Category: Monthly Previews

2018 Spring Season Preview: March

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

March 2, 2018

Death Wish

Premise: From IMDb: “A mild-mannered father is transformed into a killing machine after his family is torn apart by a violent act.”
Box Office Prospects: $60 M
Expectations: Uncertain. The Original film made roughly $108 million adjusted for inflation back in 1974. There are three factors that may ultimately work against it. Bruce Willis hasn’t had a sizable hit in some time with $67 being the average of his last two solo efforts, the last being 5 years ago. The second is director Eli Roth has only once had a box office hit and that was a minor one with Hostel making just over $47 million. The third is that it’s opening against spy thriller Red Sparrow starring the more formidable box office draw Jennifer Lawrence.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.
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2017 Oscar Season Preview Wrap-Up: September

Let’s take a look back at our prior preview and see where we were right, wrong, and everything in between.

September 1, 2017

Unlocked

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: N/A
Box Office Prospects: $5 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Weak. The film is being released on one of the worst days of the year for box office success, so it will likely be a failure.”
Box Office Results: N/A
Thoughts: The film was never released and has not been rescheduled.

September 8, 2017

9/11

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: None.
Box Office Prospects: $5 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Weak. No one asked for this film and it’s unlikely that anyone will give it much notice.”
Box Office Results: $0.17 M
Thoughts: [Major Flop] No one really expected a film about the 9/11 terrorist attacks to do well with audiences, but even these numbers are dismal.

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2018 Spring Season Preview: February

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

February 2, 2018

Winchester

Premise: From IMDb: “Eccentric firearm heiress believes she is haunted by the souls of people killed by the Winchester repeating rifle.”
Box Office Prospects: $40 M
Expectations: Uncertain. The haunted house genre hasn’t been nearly as popular as it should be, so this one probably won’t perform that well.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2017 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: August

August 4, 2017

The Dark Tower

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “Uncertain. Depending on how critics receive it (and, to a lesser extent, audiences), it could compete in creative categories; however, with some (or much?) of the action taking place in a modern Earth, I suspect its chances at Best Visual Effects and the sound categories may be its only hope.”
Oscar Results: The film has failed in all measures, so Oscar is utterly out of reach.
Box Office Prospects: $150 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Good. Although Matthew McConaughey’s recent track record at the box office isn’t exciting and Idris Elba hasn’t yet been tested, this popular Stephen King adaptation could be a solid hit for the late summer.”
Box Office Results: $50.7 M
Thoughts: [Major Flop] Thanks to the mediocre reviews, the film never managed to catch on with audiences, but the reviews weren’t all of it. Stephen King just doesn’t have the pull he used to, especially in the wake of the more popular It.

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2018 Spring Season Preview: January

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

January 5, 2018

Insidious: The Last Key

Premise: From IMDb: “Parapsychologist Dr. Elise Rainier faces her most fearsome and personal haunting yet – in her own family home.”
Box Office Prospects: $45 M
Expectations: Adequate. The original film and the third made just over $50 million, but the second topped $80. While the reason for sequels is the success of a predecessor, the drop back to normal on the third film suggests the franchise is losing steam. While I doubt it will be an outright flop, the prior films all released later in the year. This early in the year won’t likely help the bottom line.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2018 Spring Preview: Introduction

A new year brings a new string of potential blockbusters and looking over the list for January, February, March, and April, the Spring Season, there are plenty of possible contenders. In January, there’s Commuter, Proud Mary, 12 Strong, and Maze Runner. In February, you have the new Cloverfield sequel, Fifty Shades Freed, Black Panther, and Annihilation. In March, we get Game Night, Red Sparrow, A Wrinkle in Time, Tomb Raider, and Pacific Rim: Uprising. In April, things seem a bit weaker, but it includes New Mutants and Rampage.

It’s hard to know which of these will be the biggest. I’d guess that the battle will be between the latest Marvel Cinematic Universe film Black Panther, and the Disney adaptation of the literary legend A Wrinkle in Time, though New Mutants may be much bigger than anyone expects due to its blend of Marvel mutants and horror elements. We will look at it all more in depth starting next week when we explore January in detail, then again in each of the successive three months.

To introduce you to the upcoming films, there will be two preview articles every month and this introduction every four months. The Season Preview article will focus on one of three seasons Spring Season (January through April), Blockbuster Season (May through August) and Oscar Season (September through December). In these introductory articles, I will give you the current release schedule for the specified season, which may change as the release dates get closer.

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2017 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: July

July 7, 2017

Spider-Man: Homecoming

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “Uncertain. For a time, any film starring Iron Man was a guaranteed Oscar nominee. However, that has since changed with the last two efforts underwhelming Oscar voters. Thus, it’s possible the film is ignored. However, if there’s any category it could be a factor in, it’s Best Visual Effects.”
Oscar Results: The film was successful, but there’s so much competition this year, I find it difficult to find a reason to include it as a contender.
Box Office Prospects: $350 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Excellent. The Original made more than $400 million at the box office. The reboot made a mere $262 million. While the disparity is large, the likelihood of an inbetween result is high. Reboot fatigue may play a part, but with Iron Man in the mix, all bets are off. No film featuring Robert Downey Jr.’s “first” Avenger has made less than $300 million at the box office. The last one to gross less than $400 million was Iron Man 2 7 years ago. However, this isn’t an Iron Man movie and it doesn’t have the vast casts of the Avengers or Civil War films, so a lower final tally wouldn’t be surprising.”
Box Office Results: $334.2 M
Thoughts: [Success] Now that Disney has paired up with Sony for its films, the successes should continue coming and this proves that they’ve hit on a winning formula.

