game adaptation looks to be headed towards defeat, at least in the United States. Overseas it’s doing fairly well.

Our Highest Rated Films: Warcraft, Diary of a Chambermaid
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

De Palma
From Afar
Germans & Jews
The Music of Strangers
Te3n

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 3-5, 2016

Three films each targeting different demographics are trying to take the weekend at the box office. In the end, the blockbuster precursor to Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows should guarantee its high returns over the romantic adaptation of Me Before You or the music mockumentary Popstar.

Our Highest Rated Films: Approaching the Unknown; The Fits
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Time to Choose
The Witness

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Looking at the Weekend: May 27-29, 2016

After the huge weekend of Captain America: Civil War, a $100 million debut won’t seem so exciting. However, that’s what X-Men: Apocalypse is targeting with its debut this weekend. Days of Future Past took in $90 million on its opening weekend, which is about where I expect Apocalypse to land if not higher.

It will have very stiff competition from Alice Through the Looking Glass. Its predecessor took in $116 million at the box office, making this a weekend that could result in two of the largest competing debuts in box office history. Which film will come out on top depends on a lot of things. Neither film is doing well with critics, which means whichever film turns out the most curious viewers will win. I give the edge to X-Men since I think that audience is far more rabid than Alice‘s.

Our Highest Rated Films: X-Men: Apocalypse; The Idol
Our Best Awards Ratings: X-Men: Apocalypse (Oscars); Alice Through the Looking Glass (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

As I AM: The Life and Times of DJ AM
La Cenerentola
Chevalier
Holy Hell
Minimalism: A Documentary About the Important Things
Unlocking the Cage

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Looking at the Weekend: May 20-22, 2016

There are three choices at the theater this weekend and the one most likely to get the most butts in the seats is the animated film. The Angry Birds Movie may be sure to top the newcomers at the box office, whether it can take the crown from Captain America: Civil War remains to be seen. The Nice Guys and Neighbors 2 will give everyone runs for their money and we could have a fairly solid performance in the Top 5 this weekend.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Nice Guys, Maggie’s Plan
Our Best Awards Ratings: Maggie’s Plan (Critics/Oscars); Ma Ma (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Gurukulam
Phantom Detective
Project Itoh – Harmony
Weiner

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Looking at the Weekend: May 13-15, 2016

Marvel’s Captain America: Civil War will certainly remain atop the box office charts. The contest for the week’s second-place finisher will be between supernatural horror film The Darkness and the star-studded thriller Money Monster. While horror hasn’t had a good time lately, this film could break the trend. However, with Julia Roberts and George Clooney toplining Money Monster, I have to give it the edge.

Our Highest Rated Films: Money Monster, The Lobster
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Lobster (Critics), Love & Friendship (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

A Bit of Bad Luck
Jimmy Vestvood: Amerikan Hero
Love Addict
Star Crossed

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Looking at the Weekend: May 6-8, 2016

After the Iron Man films and The Avengers films, Captain America is the best opening title on their roster. With the addition of a large portion of the Avengers cast, an opening weekend well above its predecessor’s $95 million is expected. Some say it could be one of the top openers of the franchise. There’s a reason why there aren’t any other wide releases this weekend as they’d all be crushed. The Jungle Book, in its fourth weekend, will pose no credible threat.

Our Highest Rated Films: Dheepan, Captain America: Civil War
Our Best Awards Ratings: Captain America: Civil War (Oscars), Dheepan (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Black Songbird
Dark Horse
Elstree 1976
The Professor: Tai Chi’s Journey
Rabin in His Own Words

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 29-May 1, 2016

Can The Jungle Book take another round at the top? It’s likely with this uninspiring batch of new openers. The only reason I give Ratchet & Clank the top chance of the new releases to come in high on the list is that there haven’t been a lot of animated films lately, which means there may be interest from families. Mother’s Day might bring women to the box office, but its simple antiquated concept isn’t likely a big draw. Keanu may appeal to fans of Key & Peele and those looking for a corny comedy, but I can’t see that be a big draw.

Our Highest Rated Films: Viva, The Family Fang
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Family Fang (Oscars), The Man Who Knew Infinity (Globes & Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

A Beautiful Planet
Eva Hesse

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 22-24, 2016

After the success of its predecessor, The Huntsman: Winter’s War is looking to make a box office impact in order to justify its creation. While there’s no guarantee it can top the second weekend of The Jungle Book, a lot will be riding on it to do so. It has no other competition for the top of the box office.

