Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 18-20, 2016

With both prior entries in this franchise earning more than $50 million opening weekend, this film should be able to make roughly that and take the weekend crown from Zootopia. Miracles from Heaven may do well, but it won’t be able to get beyond third place for the weekend.

Our Highest Rated Films: Midnight Special, The Program
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Program (Oscars), Hello, My Name Is Doris (Globes)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Too Late

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 11-13, 2016

Four films open wide this weekend and which of them will be the top release? That all depends on audience expectations. While a second week for Zootopia wouldn’t be out of the question, of the four releases, any of them could score a decent opening. 10 Cloverfield Lane, a side-sequel to Cloverfield had a surprise release announcement and will need to parlay that into solid box office. The original film made $80 million in its 2008 run with half of that coming from opening weekend. The film has built a cult reputation since, so it could approach that and is probably the film with the best chance of topping Zootopia.

Sacha Baron Cohen’s The Brothers Grimsby hopes to lure gross-out comedy fans to the theater while Deadpool is still doing blockbuster business. That could be a crutch. After Cohen’s last film opened with a weak $17 million, the Borat opening of $23 million and Bruno opening of $30 million don’t seem very possible. It could open close to The Dictator‘s numbers, but a lot will depend on how eager audiences are to watch this film.

Romantic comedies don’t ignite the box office anymore, which could hurt The Perfect Match in its attempt to stand out from other releases. It also targets a narrow demographic, but that demographic will turn out with the right film. Paula Patton’s last debut was for About Last Night two years ago and it pulled in $25 million. It was her best debut to date, but few of her other performances were headlining films, so this could be a boost for her.

That leaves the week’s fourth release, The Young Messiah scrambling for a place in the Top 10. Targeting the same audience that gave Risen a lackluster $11 million debut three weeks ago, this Easter-targeted release will struggle against historical data to top Risen‘s total. Yet, if church audiences pony up for the film that fictionalizes the childhood of Jesus Christ, it could pass both Grimsby and Perfect Match, though beyond that is doubtful.

Our Highest Rated Films: Creative Control
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Brothers Grimsby (Razzies)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Backgammon
Boom Bust Boom
City of Gold
Eye in the Sky (Cinema Sight Preview)
Hello, My Name Is Doris (Cinema Sight Preview)
Lolo (Cinema Sight Preview)
Talent Has Hunger
Yalom’s Curse

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Looking at the Weekend: Mar. 4-6, 2016

London Has Fallen is following a highly successful original, but Disney should handily take the weekend’s top spot. How far above remains to be seen, but unnecessary sequels don’t always sell well with audiences even if they liked the predecessor.

Our Highest Rated Films: Zootopia, The Wave
Our Best Awards Ratings: Zootopia (Oscars), Knight of Cups (Oscars)

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 26-28, 2016

Could we see a third weekend atop the box office chart for Deadpool considering the competition, it’s possible. Gods of Egypt looks to be the most prominent contender this week and that film has been plagued by accusations of racism. However, that won’t stop the white teen audience its targeting from turning out for the spectacle. However, the magic-and-sandal action films of the last few years haven’t been showing signs of longevity, which could be a problem. Triple 9 could suffer from being up against another dark, gritty action film (Deadpool), which could give Eddie the Eagle a solid shot at family dollars.

Our Highest Rated Films: Triple 9, Eddie the Eagle, Crouching Tiger 2
Our Best Awards Ratings: Gods of Egypt (Razzies)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

King Georges
The Last Man on the Moon
Ran (re-issue)

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 19-21, 2016

There’s not a lot of competition this weekend, so Deadpool will lay claim to a second weekend atop the box office charts. The top new release is likely to be Risen, a Christian-targeted film that shouldn’t have much competition from the poorly advertised Race and the period horror film The Witch..

Our Highest Rated Films: Embrace of the Serpent, Neerja
Our Best Awards Ratings: Embrace of the Serpent (Oscar-nominated)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Busco Novio Para Mi Mujer

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 12-14, 2016

How much can an R-rated film, especially a comic book movie, do at the weekend box office? We’re about to find out. While How to Be Single will be interesting counterprogramming and could do quite well, Zoolander 2 appeals to a somewhat similar demographic as Deadpool and I doubt such a long span between releases will be that effective.