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2017 Oscar Season Preview: December

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

December 1, 2017

The Disaster Artist (Limited)

Premise: From IMDb: “A behind-the-scenes look at the making of Tommy Wiseau’s The Room (2003).”
Box Office Prospects: $2 M
Expectations: Weak. There is no more specialized an audience than for this film. Although the film has earned solid reviews, unless you’re familiar with The Room, it likely won’t appeal to you.
Oscar Prospects: Doubtful. There’s some chatter about James Franco being nominated for this, but other than at the Golden Globes, I don’t see it happening.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2017 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: June

June 2, 2017

Captain Underpants

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $85 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Uncertain. DreamWorks has a strange history with audiences. Even movies that are trashed by critics still do well and some that aren’t do poorly. It’s almost a crap-shoot whether it will succeed or not. After The Boss Baby,. It’s possible that parents will take their kids to see anything animated if given an option, which could help the film, but the impending release of Pixar’s Cars 3 could depress attendance afte rthe first two weekends.”
Box Office Results: $73.9 M
Thoughts: [Minor Success] The film didn’t underperform, but it wasn’t a breakout hit.

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2017 Oscar Season Preview: November

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

November 3, 2017

A Bad Moms Christmas

Premise: From IMDb: “Amy, Carla and Kiki struggle to cope when their respective mothers visit for the holidays.”
Box Office Prospects: $100 M
Expectations: Uncertain. Sequels to hit comedies have uneven track records, though this might just be different enough from its predecessors to engage the same audience again.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2017 Summer Season Preview Wrap-Up: May

Let’s take a look at how May’s releases performed, especially compared to my as-usual high expectations.

May 5, 2017

Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “Good. The first film earned two Oscar nominations, though it was expected to pick up more. I suspect that it will make another appearance this year, but perhaps only in one category this time out.”
Oscar Results: The film may not have the same luck with the Oscars as the first film did, which also suffered from a last minute sluggishness of support for the film. That is likely to result in the film being completely ignored by Oscar.
Box Office Prospects: $375 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Excellent. The original film made $333 million at the box office, the sequel has more hype, more name recognition, and therefore every opportunity to surpass its original tally.”
Box Office Results: $389.8 M
Thoughts: [Success] Performing almost exactly as expected, the sequel did quite well, only slightly outperforming its predecessor.

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2017 Oscar Season Preview: October

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

October 6, 2017

Blade Runner 2049

Premise: From IMDb: “Thirty years after the events of the first film, a new blade runner, LAPD Officer K (Ryan Gosling), unearths a long-buried secret that has the potential to plunge what’s left of society into chaos. K’s discovery leads him on a quest to find Rick Deckard (Harrison Ford), a former LAPD blade runner who has been missing for 30 years.”
Box Office Prospects: $150 M
Expectations: Good. Although the original film made less than $100 million at the box office back in 1982 (adjusted for inflation), the film has earned a reputation as one of the big cult hits of the 1980s. As such, there will be plenty of interest in it from old and young audiences, which could make it a solid success.
Oscar Prospects: Uncertain. The original film has since become a classic. The sequel might also, but the Academy has seldom shown an interest in recognizing such productions. It could show up in a few tech categories, but unless it’s among the cream of the crop, it’s not going to get much chance above the line.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2017 Spring Season Preview Wrap-Up: April

April 7, 2017

The Case for Christ

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None.
Box Office Prospects: $40 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Decent. The producers are hoping for a result similar to God’s Not Dead, but are more likely to deliver in the Soul Surfer range.”
Box Office Results: $14.7 M
Thoughts: [Flop] Proof that all Christian films cannot automatically become box office sensations.

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2017 Oscar Season Preview: September

Here we look at the upcoming month’s offerings.

September 1, 2017

Unlocked

Premise: From IMDb: “A CIA interrogator is lured into a ruse that puts London at risk of a biological attack.”
Box Office Prospects: $5 M
Expectations: Weak. The film is being released on one of the worst days of the year for box office success, so it will likely be a failure.
Oscar Prospects: None.
Cinema Sight Preview: See my preview of this title here.

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2017 Oscar Season Preview: Introduction

And so we come to Oscar season. While this four-month period will be replete with Oscar contenders galore, there will be plenty of blockbusters in the offing, including three franchise continuances (Thor, Justice League, and Star Wars) plus a lot of other options. The month will be characterized by holiday-targeted box office fare as well as small scale films designed to pique the interests of Academy voters.

To introduce you to the upcoming films, there will be two preview articles every month and this introduction every four months. The Season Preview article will focus on one of three seasons Spring Season (January through April), Blockbuster Season (May through August) and Oscar Season (September through December). In these introductory articles, I will give you the current release schedule for the specified season, which may change as the release dates get closer.

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