Category: Precursors
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31st Screen Actors Guild Awards
While most of the winners were as expected, the top award and that of Best Actor were surprises going to Conclave and Timothée Chalamet. We’ll see whether that’s foreshadowing or a blip on the Oscar radar. Awards Tallies (1) A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Emilia Pérez, The Fall Guy, A Real Pain, The Substance The Awards…
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25th Vancouver Critics Awards
Nothing particularly exciting or new in these awards. Awards Tallies (5) Can I Get a Witness? (3) My Old Ass (2) Anora, A Real Pain (1) A Complete Unknown, Dune: Part Two, Flow, Matt and Mara, No Other Land, The Substance, Sugarcane, Young Werther The Awards Best Picture Anora Best Director Denis Villeneuve – Dune:…
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29th OFTA Film Awards
This awards season has been characterized by a spread-the-love approach with plenty of films failing to dominate everything else. Best Picture only winning two other awards is a common occurrence with the OFTA, so the result of Anora winning the top award and little else is not unexpected. Awards Tallies (5) The Substance (3) Anora,…
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32nd Cinema Audio Society Awards
It’s a big surprise that Dune: Part Two didn’t pick up this prize. That said, the film has been underperforming most of the year, so perhaps this shouldn’t be a surprise. That said, BAFTA went Dune: Part Two, so there’s still hope for it at the Oscars. If A Complete Unknown picks up the MPSE…
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56th NAACP Image Awards
Not much to say about these when they went with films and performances that are objectively not among the year’s best or most popular. Awards Tallies (5) The Six Triple Eight (3) Nickel Boys (2) Luther: Never Too Much, The Piano Lesson, Wicked (1) Bad Boys: Ride or Die, Emilia Pérez, Fight Night: The Million…
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38th USC Scripter Awards
With this award, there will be nothing standing in the way of Conclave taking the equivalent award at the Oscars. The Awards Best Adapted Screenplay Conclave WL PP TL USC Scripter Data Year Founded: 1988 First Awards: 1987 (38)
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40th Spirit Awards
As expected, Oscar contenders did better than those that weren’t Oscar-nominated. Anora took top honors and put Demi Moore on her backfoot again. Awards Tallies (3) Anora (2) Dìdi, A Real Pain (1) Familiar Touch, Flow, Girls Will Be Girls, His Three Daughters, My Old Ass, Nickel Boys, No Other Land, A Photographic Memory, September…
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Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors
This is the other feeder guild for the Best Sound Oscar. They have more categories and thus more opportunities to match up with Oscar. MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Sound Editing: Feature Effects / Foley Alien: Romulus…
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Predictions: Cinema Audio Society
The Best Sound Oscar was combined a few years ago to incorporate both the sound mixing and sound editing categories. As such, there are two precursors that could have an impact on the category. The first of these is the Cinema Audio Society. Our predictions are below. CINEMA AUDIO SOCIETY AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley…
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Predictions: American Society of Cinematographers
One of the most accurate guild precursors is the American Society of Cinematographers. In recent years, their unexpected nominations have landed those individuals Oscar nominations. The winners have been more accurate in recent years but they also like to honor longtime, prominent cinematographers, so they aren’t always accurate. Here are our predictions. AMERICAN SOCIETY OF…
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Predictions: USC Scripter Award
The USC Scripter Award is one of the few non-guilds targeting a specific Oscar category. With the Writers Guild of America having restrictive rules that leave some competitors out, the USC Scripter can often foreshadow some underrecognized scripts. That said, their winner selection is less accurate. We’ll see if they go with current wisdom or…
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Predictions: Spirit Awards
The Spirit Awards are the penultimate multi-discipline group to announce awards and while they don’t usually forecast the Oscars (unless most of the Oscar nominees are listed), they can provide an interesting look at how indie-minded voters are feeling. SPIRIT AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete…
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Predictions: Screen Actors Guild
Career awards have been known to happen at the Screen Actors Guild but for the most part, they can often indicate enthusiasm for a particular title. The winners here will either confirm longstanding predictions or upset the apple cart like BAFTA did in some regards. SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete…
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7th Latino Journalists Awards
A surprisingly conventional list of winners with the Best Picture win by Sing Sing the only genuine surprise. AwardsTallies (2) Challengers, Conclave, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Pérez, I’m Still Here, Sing Sing, The Substance, Wicked (1) Blink Twice, The Brutalist, The Fall Guy, Flow, Frida, Hit Man, Los Frikis, Nickel Boys, Nosferatu, A Real Pain,…
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52nd Saturn Awards
As a curiosity, these are interesting. As an Oscar forecaster, they aren’t much good, though Demi Moore and The Wild Robot are in good company. Awards Tallies (4) Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Deadpool & Wolverine, Dune: Part Two (2) The Substance (1) Alien: Romulus, Dream Scenario, Godzilla Minus One, Late Night with the Devil, Longlegs, Strange Darling,…
