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Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Secret in Their Eyes (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Director, Actress (Julia Roberts), Supporting Actor (Chiwetel Ejiofor), Supporting Actress (Nicole Kidman), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing.

Carol (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Director, Actress (Cate Blanchett, Rooney Mara), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling.

Legend (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Actor (Tom Hardy).

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 19-21, 2010

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I – $125,017,372 ($125,017,372 total) {week 1}
  2. Unstoppable – $13,005,855 ($41,867,769 total) {week 2}
  3. The Social Network – $935,677 ($89,244,464 total) {week 8}
  4. 127 Hours – $916,533 ($1,902,336 total) {week 3}
  5. Inside Job – $338,938 ($2,139,393 total) {week 7}
  6. Hereafter – $285,230 ($32,185,446 total) {week 6}
  7. The Town – $209,488 ($90,982,269 total) {week 10}
  8. Inception – $153,650 ($292,068,095 total) {week 19}
  9. Toy Story 3 – $125,155 ($414,806,932 total) {week 23}
  10. Waste Land – $14,524 ($57,097 total) {week 4}
  11. Animal Kingdom – $9,503 ($1,000,690 total) {week 15}
  12. I Am Love – $1,988 ($5,002,411 total) {week 23}
  13. Dogtooth – $1,679 ($68,006 total) {week 22}
  14. Winter’s Bone – $1,007 ($6,225,414 total) {week 24}
  15. Restrepo – $119 ($1,330,058 total) {week 22}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I – $129,453,983 ($129,453,983 total)
  2. Unstoppable – $13,467,406 ($43,353,571 total)
  3. The Social Network – $968,882 ($92,411,568 total)
  4. 127 Hours – $949,059 ($1,969,846 total)
  5. Inside Job – $350,966 ($2,215,316 total)
  6. Hereafter – $295,352 ($33,327,642 total)
  7. The Town – $216,922 ($94,211,044 total)
  8. Inception – $159,103 ($302,432,996 total)
  9. Toy Story 3 – $129,596 ($429,527,584 total)
  10. Waste Land – $15,039 ($59,123 total)
  11. Animal Kingdom – $9,840 ($1,036,202 total)
  12. I Am Love – $2,059 ($5,179,936 total)
  13. Dogtooth – $1,739 ($70,419 total)
  14. Winter’s Bone – $1,043 ($6,446,341 total)
  15. Restrepo – $123 ($1,377,259 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 127 Hours: Picture, Actor (James Franco), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“If I Rise”), Editing
  • Animal Kingdom: Supporting Actress (Jacki Weaver)
  • Dogtooth: Foreign Language Film
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I: Art Direction, Visual Effects
  • Hereafter: Visual Effects
  • I Am Love: Costume Design
  • Inception: Picture, Original Screenplay, Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • Inside Job: Documentary Feature
  • Restrepo: Documentary Feature
  • The Social Network: Picture, Directing, Actor (Jesse Eisenberg), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound Mixing
  • The Town: Supporting Actor (Jeremy Renner)
  • Toy Story 3: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“We Belong Together”) [O], Sound Editing
  • Unstoppable: Sound Editing
  • Waste Land: Documentary Feature
  • Winter’s Bone: Picture, Actress (Jennifer Lawrence), Supporting Actor (John Hawkes), Adapted Screenplay

