Category: Predictions
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Predictions: Golden Globe Awards
The first televised awards show of the season is the reformed Golden Globe Awards. While they are still ostensibly voted on by members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the HFPA no longer controls the awards, which are now a corporation of their own. How will that affect the outcomes? We won’t really know until…
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Contenders: Final Sets of New Contenders Incoming
I have been working hard the last several days putting together the final list of films to round out the Contenders for 2023. These are all films that either scored more than a couple of precursor citations or which should have been covered to wrap up December. There are several of these titles, over thirty…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: December
With most of the major critics groups announcing nominations along with a few of the other star-hugging precursors, we now await the shortlists (Thursday) and the beginning of the deluge of guild organizations. Things may change still, but our predictors will be on top of it with our last set of nominations, the full slate,…
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Contenders: November Update
For our November update, several films moved on from one stage to the next. Today, we’ll look at where each film moved and look at a new ranking of each of the contenders. Moving to Stage 2 We have no films moving into Stage 2. Moving to Stage 3 There are four films that have…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: November
While a handful of precursors have already announced, the flood of critics prizes and guild nominations is just around the corner. Before those organizations start throwing wrenches into the works, let’s see what our prognosticators see as the trends heading into the rest of the year. KEY: Appears on Four Lists Appears on Three Lists…
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Contenders: October Update
For our October update, several films moved on from one stage to the next. Today, we’ll look at where each film moved and look at a new ranking of each of the contenders. In addition to the stage changes, we’ve now removed a total of three films that have either moved into 2024 or have…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: October
The calm before the storm. October and most of November, we’ll have very little movement in terms of Oscar contenders other than films potentially moving into the 2024 season. Right now, things are pretty stable and there’s nothing between now and the first precursor awards that will change the calculus, so don’t expect more than…
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Contenders: September Update
For our September update, several films moved on from one stage to the next. Today, we’ll look at where each film moved and look at a new ranking of each of the contenders. Moving to Stage 2 We have eight films moving into Stage 2. This means that these films have finally had all of…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: Post-Festival
With Venice, Toronto, and Telluride now in the rearview mirror, we have a much better view of what Oscar season will be about. Here are out latest updates. This month, we’re adding Production Design and Costume Design. Next month, we’ll be adding everything except Original Song, International Feature, and the documentary and short film categories.…
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Contenders: August Update
It’s time to update some already-posted contenders. This month, we’ll look at everything that we’ve posted prior to this week and update everything. Only films that move into a new stage will be updated and will be outlined below. We’ll also share the current leaderboard for each of the current stages just to see what…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: August
And here we are, the last predictions of the summer and the final set before the trio of fall festivals that will either confirm what we’ve been thinking or redefine everything. Toronto, Venice, and Telluride will tell us a lot and we’ll be back in September with our first predictions post-festival. But for now, have…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: July
Once again, our prognosticators have been hard at work putting together revised lists. There aren’t a lot of changes this month, but enough to create some interesting new match-ups. Further, we’ve added the Animated Feature and Visual Effects categories to expand our lists to ten categories. Next month, we’ll add another two. They will probably…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: June
June Predictions We’re back with our first updated predictions of the year. There wasn’t a lot of movement, but one film that suddenly pulled into the competition is Cannes winner The Zone of Interest, which features in several new predictions this month. We’re taking the categories from our last slate in May and added the…
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2023 Oscar Nominations Predictions: May
As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places. Tripp was unable to participate in…
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2023 Oscar Nominations Predictions: May
As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places. Tripp was unable to participate in…
