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Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Incredibles 3 (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Animated Feature, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 14-16, 2013

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Star Trek: Into Darkness – $6,256,254 ($211,086,948 total) {week 5}
  2. Iron Man 3 – $2,956,855 ($399,659,094 total) {week 7}
  3. The Great Gatsby – $1,674,333 ($139,977,874 total) {week 6}
  4. Before Midnight – $1,382,719 ($3,054,968 total) {week 4}
  5. The Croods – $570,353 ($182,651,450 total) {week 13}
  6. Kon-Tiki – $76,749 ($1,212,236 total) {week 8}
  7. 20 Feet from Stardom – $54,596 ($54,596 total) {week 1}
  8. Dirty Wars – $48,469 ($137,247 total) {week 2}
  9. Life of Pi – $12,568 ($124,953,846 total) {week 30}
  10. Searching for Sugar Man – $1,420 ($3,684,598 total) {week 47}
  11. No – $684 ($2,341,226 total) {week 18}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Star Trek: Into Darkness – $6,871,876 ($232,896,670 total)
  2. Iron Man 3 – $3,247,812 ($440,952,285 total)
  3. The Great Gatsby – $1,839,089 ($154,440,533 total)
  4. Before Midnight – $1,518,780 ($3,370,610 total)
  5. The Croods – $626,476 ($201,523,187 total)
  6. Kon-Tiki – $84,301 ($1,337,485 total)
  7. 20 Feet from Stardom – $59,968 ($60,237 total)
  8. Dirty Wars – $53,238 ($151,428 total)
  9. Life of Pi – $13,805 ($137,864,206 total)
  10. Searching for Sugar Man – $1,560 ($4,065,294 total)
  11. No – $751 ($2,583,124 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 20 Feet from Stardom: Documentary Feature [O]
  • Before Midnight: Adapted Screenplay
  • The Croods: Animated Feature
  • Dirty Wars: Documentary Feature
  • The Great Gatsby: Production Design [O], Costume Design [O]
  • Iron Man 3: Visual Effects
  • Kon-Tiki: Foreign Language Film
  • Life of Pi: Picture, Directing [O], Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“Pi’s Lullaby”), Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography [O], Production Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects [O]
  • No: Foreign Language Film
  • Searching for Sugar Man: Documentary Feature [O]
  • Star Trek: Into Darkness: Visual Effects

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 13-15, 2008

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Kung Fu Panda – $33,612,594 ($117,289,932 total) {week 2}
  2. Iron Man – $5,620,375 ($297,918,329 total) {week 7}
  3. The Visitor – $420,928 ($6,621,330 total) {week 10}
  4. Mongol – $112,212 ($312,051 total) {week 2}
  5. The Counterfeiters – $29,482 ($5,303,641 total) {week 17}
  6. In Bruges – $24,133 ($7,757,130 total) {week 19}
  7. Encounters at the End of the World – $17,730 ($25,913 total) {week 1}
  8. Juno – $3,626 ($143,492,840 total) {week 28}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Kung Fu Panda – $41,805,079 ($146,530,737 total)
  2. Iron Man – $6,990,244 ($372,190,447 total)
  3. The Visitor – $523,522 ($8,272,052 total)
  4. Mongol – $139,562 ($389,846 total)
  5. The Counterfeiters – $36,668 ($6,625,858 total)
  6. In Bruges – $30,015 ($9,691,011 total)
  7. Encounters at the End of the World – $22,051 ($32,373 total)
  8. Juno – $4,510 ($179,266,125 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The Counterfeiters: Foreign Language Film [O]
  • Encounters at the End of the World: Documentary Feature
  • In Bruges: Original Screenplay
  • Iron Man: Sound Editing, Visual Effects
  • Juno: Picture, Director, Actress (Ellen Page), Original Screenplay [O]
  • Kung Fu Panda: Animated Feature
  • Mongol: Foreign Language Film
  • The Visitor: Actor (Richard Jenkins)

