Category: Predictions

We normally like to begin in May, but we missed our deadline by a couple days. Regardless, we’re now ready to put into place our very first predictions of 2016. The year isn’t quite half over yet, but a number of strong films have emerged as contenders. This is reflected in our fairly strong unanimity…

The lone straggler of the awards season, the Motion Picture Sound Editors seem unconcerned with Oscar season as twice now (for nominations and awards) they’ve waited until after voting was closed. This makes it more difficult for prognosticators to see their thinking, but we suspect the narrative of the guild awards may continue here with…

We’re down to the wire. Sunday, we will find out just how much we did and did not know about this Oscar season. While I’ve contributed quick thoughts to our Rundown articles, I always like to do more with my final post of the year. This will include how I think the races will finish…

What a long, strange trip it’s been. The Oscars have had a feeling of predictability for years now, but this year proved a different type of beast. First, Spotlight was trouncing the competition and no one was sure Mad Max: Fury Road would get most of the nominations it eventually got. Then, The Big Short…

For our twentieth and final Rundown article, the big one. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Picture as well as general commentary about the race.

The indie version of the Oscars, the strict guidelines (that have too often been ignored at the behest of certain “specialty” studios) keep out most Hollywood fare allowing us to look at some of the more compelling fare out there. Unlike the last couple of years, overlap with the Oscars has been minimal, which makes…

For our nineteenth Rundown article, we look at all the fancy frocks. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Costume Design as well as general commentary about the race. Friday, we’ll cover our final category, ostensibly the most important.

For our eighteenth Rundown article, we examine the category where becoming someone else is par for the course. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Makeup & Hairstyling as well as general commentary about the race. Thursday, we’ll cover the penultimate category where frocks are the main course.

With three categories, the Costume Designers Guild has a better-than-average chance of picking the eventual Oscar winner. You can ignore the contemporary category because it never has an Oscar impact. However, with the other two categories, you’d think they’d be better predictors. They aren’t. Since their inception, they have accurately predicted the Oscar winner eight…

For our seventeenth Rundown article, we look at the non-musical aural categories. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Sound Mixing and Best Sound Editing as well as general commentary about the race. Wednesday, we’ll cover category that physically makes everyone look different.

For our sixteenth Rundown article, we look at the final foundation category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay as well as general commentary about the race. Tuesday, we’ll cover the two categories that feed our ears with all its non-musical goodness.

The guild whose award is analogous of the Oscar for Best Sound Mixing is the Cinema Audio Society. Their track record is very hit-or-miss. They’ll peg the Oscar winner several years in a row then whiff. In a year with so many strong competitors, it wouldn’t be surprising if they didn’t match. It could be…

The Make-Up Artists Guild has been around such a short time that it’s hard to say if they’ll have much prognosticative capability. As such, we can’t really say we know how it will affect Oscar, nor can we really get a firm grasp on what will win these awards, but we’ll do our best.

Through 2006, the USC Scripter prize was a poor predictor of the Oscars. Frequently going for major novelists (whom they award alongside the screenwriters) over Oscar winners. However, from 2007 on, the USC Scripter has only once gone to a film that didn’t also win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay. That was 2009, the…