Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Nov. 4-6, 2016

Every single Marvel Cinematic Universe entry has debuted at number one at the box office. Further, only three titles haven’t held the spot for at least two weeks (one of those returned to number one in its fourth weekend and stayed there for a record three more weeks). As such, there is no way that Doctor Strange doesn’t end up at number one. Of course, considering its competition, that seems like a foregone conclusion even without historical data. Trolls and its chipper style should easily fall in line in the second position, but Mel Gibson’s “return to grace” Hacksaw Ridge is the weekend’s big question mark. If it’s a box office hit, it will placate his fans and push the film into Oscar consideration. If it’s a bomb, there’s little hope for Gibson or his Oscar potential.

Our Highest Rated Films: Doctor Strange, Loving
Our Best Awards Ratings: Loving (Oscars), Doctor Strange (Oscars), Hacksaw Ridge (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Don’t Call Me Son
The Eagle Huntress
Peter and the Farm

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 28-30, 2016

It’s rather strange for a film like Inferno to find itself without competition. That makes it the only choice to be number one of all new releases. So, will it surpass the second weekends of Boo! A Madea Halloween and Jack Reacher: Never Go Back. It’s very likely. The first film opened to $77 million and the second to $46 million. I suspect this outing will be lower than both, but Madea ended up on top last weekend with $28 million, even a modest slide won’t be enough to match what Inferno could take at minimum.

Our Highest Rated Films: Inferno
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Ae Dil Hai Mushkil
Gimme Danger
Mr. Donkey
Oasis: Supersonic
Recovery

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 21-23, 2016

Tom Cruise is still a big draw at the box office and the previous film in this series was popular enough they made a sequel. Compared to the other releases, it’s likely an easy victory will await Jack Reacher. Boo! A Madea Halloween could give it a run for its money, as could the pre-Halloween horror release Ouija: Origin of Evil. Keeping Up with the Joneses could be a sleeper, but I don’t think there’s been sufficient advertising for that to occur. (EDITOR’S NOTE: Thomas submitted his commentary after publication. This information has been updated, including the rating averages.)

Our Highest Rated Films: Moonlight, The Handmaiden
Our Best Awards Ratings: Moonlight (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Fire at Sea
We Are X

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 14-16, 2016

Ben Affleck’s espionage-style actioner should be able to topple the teen-targeted superhero drama at the weekend box office. Whether The Accountant can also beat the second weekend of The Girl on the Train is uncertain.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Accountant, Certain Women
Our Best Awards Ratings: Miss Hokusai (Oscars), Certain Women (Oscars/Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Kevin Hart: What Now?
Christine
La Leyenda del Chupacabras
Maya Angelou and Still I Rise
Shadow World

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Looking at the Weekend: Oct. 7-9, 2016

Will controversy spoil Nat Turner? That’s the big question as one of the year’s most talked-about, but most controversial films opens at the multiplex. While the controversy isn’t like to keep its target audience away, the advertising has been minimal and the subject matter isn’t your typical blockbuster material. That’s why I give the edge to Emily Blunt’s thriller The Girl on the Train. Based on a popular novel, Blunt has become a reliable actress at the box office, which could give the film just the boost it needs to come in tops for the week.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Girl on the Train, The Birth of a Nation, Being 17
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Birth of a Nation (Oscars), The Girl on the Train (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Asura: The City of Madness
Mirzya
Torchbearer
Voiceless
Voyage of Time

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 30-Oct. 2, 2016

The weekend should be a win for the box office. With Deepwater Horizon and Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children hoping to do big dollars in an environment that hasn’t seen either type of film in some time. To a lesser extent, Masterminds does the same thing. This could be a strong weekend with Deepwater Horizon, but Miss Peregrine could be a spoiler.

Our Highest Rated Films: Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children, Denial, A Man Called Ove
Our Best Awards Ratings: Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children, Deepwater Horizon

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Among the Believers
Clinton, Inc.
Danny Says
Do Not Resist
Harry & Snowman
I Belonged to You
M.S. Dhoni: The Untold Story
Operation MeKong

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 23-25, 2016

Two of the hottest names at the box office, Denzel Washington and Chris Pratt, headline the weekends surefire number one film: The Magnificent Seven based on the American remake of the Japanese classic The Seven Samurai, this film hopes to cash in on name recognition to solidify its monetary potential since the genre, western, hasn’t been that popular lately. It will have solid competition from Storks, the first viable family-targeted film at the box office since mid-August and the biggest potential money maker for animated films since The Secret Life of Pets in July.

Our Highest Rated Films: Queen of Katwe, The Dressmaker, Closet Monster
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Magnificent Seven (Oscars/Razzies), Queen of Katwe (Oscar)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

The Lovers and the Despots
The Ruins of Lifta

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 16-18, 2016

As we get closer to Halloween, horror flicks will become more over-present. This film seems to be leading the charge and, after such a lengthy gap, could become the weekend’s top film, though it will have to take down Sully first, which should be a strong holdover. The week’s two other new wide releases could also have a shot, though as much as the length of time since it was last seen for Blair Witch might be even more challenging for Bridget Jones’s Baby. Snowden could be popular just to see what it says, but I suspect it will be another Oliver Stone dud.

