Category: Monthly Previews

2018 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: July

July 6, 2018

Ant-Man and the Wasp

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “Uncertain. The effects look more diverse this time around, which could put it into competition for Visual Effects. It will probably make the shortlist, but not the Oscars.”
Oscar Results: The film has faded a bit, but I suspect it will be on the semifinalist list when it’s announced in the coming weeks. That said, it has a lot of competition and, at this point, I’m not sure it could pull anything off.
Box Office Prospects: $200 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Good. The prior film made $180 million at the box office. This sequel is a one of only two films between now and the Infinity War sequel, so it has the potential to draw attention to look for clues as to what will happen next. However, I suspect it will remain one of the lower-grossing franchise films.”
Box Office Results: $216.6 M
Thoughts: [Success] Performing about as well as expected, this mid-tier MCU movie did what it had to do to justify future sequels for Paul Rudd’s shrinking and enlarging hero.

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2018 Oscar Season Preview: November

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

December 7, 2018

Ben Is Back (Limited)

Premise: From IMDb: “Follows the charming yet troubled Ben Burns (Hedges), who returns home to his unsuspecting family one fateful Christmas Eve. Ben’s wary mother Holly Burns (Roberts) welcomes her beloved son’s return, but soon learns he is still very much in harm’s way. During the 24 hours that may change their lives forever, Holly must do everything in her power to avoid the family’s downfall.”
Box Office Prospects: $25 M
Expectations: Uncertain. Julia Roberts used to be a major box office draw and to an extent that’s still partly true. However, her strength at selling dramas is weaker and I suspect this won’t be a huge success for her.
Oscar Prospects: Weak. Roberts is pushing for an Oscar nomination for her role in this and while the dramatics of it certainly play in her favor, the film itself hasn’t built much traction yet, so she could be a background contender.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: June

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

June 1, 2018

Action Point

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $60 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Weak. The film looks cheap and while I would like to say it looks like a film that will flop, the Jackass team has been modestly successful in the recent past, so I can’t claim it will be a huge success, but it will probably be some sort of success.”
Box Office Results: $5.1 M
Thoughts: [Major Flop] Proof that not everything the old Jackass team turns to gold.

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2018 Oscar Season Preview: November

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

November 2, 2018

Bohemian Rhapsody

Premise: From IMDb: “A chronicle of the years leading up to Queen’s legendary appearance at the Live Aid (1985) concert in 1985.”
Box Office Prospects: $65 M
Expectations: Uncertain. There are a lot of Queen fans, but is this movie really something they’ve been clamoring to see. The first trailer did enthuse some, but will that be enough to make it a hit.
Oscar Prospects: Uncertain. While the Best Actor category is starting to solidify, there might still be room for a performance form Rami Malek if the film is even remotely good.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: May

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

May 4, 2018

Bad Samaritan

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $1.5 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Weak. I don’t see there being a huge audience for this film, except perhaps when it comes to home viewing.”
Box Office Results: $3.4 M
Thoughts: [Unexceptional] It was a poor choice of release on the first weekend in May, but it outperformed my expectations, which is at least something.

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2018 Oscar Season Preview: October

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

October 5, 2018

A Star Is Born

Premise: From IMDb: “A musician helps a young singer and actress find fame, even as age and alcoholism send his own career into a downward spiral.”
Box Office Prospects: $120 M
Expectations: Excellent. Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga in a critically acclaimed musical drama? It sounds like a blockbuster waiting to happen. Seriously.
Oscar Prospects: Excellent. The film did amazingly well on the festival circuit and enters the Oscar race as a frontrunner for nominations. Wins might be a tougher sell, but nominations are assured.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Spring Season Preview Wrap-Up: April

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

April 6, 2018

Blockers

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $65 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Uncertain. R-rated comedies have had a hit-or-miss relationship with the box office in recent years and while Game Night managed to perform well not long ago, this film will face a tougher box office with a bit more competition. It could still do quite well, but maybe not as well as it should.”
Box Office Results: $60.1 M
Thoughts: [Unexceptional] Failing to become a spring breakout hit, this parental comedy nevertheless did decently at the box office, but nothing to ensure a sequel.

