We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Independence Day: Resurgence

Twenty years ago, Roland Emmerich made his biggest hit to date, an alien invasion drama that earned two Oscar nominations for Best Visual Effects and Best Sound, winning for its mixture of traditional effects and CGI. Since then, his films have been hard-pressed to find support with the Academy.

With the sequel to that Oscar-winning film, Emmerich hopes to return to the category he won so long ago. Best Visual Effects is shaping up to be one of the most competitive categories this year with countless potential contenders all clamoring for recognition. With so many options these days, the Academy has been more likely to recognize Oscar-friendly fare and well reviewed pictures.

Since Independence Day: Resurgence is neither Oscar-friendly nor well reviewed, I have doubts that it can pull out a nomination. It may make the bake-off shortlist from the visual effects branch, but a nomination seems unlikely at this juncture.