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 25-27, 2005

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Walk the Line – $19,212,273 ($54,008,042 total) {week 2}
  2. Pride & Prejudice – $7,158,119 ($16,032,282 total) {week 3}
  3. Good Night, and Good Luck. – $1,882,058 ($19,558,112 total) {week 8}
  4. Capote – $917,323 ($9,037,024 total) {week 9}
  5. Syriana – $374,502 ($553,530 total) {week 1}
  6. The Squid and the Whale – $353,584 ($3,274,790 total) {week 8}
  7. Wallace & Gromit in The Curse of the Were-Rabbit – $307,668 ($55,185,081 total) {week 8}
  8. Corpse Bride – $171,250 ($53,059,395 total) {week 11}
  9. Paradise Now – $102,608 ($691,255 total) {week 5}
  10. March of the Penguins – $89,222 ($77,413,017 total) {week 23}
  11. North Country – $65,827 ($18,013,764 total) {week 6}
  12. A History of Violence – $54,568 ($30,848,006 total) {week 10}
  13. The Constant Gardener – $42,791 ($33,565,375 total) {week 13}
  14. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory – $33,309 ($206,438,942 total) {week 20}
  15. Cinderella Man – $7,794 ($61,644,321 total) {week 26}
  16. Junebug – $3,306 ($2,672,755 total) {week 17}
  17. Hustle & Flow – $162 ($22,201,798 total) {week 19}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Walk the Line – $24,487,406 ($68,837,083 total)
  2. Pride & Prejudice – $9,123,531 ($20,434,281 total)
  3. Good Night, and Good Luck. – $2,398,817 ($24,928,202 total)
  4. Capote – $1,169,193 ($11,518,329 total)
  5. Syriana – $477,329 ($705,513 total)
  6. The Squid and the Whale – $450,668 ($4,173,952 total)
  7. Wallace & Gromit in The Curse of the Were-Rabbit – $392,145 ($70,337,303 total)
  8. Corpse Bride – $218,270 ($67,627,965 total)
  9. Paradise Now – $130,781 ($881,054 total)
  10. March of the Penguins – $113,720 ($98,668,385 total)
  11. North Country – $83,901 ($22,959,821 total)
  12. A History of Violence – $69,551 ($39,317,973 total)
  13. The Constant Gardener – $54,540 ($42,781,453 total)
  14. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory – $42,455 ($263,121,085 total)
  15. Cinderella Man – $9,934 ($78,570,063 total)
  16. Junebug – $4,214 ($3,406,616 total)
  17. Hustle & Flow – $206 ($28,297,767 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Capote: Picture, Directing, Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman) [O], Supporting Actress (Catherine Keener), Adapted Screenplay
  • Charlie and the Chocolate Factory: Costume Design
  • Cinderella Man: Supporting Actor (Paul Giamatti), Editing, Makeup
  • The Constant Gardener: Supporting Actress (Rachel Weisz) [O], Adapted Screenplay, Origianl Score, Editing
  • Corpse Bride: Animated Feature
  • Good Night, and Good Luck.: Picture, Directing, Actor (David Strathairn), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Direction
  • A History of Violence: Supporting Actor (William Hurt), Adapted Screenplay
  • Hustle & Flow: Actor (Terrence Howard), Original Song (“It’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp”) [O]
  • Junebug: Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
  • March of the Penguins: Documentary Feature [O]
  • North Country: Actress (Charlize Theron), Supporting Actress (Frances McDormand)
  • Paradise Now: Foreign Language Film
  • Pride & Prejudice: Actress (Keira Knightley), Original Score, Art Direction, Costume Design
  • The Squid and the Whale: Original Screenplay
  • Syriana: Supporting Actor (George Clooney) [O], Original Screenplay
  • Walk the Line: Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Actress (Reese Witherspoon) [O], Editing, Costume Design, Sound Mixing
  • Wallace & Gromit in The Curse of the Were-Rabbit: Animated Feature [O]

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 24-26, 2000

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas – $52,118,445 ($137,095,800 total) {week 2}
  2. 102 Dalmatians – $19,883,351 ($26,236,096 total) {week 1}
  3. Meet the Parents – $6,487,795 ($148,350,120 total) {week 8}
  4. Billy Elliot – $2,027,543 ($11,308,185 total) {week 7}
  5. You Can Count on Me – $514,537 ($1,132,662 total) {week 3}
  6. Requiem for a Dream – $273,118 ($1,748,854 total) {week 8}
  7. Quills – $249,383 ($324,456 total) {week 1}
  8. Almost Famous – $217,913 ($31,513,517 total) {week 11}
  9. The Cell – $138,099 ($61,046,299 total) {week 15}
  10. Dancer in the Dark – $126,226 ($3,827,425 total) {week 10}
  11. The Contender – $93,647 ($17,503,379 total) {week 7}
  12. Wonder Boys – $63,884 ($19,045,347 total) {week 40}
  13. The Perfect Storm – $56,756 ($182,544,920 total) {week 22}
  14. One Day in September – $18,748 ($42,200 total) {week 2}
  15. Into the Arms of Strangers – $17,943 ($300,402 total) {week 11}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas – $78,999,572 ($207,805,693 total)
  2. 102 Dalmatians – $30,138,586 ($39,767,886 total)
  3. Meet the Parents – $9,834,005 ($224,864,653 total)
  4. Billy Elliot – $3,073,289 ($17,140,607 total)
  5. You Can Count on Me – $779,920 ($1,716,855 total)
  6. Requiem for a Dream – $413,984 ($2,650,860 total)
  7. Quills – $378,007 ($491,801 total)
  8. Almost Famous – $330,306 ($47,767,242 total)
  9. The Cell – $209,326 ($92,532,145 total)
  10. Dancer in the Dark – $191,330 ($5,801,496 total)
  11. The Contender – $141,947 ($26,531,096 total)
  12. Wonder Boys – $96,833 ($28,868,365 total)
  13. The Perfect Storm – $86,029 ($276,696,103 total)
  14. One Day in September – $28,418 ($63,965 total)
  15. Into the Arms of Strangers – $27,197 ($455,340 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 102 Dalmatians: Costume Design
  • Almost Famous: Supporting Actress (Kate Hudson, Frances McDormand), Original Screenplay [O], Editing
  • Billy Elliot: Directing, Supporting Actress (Julie Walters), Original Screenplay
  • The Cell: Makeup
  • The Contender: Actress (Joan Allen), Supporting Actor (Jeff Bridges)
  • Dancer in the Dark: Original Song (“I’ve Seen It All”)
  • Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas: Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup [O]
  • Into the Arms of Strangers: Documentary Feature
  • Meet the Parents: Original Song (“A Fool in Love”)
  • One Day in September: Documentary Feature
  • The Perfect Storm: Sound, Visual Effects
  • Quills: Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Art Direction, Costume Design
  • Requiem for a Dream: Actress (Ellen Burstyn)
  • Wonder Boys: Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“Things Have Changed”), Editing
  • You Can Count on Me: Actress (Laura Linney), Original Screenplay