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2018 Oscar Season Preview: September

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

September 7, 2018

The Nun

Premise: From IMDb: “When a young nun at a cloistered abbey in Romania takes her own life, a priest with a haunted past and a novitiate on the threshold of her final vows are sent by the Vatican to investigate. Together they uncover the order’s unholy secret. Risking not only their lives but their faith and their very souls, they confront a malevolent force in the form of the same demonic nun that first terrorized audiences in ‘The Conjuring 2,’ as the abbey becomes a horrific battleground between the living and the damned.”
Box Office Prospects: $80 M
Expectations: Decent. While the Conjuring series has been fairly successful in making money, the prequels tend to perform more weakly, thus a fairly low expected tally for this film.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Oscar Season Preview: Introduction

There are a lot of potential blockbusters releasing these last four months of the year, but a lot of the major Oscar contenders don’t appear to have been scheduled yet, which could muddy the prognostication waters if they release too late.

To introduce you to the upcoming films, there will be two preview articles every month and this introduction every four months. The Season Preview article will focus on one of three seasons Spring Season (January through April), Blockbuster Season (May through August) and Oscar Season (September through December). In these introductory articles, I will give you the current release schedule for the specified season, which may change as the release dates get closer.

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2018 Spring Season Preview Wrap-Up: March

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

March 2, 2018

Death Wish

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $60 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Uncertain. The Original film made roughly $108 million adjusted for inflation back in 1974. There are three factors that may ultimately work against it. Bruce Willis hasn’t had a sizable hit in some time with $67 being the average of his last two solo efforts, the last being 5 years ago. The second is director Eli Roth has only once had a box office hit and that was a minor one with Hostel making just over $47 million. The third is that it’s opening against spy thriller Red Sparrow starring the more formidable box office draw Jennifer Lawrence.”
Box Office Results: $34 M
Thoughts: [Flop] Bruce Willis hasn’t really managed to parlay his brief career resurgence into generic territory and win.

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2018 Summer Season Preview: August

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

August 3, 2018

Christopher Robin

Premise: From IMDb: “A working-class family man, Christopher Robin, encounters his childhood friend Winnie-the-Pooh, who helps him to rediscover the joys of life.”
Box Office Prospects: $100 M
Expectations: Good. Disney’s Winnie the Pooh is a beloved figure and them turning A.A. Milne’s story into something deeper and richer may appeal to fans young and old.
Oscar Prospects: Uncertain. The film has all the earmarks of a potential Disney Oscar nominee; however, it also reminds heavily of Saving Mr. Banks, which isn’t a great comparison.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Spring Season Preview Wrap-Up: February

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

February 2, 2018

Winchester

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $40 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Uncertain. The haunted house genre hasn’t been nearly as popular as it should be, so this one probably won’t perform that well.”
Box Office Results: $25.1 M
Thoughts: [Flop] It seems that even a promising premise with a solid lead cannot turn a profit when the trailer doesn’t make it seem thrilling enough.

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2018 Summer Season Preview: July

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

July 6, 2018

Ant-Man and the Wasp

Premise: From IMDb: “In the aftermath of ‘Captain America: Civil War,’ Scott Lang grapples with the consequences of his choices as both a Super Hero and a father. As he struggles to re-balance his home life with his responsibilities as Ant-Man, he’s confronted by Hope van Dyne and Dr. Hank Pym with an urgent new mission. Scott must once again put on the suit and learn to fight alongside The Wasp as the team works together to uncover secrets from their past.”
Box Office Prospects: $200 M
Expectations: Good. The prior film made $180 million at the box office. This sequel is a one of only two films between now and the Infinity War sequel, so it has the potential to draw attention to look for clues as to what will happen next. However, I suspect it will remain one of the lower-grossing franchise films.
Oscar Prospects: Uncertain. The effects look more diverse this time around, which could put it into competition for Visual Effects. It will probably make the shortlist, but not the Oscars.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Spring Season Preview Wrap-Up: January

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

January 5, 2018

Insidious: The Last Key

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $45 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Adequate. The original film and the third made just over $50 million, but the second topped $80. While the reason for sequels is the success of a predecessor, the drop back to normal on the third film suggests the franchise is losing steam. While I doubt it will be an outright flop, the prior films all released later in the year. This early in the year won’t likely help the bottom line.”
Box Office Results: $67.3 M
Thoughts: [Minor Success] Horror has a long history of sequels and this series has been a popular one, hence more sequels. However, this film’s performance is modest at best, on par with most non-series horror starts, which might still suggest another sequel or prequel is coming, but this has been promised to be the last.

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2018 Summer Season Preview: June

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

June 1, 2018

Action Point

Premise: From IMDb: “A daredevil designs and operates his own theme park with his friends.”
Box Office Prospects: $60 M
Expectations: Weak. The film looks cheap and while I would like to say it looks like a film that will flop, the Jackass team has been modestly successful in the recent past, so I can’t claim it will be a huge success, but it will probably be some sort of success.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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