Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 26-28, 2016

It’s another dull week at the August box office. For a time, August had been a dumping ground, but in recent years, it has emerged as a second-coming of the blockbuster season. This month has been decidedly less so and with the new releases available, I doubt we’ll get much bigger. As horror hasn’t had a hit in some time, Don’t Breathe may resuscitate the genre with its unique spin on the genre. Hands of Stone could play well with bot Hispanic audiences and fans of boxing. Mechanic: Resurrection is hoping to bank on Jason Statham’s new stature after high profile successes like Furious 7 and Spy. However, the original film made under $30 million in 2011, and I doubt he’s got enough of a following to justify a high debut. Thus, it seems Don’t Breathe and Hands of Stone are the most likely to top new releases and possibly the box office with Don’t Breathe having a whisper of an edge.

Our Highest Rated Films: In Order of Disappearance, Complete Unknown
Our Best Awards Ratings: Hands of Stone (Oscars), Complete Unknown (Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Daylight’s End
Greater
Level Up
Tunnel

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 19-21, 2016

It’s been awhile since a Biblical epic had the potential for long legs at the box office. This film, a re-adaptation of the Lew Wallace novel follows distantly on the heals of a 1925 silent version and a much more famous 1959 version starring Charlton Heston. That film, which won a record-setting 11 Oscars is so incredibly famous that it frequently re-runs on television around Easter. The big question is whether fans of that version see any need for this latest version. Some will check it out, but the fact that it’s being advertised to a younger generation may showcase how little faith it has in turning out older audiences who revere the William Wyler version and how few prospects they really think they have. It’s possible that audiences instead turn to war comedy War Dogs for entertainment, though I doubt any of them will have sufficient interest to accrue massive weekend dollars.

Our Highest Rated Films: Kubo and the Two Strings, Mia Madre
Our Best Awards Ratings: Kubo and the Two Strings (Oscars), The People vs. Fritz Bauer (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Down By Love
Lo and Behold, Reveries of the Connected World
Spa Night
The Student and Mr. Henri
A Tale of Love and Darkness

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 12-14, 2016

Early reviews are surprisingly good, meaning Disney might have another hit on its hands. Fans of the original may take their children to see this new version, which could bolster attendance. The rest of the new releases look like they’ll struggle to keep up, though Sausage Party has the most potential to surprise everyone.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hell or High Water; Florence Foster Jenkins
Our Best Awards Ratings: Florence Foster Jenkins (Oscars/Golden Globes); Hell or High Water (Oscars / Critics)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Disorder
The Fight Within
My King (Mon roi)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 5-7, 2016

Superhero movies may never struggle at the box office again and with anti-hero Deadpool doing so incredibly well earlier this year, the same is expected of its dark DC counterpart Suicide Squad. The film is expected to top $100 million this weekend, which would crush all competition. Nine Lives is also releasing, but most people will ask what it was after the fact.

Our Highest Rated Films: Five Nights in Maine, Suicide Squad, Front Cover
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Citizen Soldier
Little Men
Neither Heaven Nor Earth

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 29-31, 2016

With Matt Damon back at the helm, the fifth film in the Jason Bourne franchise will likely see a sizable jump in its opening weekend numbers. The first film in the series was the worst with a $27.1 million opening. The second film had a sizable bump to $52.5 million while the third film had another nice jump to $69.3 million. The fourth film, starring Jeremy Renner opened to a lower-than-hoped $38.1 million. Should Jason Bourne jump back to its prior high water marks, it will still win the weekend. Even performing to the 2012 film’s numbers would likely take the weekend. There is simply no other competition capable of stopping it.

Our Highest Rated Films: Jason Bourne, Indignation
Our Best Awards Ratings: Indignation (Oscars), Jason Bourne (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Gleason

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 22-24, 2016

A pitched battle will occur this weekend as the third in the rebooted Star Trek franchise goes up against the fifth film in the Ice Age trilogy (that’s what the trailers call it). The Ice Age films have opened fairly consistently between $41 and $46 with the second film the lone outlier at $68 million. By comparison, the prior to Trek films have opened right around the $70-$75 million range. If both perform up to those expectations, Trek will end up on top. The problem for Trek is that the second film wasn’t very well received and might cause a depression in the box office tally. Meanwhile, world events being what they are, families may want to take their kids to see something uplifting (and for themselves as well). So, it could be a tighter fight than expected.

Our Highest Rated Films: Star Trek: Beyond, Don’t Think Twice
Our Best Awards Ratings: Star Trek: Beyond (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Beta Test
Madaari
Summertime
Train to Busan

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 15-17, 2016

After the stellar debut last weekend of The Secret Life of Pets, it’s hard to believe that after all the negative attention Ghostbusters has received that it will be a huge box office opener. Still, if it can pull in non-Ghostbro fans of the original along with a whole new, younger generation, then we might have a decent opening on our hands.

