Christmas is often overloaded with content, but this year’s batch seems almost overbearing. While Star Wars: The Last Jedi will handily win a second weekend at the top of the box office, it’s which of the five wide releases will come out on top. Father Figures was very clearly dumped on Christmas as its target demographic will already be invested in other properties. Downsizing is a fitting title for adults going to the cineplex for some serious fare, but there’s just too much competition for the same audience with one of the top two potential films for the weekend. Pitch Perfect 2 had a massive opening two years ago, but it was in May, not December. The film may struggle, though it’s unique enough it could carve out a decent holiday notch. The other two films are going to be fighting hard to top the box office. On the one hand, The Greatest Showman wants to perform on par with Chicago, but may be heading for a Les Misรฉrables-type opening, which could put it in third instead of first. On the other hand, you have Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, a film that seems perfectly tailored for the broad family appeal of the holiday weekend. The problem is that it will compete with Star Wars for some of the same audience. Ultimately, these films are likely to cannibalize and be cannibalized by other films. While I want to say Jumanji will win the weekend, Pitch Perfect 3has the audience with the least crossover potential with the other new releases and Star Wars itself. The $69 million opening two years ago suggests it could do much better than expected even if it takes in there-quarters of that tally.
Our Highest Rated Films: The Post, The Greatest Showman, Downsizing
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Post (Oscars), The Greatest Showman (Oscars), Downsizing (Oscars)
OTHER LIMITED RELEASES
Happy End
The Lucky Man
Tiger Zinda Hai
Dec. 22-24, 2017 | ||||
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Our Thoughts |
Awards Chances |
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Downsizing(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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7.5 Wesley Lovell: (9) Peter J. Patrick: (5) Tripp Burton: (9) Thomas LaTourrette: (7) |
4.0 Wesley Lovell: (4,Oscars) Peter J. Patrick: (5,Oscars) Tripp Burton: (3,Oscars) Thomas LaTourrette: (4,Oscars) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): The concept is just so fascinating and I haven’t disliked an Alexander Payne film yet, so I’m fairly certain this should be fun. |
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Father Figures(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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2.3 Wesley Lovell: (2) Peter J. Patrick: (2) Tripp Burton: (2) Thomas LaTourrette: (3) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): There are a couple of amusing jokes in the trailer, but it also looks like a fairly lame comedy. |
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Our Thoughts |
Awards Chances |
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The Greatest Showman(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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8.5 Wesley Lovell: (10) Peter J. Patrick: (8) Tripp Burton: (6) Thomas LaTourrette: (10) |
5.5 Wesley Lovell: (7,Oscars) Peter J. Patrick: (5,Oscars) Tripp Burton: (3,Oscars) Thomas LaTourrette: (7,Oscars) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): I’ve been hotly anticipating this film for some time and the trailers have only stoked my interest while frustrating me that they aren’t more music oriented. |
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Film |
Our Thoughts |
Awards Chances |
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Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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4.5 Wesley Lovell: (7) Peter J. Patrick: (4) Tripp Burton: (3) Thomas LaTourrette: (4) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): In spite of myself, this looks like it might actually be fun even with a slate of actors I don’t particularly like. |
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Film |
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Awards Chances |
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Pitch Perfect 3(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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6.3 Wesley Lovell: (10) Peter J. Patrick: (5) Tripp Burton: (5) Thomas LaTourrette: (5) |
.8 Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (3,Oscars) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): The first film was fun. The second film was fun.I fully expect the third film to be fun. |
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Film |
Our Thoughts |
Awards Chances |
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Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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4.3 Wesley Lovell: (6) Peter J. Patrick: (2) Tripp Burton: (3) Thomas LaTourrette: (6) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): The first trailer wasn’t very exciting, but the second trailer looked a lot more interesting. |
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Film |
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Crooked House(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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6.5 Wesley Lovell: (7) Peter J. Patrick: (6) Tripp Burton: (6) Thomas LaTourrette: (7) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): I wasn’t impressed by the Murder on the Orient Express trailer, but the trailer for this film was much more to my liking, feeling quite a bit more like an Agatha Christie production. |
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Hostiles(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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6.3 Wesley Lovell: (4) Peter J. Patrick: (8) Tripp Burton: (7) Thomas LaTourrette: (6) |
2.3 Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (4,Oscars) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (5,Oscars) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): I can take or leave Christian Bale, but the trailer for this doesn’t look that interesting. |
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Film |
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Awards Chances |
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The Post(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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9.5 Wesley Lovell: (10) Peter J. Patrick: (9) Tripp Burton: (10) Thomas LaTourrette: (9) |
9.3 Wesley Lovell: (10,Oscars) Peter J. Patrick: (8,Oscars) Tripp Burton: (10,Oscars) Thomas LaTourrette: (9,Oscars) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): It’s a terrific film and needs to be seen, especially in a climate where one of our foremost institutions is under constant assault. |
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