Our Highest Rated Films: Deadpool, Of Mind and Music, Where to Invade Next
Our Best Awards Ratings: Deadpool (Oscars), Zoolander 2 (Razzies), Touched with Fire (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Providence

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Looking at the Weekend: Feb. 5-7, 2016

The Coens face off against Regency Zombies in this week’s box office competition. While the Coens haven’t always been the biggest box office draws, their current film is a star-studded comedy that should barely top the re-telling of Pride and Prejudice with zombies. I guess I should probably give more credence to the latest Nicholas Sparks adaptation, but it looks so dreadful that even die hard fans of the genre will probably stay away.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hail, Caesar!
Our Best Awards Ratings: Hail, Caesar! (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

I Knew Her Well

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 29-31, 2016

Kung Fu Panda and its first sequel were hits. I see no reason to believe that it won’t happen again. This week’s two other wide releases don’t convince me they can top the Panda. While the spoof genre has had some success with mainstream audiences, as have disaster films, these two films just don’t seem like the broadly-appealing titles that would take down a film whose second part took in $47 million on opening weekend.

Our Highest Rated Films: Kung Fu Panda & 2016 Oscar-Nominated Shorts
Our Best Awards Ratings: Kung Fu Panda (Oscars)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 22-24, 2016

It’s hard to tell what the hit of the weekend will be. The 5th Wave has a built-in audience, but Dirty Grandpa breaks a long span lacking in comedy. I’m going to give the edge to 5th Wave because it tickles the alien invasion concept that has been quite popular in the past.

Our Highest Rated Films: Aferim!, Synchronicity, The 5th Wave
Our Best Awards Ratings: Dirty Grandpa (Razzies), Monster Hunt (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Monkey Up

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 15-17, 2016

Michael Bay has a way with bringing people to the theater even if their tastes aren’t the greatest. This should appeal to the same crowd that made American Sniper a hit, but probably to a much smaller degree.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Benefactor, A Perfect Day
Our Best Awards Ratings: 13 Hours (Razzies)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 8-10, 2016

There are only two new releases this weekend and one of them’s a horror film, which should be enough to make it the top of the two. The weekend will surely be dominated by holdovers otherwise.

Our Highest Rated Film: The Treasure
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Expanding: The Revenant (Previously Reviewed in Looking at the Weekend)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jan. 1-3, 2016

There are no new wide releases this weekend, so Star Wars: The Force Awakens will continue to dominate. Of the new releases at the specialty box office, Anomalisa will tower over newcomer Yosemite and possibly over all others in that marketplace.

Our Highest Rated Films: Anomalisa
Our Best Awards Ratings: Anomalisa (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Devil and Angel

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 25-27, 2015

Counter-programming is the name of the weekend. With Christmas falling on a Friday, the box office for the second weekend of Star Wars: The Force Awakens will be record-breaking. Each of this week’s new releases will find that an unfortunate thing since they’ll each be trying to conquer holiday audiences with Joy, Concussion and Daddy’s Home fighting for second place. Point Break will struggle to make the top ten. I’m giving the edge to the best counter-programming: Daddy’s Home, the only comedy of the bunch in a sea of unsuccessful comedies. Of course, Joy may have a leg-up on Daddy’s Home simply because of its lead.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Hateful Eight, 45 Years
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Revenant (Oscars), 45 Years (Oscars), The Hateful Eight (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Expanding: The Big Short (Previously Reviewed in Looking at the Weekend)

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 18-20, 2015

Perhaps outgrossing all other films in release this weekend, the rebirth of the Star Wars franchise begins here. Will it end here? A disappointing box office or disappointed fans will point one way, “all is forgiven” shouts will push it in the other direction.

Our Highest Rated Films: Son of Saul, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Our Best Awards Ratings: Son of Saul (Oscars), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Oscars)

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Looking at the Weekend: Dec. 11-13, 2015

Another weekend lacking in new releases. A new box office champion will be crowned as In the Heart of the Sea will be the top new release even if it’s a box office dud, which is also possible.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Big Short
Our Best Awards Ratings: In the Heart of the Sea (Oscars), The Big Short (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Legend (Previously Reviewed in Looking at the Weekend)

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