Category: Predictions
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2025 Nominations Predictions: Opening
Our first set of predictions are always wildly divergent with a handful of agreements between us. Things will of course get more complex as the year goes on but this is of many monthly updates with our new predictions. KEY: Appears on Three Lists Appears on Two Lists Appears on One Lists Wesley Lovell Peter…
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Contenders 24: Final Analysis
As I look over the results of the 2024 Contenders series, I’m struck by the sheer breadth of contenders that were offered up throughout the year. It was startling just how many films met the stringent guidelines for inclusion and also how many of them failed to live up to lofty Oscar-caliber aspirations. It’s also…
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Predictions: American Cinema Editors
They had to move their ceremony because of the wildfires but they chose to sit comfortably after the Oscars rather than before so these are mostly moot. AMERICAN CINEMA EDITORS AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Drama Editing Civil War PP Conclave…
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2024 Oscar Winner Predictions: FINAL
Here are our final predictions and commentary for this year. The Oscars will be held on Sunday and we’re all ready to enjoy it rather than just talk about it. We’ll have a post-Oscars commentary on Tuesday next week. Until then, have a final look at our final thoughts below. KEY: Appears on Three Lists…
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97th Oscars: Oscar Guy’s Final Thoughts
When the Oscars were airing at the end of March or beginning of April, things felt more leisurely. While the Oscars got the early March berth this year, which would have helped, the fires near Los Angeles caused several postponements and everything got bunched up into the last few weeks, making it a whirlwind January/February.…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Picture
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ve adjusted our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Producers Guild of America. Below are our predictions in Best Picture. Best Picture Winner Predictions Anora (WL P) [New] The Brutalist A Complete Unknown…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Actress
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ve adjusted our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Actress. Best Actress Winner Predictions Cynthia Erivo – Wicked Karla Sofía Gascón – Emilia Pérez…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Supporting Actress
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ve adjusted our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Supporting Actress. Best Supporting Actress Winner Predictions Monica Barbaro – A Complete Unknown Ariana Grande…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Supporting Actor
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Supporting Actor. Best Supporting Actor Winner Predictions Yura Borisov – Anora Kieran Culkin – A…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Actor
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Actor. Best Actor Winner Predictions Adrien Brody – The Brutalist (WL P) [New] (TL O)…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Sound
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Cinema Audio Society and Motion Picture Sound Editors. Below are our predictions in Best Sound. Best Sound Winner Predictions A Complete Unknown (PP O)…
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Path to Oscar 2024: Cinematography
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, American Society of Cinematographers. Below are our predictions in Best Cinematography. Best Cinematography Winner Predictions The Brutalist (WL P) [New] (PP P) [New] (TL…
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Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors
This is the other feeder guild for the Best Sound Oscar. They have more categories and thus more opportunities to match up with Oscar. MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Sound Editing: Feature Effects / Foley Alien: Romulus…
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Predictions: Cinema Audio Society
The Best Sound Oscar was combined a few years ago to incorporate both the sound mixing and sound editing categories. As such, there are two precursors that could have an impact on the category. The first of these is the Cinema Audio Society. Our predictions are below. CINEMA AUDIO SOCIETY AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley…
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Predictions: American Society of Cinematographers
One of the most accurate guild precursors is the American Society of Cinematographers. In recent years, their unexpected nominations have landed those individuals Oscar nominations. The winners have been more accurate in recent years but they also like to honor longtime, prominent cinematographers, so they aren’t always accurate. Here are our predictions. AMERICAN SOCIETY OF…
