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We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

Mummy

Tom Cruise films have an uneven history at the Oscars, or to be more precise, almost none. Apart from his own Oscar nominations, most of his action films have been instantly forgotten by the Academy. The Mummy, upon first glance, looks like precisely the kind of film that could have had an in-road with the Oscars, if it weren’t for two damning problems.

The first is the reviews. Films live and die by reviews, but they have more of an impact on the Oscars than on the box office. Although they have made exceptions, the films of Michael Bay being an example, more often than not, they go for the films that have been well received over those that haven’t, making it difficult for Mummy. The Mummy has been received terribly, becoming one of the year’s worst reviewed films, which creates the first problem.

The other is box office. The bigger the box office, the better the Oscar chances. They love big hits, especially technically proficient big hits. What’s assured now is that Mummy won’t be a big hit. Pulling in an incredibly weak $32 million and coming in a distant second shows the film won’t be able to become the type of hit the Academy loves. The Mummy‘s second problem is this.

Combine the two and its chances at the Oscars have become virtually nil. If it were to overcome both to earn Oscar nominations, the only place it’s likely to appear is Best Visual Effects as Best Sound Editing and Best Sound Mixing are a tougher sell.

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