One thing’s for certain. Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars is a lock for Moonlight. Beating out the Kenneth Lonergan, the frontrunner in Original Screenplay, suggests Manchester by the Sea is weak; however, it’s really the strength of Moonlight that it suggests. This means a knock-down fight between La La Land and Manchester by the Sea, a contest we now don’t have any reasonable prediction to guide us.
The Awards
Best Original Screenplay
Moonlight (Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Documentary Screenplay
Command and Control (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter)
Writers Guild of America Data
Year Founded: 1933
First Awards: 1948 (69)
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