A week of competition awaits us. While the last several weeks have seen mostly one-man competitions, this promises to be a weekend where different reactions to the film release could result in different outcomes. Although the second weekend of War for the Planet of the Apes will be a decent one, the two films battling it out for the top spot are new releases. In terms of openings, outside of the Batman trilogy he directed, Christopher Nolan’s films have either opened soft (The Prestige, Insomnia) or solidly (Inception, Interstellar). This gives Dunkirk an opportunity to open between $40 million and $60 million. The best comparison I can think of to Dunkirk is Steven Spielberg’s Saving Private Ryan. That film opened to $30 million in 1998, which translates to about $57 million today. That seems like a good target for this film.
The other competitor is Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets from director Luc Besson. Besson hasn’t had a lot of box office luck. Only two of his films, adjusted for inflation, have topped $100 million at the overall box office. Only one of those (Lucy) had a major opening ($43 million). The Fifth Element wasn’t too far behind with an adjusted $32 million opening. Since this film feels more akin to Fifth Element than Lucy, a $30-$40 million opening seems solid. However, the film has been heavily advertised and looks gorgeous. Science fiction has done a bit better at the box office than it did when Fifth Element released in 1997, so it could add another $10 to $30 million to that total putting it on a collision course with Dunkirk. Who will win? We’ll find out in a week.
Our Highest Rated Films: Dunkirk
Our Best Awards Ratings: Dunkirk (Oscars); Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Oscars)
OTHER LIMITED RELEASES
Scales: Mermaids Are Real
The Midwife (Read our Looking at the Weekend commentary here.)
Jul. 21-23, 2017 | ||||
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Dunkirk(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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9.3 Wesley Lovell: (8) Peter J. Patrick: (10) Tripp Burton: (9) Thomas LaTourrette: (10) |
9.5 Wesley Lovell: (10,Oscars) Peter J. Patrick: (10,Oscars) Tripp Burton: (9,Oscars) Thomas LaTourrette: (9,Oscars) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): I have enjoyed most of Christopher Nolan’s films, so this should be no exception. I don’t love war films, but I’ll give it a go. |
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Girls Trip(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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4.0 Wesley Lovell: (6) Peter J. Patrick: (3) Tripp Burton: (2) Thomas LaTourrette: (5) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): I may be alone in this, but I think it looks quite fun. |
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Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets(Wide Release)See the original CinemaSight
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5.8 Wesley Lovell: (7) Peter J. Patrick: (4) Tripp Burton: (7) Thomas LaTourrette: (5) |
2.5 Wesley Lovell: (4,Oscars) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (3,Oscars) Thomas LaTourrette: (3,Oscars) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): Luc Besson hasn’t made a great movie in some time. This looks more akin to The Fifth Element than anything, which gives it bonus point in my book. |
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The Fencer(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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5.3 Wesley Lovell: (4) Peter J. Patrick: (6) Tripp Burton: (4) Thomas LaTourrette: (7) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): It could be good, but it’s not exactly an interesting subject to me. |
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The Gracefield Incident(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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2.0 Wesley Lovell: (1) Peter J. Patrick: (2) Tripp Burton: (3) Thomas LaTourrette: (2) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): One more crappy found footage alien invasion film. |
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Landline(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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3.8 Wesley Lovell: (3) Peter J. Patrick: (4) Tripp Burton: (4) Thomas LaTourrette: (4) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): There are elements in the trailer that make it look like it might be interesting, but not enough of them. |
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The Untamed(Limited Release)See the original CinemaSight
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4.3 Wesley Lovell: (1) Peter J. Patrick: (5) Tripp Burton: (7) Thomas LaTourrette: (4) |
Nil Wesley Lovell: (Nil) Peter J. Patrick: (Nil) Tripp Burton: (Nil) Thomas LaTourrette: (Nil) |
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Individual Commentary: |
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Wesley Lovell (WL): This is supposed to be a sexual sci-fi film, but nothing in the trailer even remotely suggests that. |
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