Our Highest Rated Films: A Hologram for the King, The Meddler, Tale of Tales
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Empire of Corpses (Oscars), Sworn Virgin (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

How to Let Go of the World and Love All Things Climate Can’t Change

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 15-17, 2016

Disney’s box office dominance will continue with a surefire number one debut for its live-action adaptation of The Jungle Book. While Barbershop: The Next Cut will likely be successful, it won’t have any chance of topping Jungle Book. Criminal will be lucky to breathe the same air as these two films.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Jungle Book, Sing Street
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Jungle Book (Oscars), Sing Street (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Above and Be
Our Last Tango

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 8-10, 2016

There are three new wide releases this weekend and Melissa McCarthy is the most likely to pull out the win. Whether The Boss can top the third weekend of Batman v. Superman remains to be seen. Before I Wake could tap into a demographic that hasn’t had a lot of support so far this year or video game fans could earn a victory for Hardcore Henry.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Invitation, Wedding Doll, Louder Than Bombs, Mr. Right
Our Best Awards Ratings: Before I Wake (Oscars), The Boss (Globes)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Dying of the Light
Vita Activa: The Spirit of Hannah Arendt

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Looking at the Weekend: Apr. 1-3, 2016

Only one new wide release and it’s not going to top Batman v. Superman. There’s not much else to say about it.

Our Highest Rated Films: Standing Tall, Next Time I’ll Aim for the Heart, Everybody Wants Some!!
Our Best Awards Ratings: Miles Ahead (Oscars), God’s Not Dead 2 (Razzies), Standing Tall (Globes)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Marinoni: The Fire in the Flame

Sold

Midnight Special (Expanding) (See the original Looking at the Weekend featuring this film)

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 25-27, 2016

Is there any chance that Batman v. Superman won’t have a stellar opening? None whatsoever. While it might be able to achieve Deadpool tallies over its run, it would be shocking if it didn’t top $100 million for the weekend. Meanwhile, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 hopes to replicate the slow-build success of its predecessor, even though doing so would be highly unlikely. The film has become little more than a punchline and releasing so long after the original is a major hindrance.

Our Highest Rated Films: April and the Extraordinary World, Born to Be Blue, Mia Madre
Our Best Awards Ratings: April and the Extraordinary World (Oscars), Batman v. Superman (Oscars)

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 18-20, 2016

With both prior entries in this franchise earning more than $50 million opening weekend, this film should be able to make roughly that and take the weekend crown from Zootopia. Miracles from Heaven may do well, but it won’t be able to get beyond third place for the weekend.

Our Highest Rated Films: Midnight Special, The Program
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Program (Oscars), Hello, My Name Is Doris (Globes)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Too Late

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 11-13, 2016

Four films open wide this weekend and which of them will be the top release? That all depends on audience expectations. While a second week for Zootopia wouldn’t be out of the question, of the four releases, any of them could score a decent opening. 10 Cloverfield Lane, a side-sequel to Cloverfield had a surprise release announcement and will need to parlay that into solid box office. The original film made $80 million in its 2008 run with half of that coming from opening weekend. The film has built a cult reputation since, so it could approach that and is probably the film with the best chance of topping Zootopia.

Sacha Baron Cohen’s The Brothers Grimsby hopes to lure gross-out comedy fans to the theater while Deadpool is still doing blockbuster business. That could be a crutch. After Cohen’s last film opened with a weak $17 million, the Borat opening of $23 million and Bruno opening of $30 million don’t seem very possible. It could open close to The Dictator‘s numbers, but a lot will depend on how eager audiences are to watch this film.

Romantic comedies don’t ignite the box office anymore, which could hurt The Perfect Match in its attempt to stand out from other releases. It also targets a narrow demographic, but that demographic will turn out with the right film. Paula Patton’s last debut was for About Last Night two years ago and it pulled in $25 million. It was her best debut to date, but few of her other performances were headlining films, so this could be a boost for her.

That leaves the week’s fourth release, The Young Messiah scrambling for a place in the Top 10. Targeting the same audience that gave Risen a lackluster $11 million debut three weeks ago, this Easter-targeted release will struggle against historical data to top Risen‘s total. Yet, if church audiences pony up for the film that fictionalizes the childhood of Jesus Christ, it could pass both Grimsby and Perfect Match, though beyond that is doubtful.

Our Highest Rated Films: Creative Control
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Brothers Grimsby (Razzies)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Backgammon
Boom Bust Boom
City of Gold
Eye in the Sky (Cinema Sight Preview)
Hello, My Name Is Doris (Cinema Sight Preview)
Lolo (Cinema Sight Preview)
Talent Has Hunger
Yalom’s Curse

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