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 13-15, 2003

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Finding Nemo – $28,384,483 ($191,487,211 total) {week 3}
  2. Spellbound – $323,211 ($1,622,911 total) {week 7}
  3. Winged Migration – $322,961 ($2,041,392 total) {week 9}
  4. A Mighty Wind – $309,318 ($16,644,788 total) {week 9}
  5. Capturing the Friedmans – $213,486 ($419,188 total) {week 3}
  6. Nowhere in Africa – $168,397 ($4,774,926 total) {week 15}
  7. The Barbarian Invasions – $164,053 ($3,393,710 total) {week 6}
  8. Whale Rider – $161,003 ($356,658 total) {week 2}
  9. Chicago – $126,485 ($169,195,337 total) {week 25}
  10. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers – $74,391 ($339,230,928 total) {week 26}
  11. The Man Without a Past – $24,174 ($714,821 total) {week 11}
  12. City of God – $23,805 ($4,328,590 total) {week 22}
  13. Bowling for Columbine – $13,489 ($21,445,626 total) {week 36}
  14. The Quiet American – $12,711 ($12,897,338 total) {week 30}
  15. Talk to Her – $478 ($9,284,265 total) {week 30}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Finding Nemo – $42,035,395 ($284,849,135 total)
  2. Spellbound – $478,652 ($2,414,181 total)
  3. Winged Migration – $478,282 ($3,036,698 total)
  4. A Mighty Wind – $458,078 ($24,760,157 total)
  5. Capturing the Friedmans – $316,158 ($623,568 total)
  6. Nowhere in Africa – $249,384 ($7,102,999 total)
  7. The Barbarian Invasions – $242,951 ($5,048,355 total)
  8. Whale Rider – $238,434 ($530,551 total)
  9. Chicago – $187,315 ($251,688,586 total)
  10. The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers – $110,168 ($504,627,102 total)
  11. The Man Without a Past – $35,800 ($1,063,341 total)
  12. City of God – $35,254 ($6,439,047 total)
  13. Bowling for Columbine – $19,976 ($31,901,702 total)
  14. The Quiet American – $18,824 ($19,185,592 total)
  15. Talk to Her – $708 ($13,810,922 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The Barbarian Invasions: Original Screenplay, Foreign Language Film [O]
  • Bowling for Columbine: Documentary Feature [O]
  • Capturing the Friedmans: Documentary Feature
  • Chicago: Picture [O], Director, Actress (Renee Zellweger), Supporting Actor (John C. Reilly), Supporting Actress (Catherine Zeta-Jones [O], Queen Latifah), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“I Move On”), Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Sound [O]
  • City of God: Director, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography
  • Finding Nemo: Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Editing
  • The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers: Picture, Editing, Art Direction, Sound, Sound Editing [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • The Man Without a Past: Foreign Language Film
  • A Mighty Wind: Original Song (“A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow”)
  • Nowhere in Africa: Foreign Language Film [O]
  • The Quiet American: Actor (Michael Caine)
  • Spellbound: Documentary Feature
  • Talk to Her: Director, Original Screenplay [O]
  • Whale Rider: Actress (Keisha Castle-Hughes)
  • Winged Migration: Documentary Feature

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 12-14, 1998

Weekend Box Office:

  1. The Truman Show – $20,010,580 ($64,532,359 total) {week 2}
  2. The Horse Whisperer – $3,948,234 ($58,395,949 total) {week 5}
  3. Titanic – $1,214,737 ($583,885,184 total) {week 26}
  4. Bulworth – $1,201,313 ($23,795,577 total) {week 5}
  5. Quest for Camelot – $970,293 ($21,001,841 total) {week 5}
  6. As Good As It Gets – $108,862 ($147,540,545 total) {week 25}
  7. Primary Colors – $85,920 ($38,856,507 total) {week 13}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. The Truman Show – $38,101,168 ($123,423,296 total)
  2. The Horse Whisperer – $7,517,640 ($111,686,922 total)
  3. Titanic – $2,312,921 ($1,116,727,100 total)
  4. Bulworth – $2,287,361 ($45,510,944 total)
  5. Quest for Camelot – $1,847,488 ($40,167,700 total)
  6. As Good As It Gets – $207,279 ($282,183,089 total)
  7. Primary Colors – $163,596 ($74,316,177 total)

Oscar Details:

  • As Good As It Gets: Picture, Actor (Jack Nicholson) [O], Actress (Helen Hunt) [O], Supporting Actor (Greg Kinnear), Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score, Editing
  • Bulworth: Original Screenplay
  • The Horse Whisperer: Original Song (“A Soft Place to Fall”)
  • Primary Colors: Supporting Actress (Kathy Bates), Adapted Screenplay
  • Quest for Camelot: Original Song (“The Prayer”)
  • Titanic: Picture [O], Director [O], Actress (Kate Winslet), Supporting Actress (Gloria Stuart), Original Dramatic Score [O], Original Song (“My Heart Will Go On”) [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound [O], Sound Editing [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • The Truman Show: Director, Supporting Actor (Ed Harris), Original Screenplay

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 11-13, 1993

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Jurassic Park – $47,026,828 ($50,159,460 total) {week 1}
  2. Cliffhanger – $7,621,185 ($49,625,534 total) {week 3}
  3. Dave – $3,034,040 ($51,698,446 total) {week 6}
  4. What’s Love Got to Do With It – $1,222,718 ($1,222,718 total) {week 1}
  5. Orlando – $107,030 ($112,568 total) {week 1}
  6. Scent of a Woman – $109,075 ($62,436,484 total) {week 25}
  7. Unforgiven – $687,849 ($99,162,710 total) {week 45}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Jurassic Park – $101,437,095 ($108,678,830 total)
  2. Cliffhanger – $16,438,933 ($107,521,990 total)
  3. Dave – $6,544,439 ($112,013,300 total)
  4. What’s Love Got to Do With It – $2,637,409 ($2,649,222 total)
  5. Orlando – $230,864 ($243,897 total)
  6. Scent of a Woman – $235,275 ($135,279,049 total)
  7. Unforgiven – $1,483,694 ($214,852,538 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Cliffhanger: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
  • Dave: Original Screenplay
  • Jurassic Park: Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • Orlando: Art Direction, Costume Design
  • Scent of a Woman: Picture, Director, Actor (Al Pacino) [O], Adapted Screenplay
  • Unforgiven: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
  • What’s Love Got to Do With It: Actor (Laurence Fishburne), Actress (Angela Bassett)

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 10-12, 1988

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Big – $7,901,047 ($20,501,013 total) {week 2}
  2. Willow – $3,251,512 ($30,656,338 total) {week 4}
  3. Beetlejuice – $1,143,650 ($65,638,141 total) {week 11}
  4. Good Morning, Vietnam – $509,608 ($121,197,107 total) {week 25}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Big – $17,166,995 ($44,743,087 total)
  2. Willow – $7,064,721 ($66,906,898 total)
  3. Beetlejuice – $2,484,865 ($143,254,045 total)
  4. Good Morning, Vietnam – $1,107,250 ($264,510,474 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Beetlejuice: Makeup [O]
  • Big: Actor (Tom Hanks), Original Screenplay
  • Good Morning, Vietnam: Actor (Robin Williams)
  • Willow: Sound Effects, Visual Effects

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 17-19, 1983

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Return of the Jedi – $11,217,546 ($112,898,121 total) {week 4}
  2. Trading Places – $7,006,620 ($20,107,968 total) {week 2}
  3. WarGames – $5,355,801 ($22,260,427 total) {week 3}
  4. Flashdance – $2,190,327 ($47,993,508 total) {week 10}
  5. Blue Thunder – $1,581,035 ($35,973,470 total) {week 6}
  6. Tootsie – $730,908 ($174,141,310 total) {week 27}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Return of the Jedi – $31,800,853 ($321,490,840 total)
  2. Trading Places – $19,863,212 ($57,259,833 total)
  3. WarGames – $15,183,271 ($63,389,216 total)
  4. Flashdance – $6,209,403 ($136,667,228 total)
  5. Blue Thunder – $4,482,109 ($102,438,738 total)
  6. Tootsie – $2,072,066 ($495,888,111 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Blue Thunder: Editing
  • Flashdance: Original Song (“Flashdanceโ€ฆWhat a Feeling”) [O], Original Song (“Maniac”), Editing, Cinematography
  • Return of the Jedi: Original Score, Art Direction, Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects [O]
  • Tootsie: Picture, Director, Actor (Dustin Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Teri Garr), Supporting Actress (Jessica Lange) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“It Might Be You”), Editing, Cinematography, Sound
  • Trading Places: Original Song Score
  • WarGames: Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Sound

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