Our Highest Rated Films: Ghostbusters
Our Best Awards Ratings: Phantom Boy (Oscars), Ghostbusters (Oscars/Razzies)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Garnet’s Gold
La Favorita

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 8-11, 2016

After two weeks of films not being able to topple Finding Nemo at the U.S. box office, we’re about to find that film replaced with another animated film. This time, it’s The Secret Life of Pets and there isn’t likely anything Disney/Pixar can do about it. Please note that both Tripp and Thomas are on vacation this week, so it’s Peter and I alone. (EDITOR’S NOTE: Thomas got back from his vacation and submitted his data. The below post has been updated to reflect this.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Secret Life of Pets, Our Little Sister
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Secret Life of Pets (Oscars), Our Little Sister (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Indian Point
Norman Lear: Just Another Version of You
Sultan
Under the Sun
Zero Days

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 1-3, 2016

A trio of new films opens this weekend and, of the two, only one can be said to have a built-in audience already. The Purge: Election Year is the third film in the popular horror franchise, a strangely fitting entry into this year’s film race. It won’t likely top the charts, but it will have the best chance of not underperforming. Both The BFG and The Legend of Tarzan have had soft interest from audiences, so they may not be able to do much in the way of box office. Of course, it’s a three-day weekend, so it’s possible they could both do well. I’m giving the edge to the Steven Spielberg effort.

Our Highest Rated Films: The BFG, The Innocents, Our Kind of Traitor
Our Best Awards Ratings: The BFG (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Life, Animated

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 24-26, 2016

Can one of the biggest hits of the 1990s turn into a big hit for the 2010s? If you look at Jurassic World for a sign, then the answer would be yes. However, with no advanced screenings for critics and a rather lackluster advertising campaign going on, the film could end up a dud. It may still win the weekend, but it may not top the second week of Finding Dory.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hunt for the Wilderpeople, The Kind Words, Weiner-Dog
Our Best Awards Ratings: Independence Day: Resurgence (Oscars), Free State of Jones (Globes)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Eat That Question: Frank Zappa in His Own Words
From This Day Forward
Raman Raghav 2.0
Three

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 17-19, 2016

The Good Dinosaur was the first Pixar film that never reached #1 at the box office, so it’s a foregone conclusion that Finding Nemo will make it there. However, that’s not the reason it will top the charts. The reason is that Finding Nemo held the record for highest grossing Pixar film of all time until Toy Story passed it in 2010 and has also since been passed by Inside Out, but if you adjust for inflation, the film has never been topped and remains atop the chart. The film’s intense popularity should help overcome a 13-year absence to give it the top spot at the box office and enable it to top Captain America as the year’s highest grossing film.

Our Highest Rated Films: Finding Nemo
Our Best Awards Ratings: Finding Nemo (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Argentina
My Love, Don’t Cross That River
A Remarkable Life
Tickled

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 10-12, 2016

The only sequel releasing recently that has the potential to perform close to its predecessor. That doesn’t mean that Now You See Me 2, the sequel to an unlikely hit, won’t give it a run for its money. Meanwhile, the latest video game adaptation looks to be headed towards defeat, at least in the United States. Overseas it’s doing fairly well.

Our Highest Rated Films: Warcraft, Diary of a Chambermaid
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

De Palma
From Afar
Germans & Jews
The Music of Strangers
Te3n

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 3-5, 2016

Three films each targeting different demographics are trying to take the weekend at the box office. In the end, the blockbuster precursor to Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows should guarantee its high returns over the romantic adaptation of Me Before You or the music mockumentary Popstar.

Our Highest Rated Films: Approaching the Unknown; The Fits
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Time to Choose
The Witness

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Looking at the Weekend: May 27-29, 2016

After the huge weekend of Captain America: Civil War, a $100 million debut won’t seem so exciting. However, that’s what X-Men: Apocalypse is targeting with its debut this weekend. Days of Future Past took in $90 million on its opening weekend, which is about where I expect Apocalypse to land if not higher.

It will have very stiff competition from Alice Through the Looking Glass. Its predecessor took in $116 million at the box office, making this a weekend that could result in two of the largest competing debuts in box office history. Which film will come out on top depends on a lot of things. Neither film is doing well with critics, which means whichever film turns out the most curious viewers will win. I give the edge to X-Men since I think that audience is far more rabid than Alice‘s.

Our Highest Rated Films: X-Men: Apocalypse; The Idol
Our Best Awards Ratings: X-Men: Apocalypse (Oscars); Alice Through the Looking Glass (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

As I AM: The Life and Times of DJ AM
La Cenerentola
Chevalier
Holy Hell
Minimalism: A Documentary About the Important Things
Unlocking the Cage

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Looking at the Weekend: May 20-22, 2016

There are three choices at the theater this weekend and the one most likely to get the most butts in the seats is the animated film. The Angry Birds Movie may be sure to top the newcomers at the box office, whether it can take the crown from Captain America: Civil War remains to be seen. The Nice Guys and Neighbors 2 will give everyone runs for their money and we could have a fairly solid performance in the Top 5 this weekend.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Nice Guys, Maggie’s Plan
Our Best Awards Ratings: Maggie’s Plan (Critics/Oscars); Ma Ma (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Gurukulam
Phantom Detective
Project Itoh – Harmony
Weiner

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