Our Highest Rated Films: Snowden, Miss Stevens
Our Best Awards Ratings: Snowden (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Hillsong – Let Hope Rise
The Beatles: Eight Days a Week – The Touring Years
Cock and Bull
Silicon Cowboys
Wild Oats

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 9-11, 2016

The real life story blended with the Tom Hanks brand and Clint Eastwood name should help bolster Sully to the top of the box office. Add in the strong reviews and Oscar prospects and it seems difficult to beat. The Disappointments Room and When the Bough Breaks, which may cause them to cannibalize each other. The Wild Life has gotten little attention in terms of advertising, and most adults aren’t likely to want to give this one a shot.

Our Highest Rated Films: Sully, Other People
Our Best Awards Ratings: Sully (Oscars), Other People (Globes/Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Author: The JT LeRoy Story
Cameraperson
Dancer

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 2-4, 2016

With a single new wide release over the last holiday weekend before the fall, Light Between Oceans should easily be able to take over the top spot when last weekend’s number one, Don’t Breathe, suffers the traditional post-opening horror plummet. Even holdovers won’t be able to stop Light, which might just prove to be a rare Labor Day hit. $30 million is the Labor Day weekend record and that’s not a very high hurdle to climb.

Our Highest Rated Films: Light Between Oceans
Our Best Awards Ratings: Light Between Oceans (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Naam Hai Akira

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 26-28, 2016

It’s another dull week at the August box office. For a time, August had been a dumping ground, but in recent years, it has emerged as a second-coming of the blockbuster season. This month has been decidedly less so and with the new releases available, I doubt we’ll get much bigger. As horror hasn’t had a hit in some time, Don’t Breathe may resuscitate the genre with its unique spin on the genre. Hands of Stone could play well with bot Hispanic audiences and fans of boxing. Mechanic: Resurrection is hoping to bank on Jason Statham’s new stature after high profile successes like Furious 7 and Spy. However, the original film made under $30 million in 2011, and I doubt he’s got enough of a following to justify a high debut. Thus, it seems Don’t Breathe and Hands of Stone are the most likely to top new releases and possibly the box office with Don’t Breathe having a whisper of an edge.

Our Highest Rated Films: In Order of Disappearance, Complete Unknown
Our Best Awards Ratings: Hands of Stone (Oscars), Complete Unknown (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Daylight’s End
Greater
Level Up
Tunnel

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 19-21, 2016

It’s been awhile since a Biblical epic had the potential for long legs at the box office. This film, a re-adaptation of the Lew Wallace novel follows distantly on the heals of a 1925 silent version and a much more famous 1959 version starring Charlton Heston. That film, which won a record-setting 11 Oscars is so incredibly famous that it frequently re-runs on television around Easter. The big question is whether fans of that version see any need for this latest version. Some will check it out, but the fact that it’s being advertised to a younger generation may showcase how little faith it has in turning out older audiences who revere the William Wyler version and how few prospects they really think they have. It’s possible that audiences instead turn to war comedy War Dogs for entertainment, though I doubt any of them will have sufficient interest to accrue massive weekend dollars.

Our Highest Rated Films: Kubo and the Two Strings, Mia Madre
Our Best Awards Ratings: Kubo and the Two Strings (Oscars), The People vs. Fritz Bauer (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Down By Love
Lo and Behold, Reveries of the Connected World
Spa Night
The Student and Mr. Henri
A Tale of Love and Darkness

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 12-14, 2016

Early reviews are surprisingly good, meaning Disney might have another hit on its hands. Fans of the original may take their children to see this new version, which could bolster attendance. The rest of the new releases look like they’ll struggle to keep up, though Sausage Party has the most potential to surprise everyone.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hell or High Water; Florence Foster Jenkins
Our Best Awards Ratings: Florence Foster Jenkins (Oscars/Golden Globes); Hell or High Water (Oscars / Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Disorder
The Fight Within
My King (Mon roi)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 5-7, 2016

Superhero movies may never struggle at the box office again and with anti-hero Deadpool doing so incredibly well earlier this year, the same is expected of its dark DC counterpart Suicide Squad. The film is expected to top $100 million this weekend, which would crush all competition. Nine Lives is also releasing, but most people will ask what it was after the fact.

Our Highest Rated Films: Five Nights in Maine, Suicide Squad, Front Cover
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Citizen Soldier
Little Men
Neither Heaven Nor Earth

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 29-31, 2016

With Matt Damon back at the helm, the fifth film in the Jason Bourne franchise will likely see a sizable jump in its opening weekend numbers. The first film in the series was the worst with a $27.1 million opening. The second film had a sizable bump to $52.5 million while the third film had another nice jump to $69.3 million. The fourth film, starring Jeremy Renner opened to a lower-than-hoped $38.1 million. Should Jason Bourne jump back to its prior high water marks, it will still win the weekend. Even performing to the 2012 film’s numbers would likely take the weekend. There is simply no other competition capable of stopping it.

Our Highest Rated Films: Jason Bourne, Indignation
Our Best Awards Ratings: Indignation (Oscars), Jason Bourne (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Gleason

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