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 24-26, 1995

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Toy Story – $29,140,617 ($39,071,176 total) {week 1}
  2. Casino – $9,946,480 ($14,524,240 total) {week 1}
  3. The American President – $9,713,222 ($24,922,473 total) {week 2}
  4. Apollo 13 – $113,715 ($172,036,360 total) {week 22}
  5. Braveheart – $14,021 ($66,957,282 total) {week 27}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Toy Story – $54,730,768 ($73,381,956 total)
  2. Casino – $18,681,090 ($27,278,860 total)
  3. The American President – $18,242,994 ($46,808,415 total)
  4. Apollo 13 – $213,575 ($323,111,968 total)
  5. Braveheart – $26,334 ($125,756,550 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The American President: Original Musical or Comedy Score
  • Apollo 13: Picture, Supporting Actor (Ed Harris), Supporting Actress (Kathleen Quinlan), Adapted Screenplay, Original Dramatic Score, Editing [O], Art Direction, Sound [O], Visual Effects
  • Braveheart: Picture [O], Directing [O], Original Screenplay, Original Dramatic Score, Editing, Cinematography [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O], Sound, Sound Effects Editing [O]
  • Casino: Actress (Sharon Stone)
  • Toy Story: Original Screenplay, Original Song (“You’ve Got a Friend in Me”), Original Musical or Comedy Score

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 23-25, 1990

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Home Alone – $20,987,761 ($48,287,152 total) {week 2}
  2. Dances With Wolves – $9,491,623 ($14,330,642 total) {week 3}
  3. Ghost – $3,515,527 ($195,359,497 total) {week 20}
  4. Reversal of Fortune – $1,119,365 ($8,753,499 total) {week 6}
  5. Mr. & Mrs. Bridge – $57,959 ($57,959 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Home Alone – $40,536,645 ($93,263,837 total)
  2. Dances With Wolves – $18,332,520 ($27,678,805 total)
  3. Ghost – $6,790,037 ($377,325,553 total)
  4. Reversal of Fortune – $2,161,989 ($16,906,876 total)
  5. Mr. & Mrs. Bridge – $111,944 ($111,944 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Dances With Wolves: Picture [O], Directing [O], Actor (Kevin Costner), Supporting Actor (Graham Greene), Supporting Actress (Mary McDonnell), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Costume Design, Sound [O]
  • Ghost: Picture, Supporting Actress (Whoopi Goldberg) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing
  • Home Alone: Original Song (“Somewhere in My Memory”), Original Score
  • Mr. & Mrs. Bridge: Actress (Joanne Woodward)
  • Reversal of Fortune: Directing, Actor (Jeremy Irons) [O], Adapted Screenplay

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 22-24, 1985

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Jagged Edge – $1,985,710 ($31,430,342 total) {week 8}
  2. Back to the Future – $1,694,069 ($180,524,247 total) {week 21}
  3. White Nights – $477,539 ($477,539 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Jagged Edge – $4,569,930 ($72,334,055 total)
  2. Back to the Future – $3,898,745 ($415,460,028 total)
  3. White Nights – $1,099,012 ($1,099,012 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Back to the Future: Original Screenplay, Original Song (“The Power of Love’), Sound, Sound Effects Editing [O]
  • Jagged Edge: Original Score, Cinematography, Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup
  • White Nights: Original Song (“Say You, Say Me” [O], “Separate Lives (Love Theme from “White Nights”)”)

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 21-23, 1980

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Raging Bull – $112,663 ($328,236 total) {week 2}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Raging Bull – $342,177 ($996,910 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Raging Bull: Picture, Directing, Actor (Robert De Niro) [O], Supporting Actor (Joe Pesci), Supporting Actress (Cathy Moriarty), Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound

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