83rd Academy Awards (2010): Winner Predictions

AWARDS

6
3
2

1









The King’s Speech
Inception
The Fighter
The Social Network
127 Hours
Alice in Wonderland
Black Swan
The Confession
Day & Night
In a Better World
Inside Job
Sun Come Up
Toy Story 3
True Grit
The Wolfman

Predictions are in the order I think they have a chance of winning the award (except the short film categories, which are unranked and each listed as “Toss Up”). I have added notations to each indicating how strong I think they are a contender.

LEGEND:
Winner Prediction (c-Win Pred Date Set) — Chance at Win —
Other Nominees — Chance at Win —

Best Picture

  • The King’s Speech (c-1/29) — Strong —
  • The Social Network — Close Second —
  • The Fighter — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit — Potential Upset —
  • Inception — Unlikely —
  • Black Swan — Unlikely —
  • Toy Story 3 — Unlikely —
  • The Kids Are All Right — Long Shot —
  • 127 Hours — Long Shot —
  • Winter’s Bone — Long Shot —

Best Animated Feature

  • Toy Story 3 (c-4/13) — Lock —
  • How to Train Your Dragon — Potential Upset —
  • The Illusionist — Long Shot —

Best Director

  • The King’s Speech – Tom Hooper (c-1/29) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Social Network – David Fincher — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Fighter – David O. Russell — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen — Unlikely —
  • Black Swan – Darren Aronofsky — Long Shot —

Best Actor

  • The King’s Speech – Colin Firth (c-9/9) — Lock —
  • 127 Hours – James Franco — Potential Upset —
  • The Social Network – Jesse Eisenberg — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit – Jeff Bridges — Unlikely —
  • Biutiful – Javier Bardem — Long Shot —

Best Actress

  • Black Swan – Natalie Portman (c-12/1) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Kids Are All Right – Annette Bening — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Winter’s Bone – Jennifer Lawrence — Potential Upset —
  • Rabbit Hole – Nicole Kidman — Long Shot —
  • Blue Valentine – Michelle Williams — Long Shot —

Best Supporting Actor

  • The Fighter – Christian Bale (c-12/19) — Strong —
  • The King’s Speech – Geoffrey Rush — Close Second —
  • The Kids Are All Right – Mark Ruffalo — Long Shot —
  • Winter’s Bone – John Hawkes — Long Shot —
  • The Town – Jeremy Renner — Long Shot —

Best Supporting Actress

  • The Fighter – Melissa Leo (c-1/30) — Strong —
  • True Grit – Hailee Steinfeld — Potential Upset —
  • The King’s Speech – Helena Bonham Carter — Unlikely —
  • The Fighter – Amy Adams — Unlikely —
  • Animal Kingdom – Jacki Weaver — Long Shot —

Best Original Screenplay

  • The King’s Speech – David Seidler (c-1/29) — Strong —
  • Inception – Christopher Nolan — Potential Upset —
  • The Kids Are All Right – Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg — Unlikely —
  • The Fighter – Paul Attanasio, Lewis Colick — Unlikely —
  • Another Year – Mike Leigh — Long Shot —

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Social Network – Aaron Sorkin (c-9/9) — Lock —
  • Winter’s Bone – Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini (Novel: Daniel Woodrell) — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit – Joel Coen, Ethan Coen (Novel: Charles Portis) — Potential Upset —
  • Toy Story 3 – Michael Arndt — Unlikely —
  • 127 Hours – Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy (Book: Aron Ralston) — Unlikely —

Best Original Song

  • The King’s Speech – Alexandre Desplat (c-1/31) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Social Network – Trent Reznor — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Inception – Hans Zimmer — Potential Upset —
  • How to Train Your Dragon – John Powell — Unlikely —
  • 127 Hours – A.R. Rahman — Long Shot —

Best Original Score

  • 127 Hours – If I Rise (n-11/28, o-1/25) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Toy Story 3 – We Belong Together — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Country Strong – Coming Home — Potential Upset —
  • Tangled – I See the Light — Potential Upset —

Best Editing

  • The Social Network – Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall (c-2/14) — Strong —
  • The Fighter – Pamela Martin — Potential Upset —
  • The King’s Speech – Tariq Anwar — Potential Upset —
  • 127 Hours – Jon Harris — Unlikely —
  • Black Swan – Andrew Weisblum — Unlikely —

Best Cinematography

  • True Grit – Roger Deakins (c-1/25) — Strong —
  • Inception – Wally Pfister — Potential Upset —
  • Black Swan – Matthew Libatique — Potential Upset —
  • The Social Network – Jeff Cronenweth — Unlikely —
  • The King’s Speech – Danny Cohen — Unlikely —

Best Art Direction

  • Alice in Wonderland – Robert Stromberg, Karen O’Hara, Peter Young (c-4/13) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Inception – Guy Hendrix Dyas, Lisa Chugg — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The King’s Speech – Eve Stewart, Judy Farr — Neck-and-Neck —
  • True Grit – Jess Gonchor — Potential Upset —
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I – Stuart Craig, Stephanie McMillan — Unlikely —

Best Costume Design

  • The King’s Speech – Jenny Beavan (c-4/13) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Alice in Wonderland – Colleen Atwood — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Tempest – Sandy Powell — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit – Mary Zophres — Long Shot —
  • I Am Love – Antonella Cannarozzi — Long Shot —

Best Makeup

  • The Wolfman (c-1/25) — Strong —
  • Barney’s Version — Potential Upset —
  • The Way Back — Unlikely —

Best Sound Mixing

  • Inception (c-8/26) — Strong —
  • The King’s Speech — Potential Upset —
  • The Social Network — Potential Upset —
  • True Grit — Potential Upset —
  • Salt — Long Shot —

Best Sound Editing

  • Inception (c-4/13) — Strong —
  • True Grit — