Category: Contenders
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Predictions: Annie Awards
The Annies have a hit-or-miss record with predicting the Oscars and their top categories can rarely suggest a change in direction but can affirm a frontrunner. ANNIE AWARDS Best Animated Feature The Boy and the Heron (Peter, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas) Nimona Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter) Suzume Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem Wesley…
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Predictions: Make-Up Artists Guild
Only one of these categories really speaks to the Oscar competition but not everyone is represented so we’ll see how accurate they can be if they can even pick one of the Oscar nominees to win. MAKE-UP ARTISTS & HAIR STYLISTS GUILD AWARDS Best Special Make-up Effects Golda (RU:Wesley) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3…
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Predictions: British Academy
The closest thing we have to the makeup of the Academy of itself, the British Academy still has its quirks but campaigns can begin and end with them. BRITISH ACADEMY OF FILM & TELEVISION ARTS AWARDS Best Film Anatomy of a Fall (RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) The Holdovers Killers of the Flower Moon (RU:Wesley) Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter,…
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The Contenders: January Retrospective/March Forecast
We’re looking at Oscar contenders as they release and trying to determine which films have potential and which have wasted it. Let’s look back at the month of January and see what films flourished and faltered. Then we’ll look forward to March and see what has some potential. Wesley Lovell’s Thoughts January Retrospective When we…
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Predictions: Set Decorators Society
The Set Decorators Society doesn’t have a lot of history to tell us how much they can predict the Oscars but when paired with the Art Directors Guild, trends can be confirmed. SET DECORATORS SOCIETY AWARDS Best Period Set Decoration Killers of the Flower Moon (Peter) Maestro Napoleon Oppenheimer (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) Poor Things (Wesley,…
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Predictions: Society of Composers & Lyricists
A relatively new group, their impact on Oscar voting is in flux so we’ll see how well they do this year. SOCIETY OF COMPOSERS & LYRICISTS AWARDS Best Original Score for a Studio Film American Fiction The Boy and the Heron Killers of the Flower Moon (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas) Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) Saltburn Wesley…
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Predictions: Art Directors Guild
While the Art Directors Guild has some indication that a win can further a film’s Oscar ambitions, they also have three categories that could impact voting depending on the results. ART DIRECTORS GUILD AWARDS Best Period Art Direction Asteroid City (RU:Wesley) Killers of the Flower Moon (Peter, RU:Thomas) Maestro Napoleon Oppenheimer (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter) Wesley…
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Predictions: Directors Guild of America
This is the first major guild to announce winners this year and it could tell us a lot about what’s going through the minds of Oscar voters. DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS Best Director Greta Gerwig – Barbie (RU:Wesley) Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) Alexander Payne – The…
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Contenders: 2023 Performance Update
With the Oscar nominations out and a reflection on the year, it’s easy to see where things were going. Yet, our Contenders series this year was trying to look at the Oscar mathematically and we learned a great deal. To start, the Contenders series lumped everything together regardless of what type of contender it was.…
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Contenders: Pre-Nominations Update
Since the Academy Award nominations are coming next week, we’ve moved all of our films to Stage 6, which is the precursors stage. Of the precursors we’re tracking, only six of them have yet to announce. Two of those are guilds (American Cinema Editors and Writers Guild of America) and four of them are other…
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Contender: The Pigeon Tunnel (2023)
CLICK HERE for more details about the Contenders series. CLICK HERE to see a list of other films in the 2023 Contenders series. The Pigeon Tunnel was added to this list based on the following criteria: Precursor Citation Contender Factor: 52.5 out of 100 (Stage 6 of 6 complete) Stage 1 – Pedigree Director: Errol…
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Contender: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie (2023)
CLICK HERE for more details about the Contenders series. CLICK HERE to see a list of other films in the 2023 Contenders series. Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie was added to this list based on the following criteria: Precursor Citation Contender Factor: 59.3 out of 100 (Stage 6 of 6 complete) Stage 1 –…
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Contender: Stamped from the Beginning (2023)
CLICK HERE for more details about the Contenders series. CLICK HERE to see a list of other films in the 2023 Contenders series. Stamped from the Beginning was added to this list based on the following criteria: Precursor Citation Contender Factor: 51.4 out of 100 (Stage 6 of 6 complete) Stage 1 – Pedigree Director:…
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Contender: Passages (2023)
CLICK HERE for more details about the Contenders series. CLICK HERE to see a list of other films in the 2023 Contenders series. Passages was added to this list based on the following criteria: Precursor Citation Contender Factor: 54.2 out of 100 (Stage 6 of 6 complete) Stage 1 – Pedigree Director: Ira Sachs Writers:…
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Contender: She Came to Me (2023)
CLICK HERE for more details about the Contenders series. CLICK HERE to see a list of other films in the 2023 Contenders series. She Came to Me was added to this list based on the following criteria: Our Predictions Citation Contender Factor: 49.6 out of 100 (Stage 6 of 6 complete) Stage 1 – Pedigree…
