Category: AL Predictions
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Predictions: British Academy
The closest thing we have to the makeup of the Academy of itself, the British Academy still has its quirks but campaigns can begin and end with them. BRITISH ACADEMY OF FILM & TELEVISION ARTS AWARDS Best Film Anatomy of a Fall (RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) The Holdovers Killers of the Flower Moon (RU:Wesley) Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter,…
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Path to Oscar 2023: Directing
The DGA can have an impact when they pick an Oscar nominee and, overall, their accuracy can’t be beat. Best Directing Winner Predictions Anatomy of a Fall – Justine Triet Killers of the Flower Moon – Martin Scorsese Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan WLPPTL Poor Things – Yorgos Lanthimos The Zone of Interest – Jonathan Glazer…
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Path to Oscar 2023: Production Design
With the Art Directors Guild and Set Decorators Society both representing the industry, it will be interesting to see if their alignment or lack thereof will impact the Oscars. Best Production Design Winner Predictions Barbie Killers of the Flower Moon Napoleon Oppenheimer PP Poor Things WLTL Runner-Up Predictions Barbie WLTL Killers of the Flower Moon…
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Path to Oscar 2023: Documentary Short Subject
Another category where no guild exists. There are even fewer organizations that recognize short documentaries, so we’re on our own. Best Documentary Short Subject Winner Predictions The ABCs of Book Banning TL The Barber of Little Rock Islands in Between The Last Repair Shop WLPP Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó Runner-Up Predictions The ABCs of…
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Path to Oscar 2023: Live Action Short Film
There are no guilds representing short filmmakers but there are a couple of organizations that give out awards for live action short films; however, there aren’t many and their selection criteria are all over the place, so we’ll mostly be on our own with this category. Below are our predictions in Best Live Action Short…
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Predictions: Set Decorators Society
The Set Decorators Society doesn’t have a lot of history to tell us how much they can predict the Oscars but when paired with the Art Directors Guild, trends can be confirmed. SET DECORATORS SOCIETY AWARDS Best Period Set Decoration Killers of the Flower Moon (Peter) Maestro Napoleon Oppenheimer (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) Poor Things (Wesley,…
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Predictions: Society of Composers & Lyricists
A relatively new group, their impact on Oscar voting is in flux so we’ll see how well they do this year. SOCIETY OF COMPOSERS & LYRICISTS AWARDS Best Original Score for a Studio Film American Fiction The Boy and the Heron Killers of the Flower Moon (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) Saltburn Wesley…
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Path to Oscar 2023: International Feature
We begin this year’s Path to Oscar category analyses with one of the few categories a guild organization doesn’t reflect/impact. In this case, we’ll be on our own to read the precursor tea leaves and make a choice based on that. Best International Feature Winner Predictions Io Capitano Perfect Days Society of the Snow The…
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Predictions: Art Directors Guild
While the Art Directors Guild has some indication that a win can further a film’s Oscar ambitions, they also have three categories that could impact voting depending on the results. ART DIRECTORS GUILD AWARDS Best Period Art Direction Asteroid City (RU:Wesley) Killers of the Flower Moon (Peter, RU:Thomas) Maestro Napoleon Oppenheimer (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter) Wesley…
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Predictions: Directors Guild of America
This is the first major guild to announce winners this year and it could tell us a lot about what’s going through the minds of Oscar voters. DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS Best Director Greta Gerwig – Barbie (RU:Wesley) Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) Alexander Payne – The…
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Predictions: 96th Oscars
Now that we’ve had time to review the nominations and get a reading on the landscape, here are our first winner predictions of the 96th Oscars. INTRODUCTIONS Wesley Lovell: I’ve put together my first predictions and first thoughts on the race and while some of these races may well be over, there are a few…
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2023 Nomination Predictions: Our Statistics
Based on our nominations predictions, here’s how we did. Let’s start out with this year’s winner, Thomas La Tourrette, who managed 88 correct predictions out of 120. Wesley Lovell followed closely with 87. Pete came in third with 77 and Tripp, who didn’t predict 5 categories since he called it a day prior to the…
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Oscar Morning: Final Nomination Thoughts
Tomorrow morning, the nominations for the 96th Academy Awards will be announced. They’ll be revealed by TV stars Zazie Beetz (Atlanta, Deadpool 2) and Jack Quaid (The Boys, Star Trek: Lower Decks). Before the nominations are announced, I wanted to put down in writing my thoughts on this year’s categories and how I came to…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: Final
And here we have our final nominations predictions for 2024. While things seem to have coalesced, the coalescing doesn’t seem to have turned out exactly the same way for all of us, so while we have a lot of identical predictions, we also have some off-the-wall choices. KEY: Appears on Four Lists Appears on Three…
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Predictions: Critics Choice Awards
It’s time for the Critics Choice Awards. Who will win? Will they be the Oscar frontrunners or ephemeral critics’ picks? Bet on the former, but hope for the latter. CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS Introductions Wesley Lovell: I always have a hard time mustering interest in this group’s selections. Sure, they are ostensibly a critics organization, but…
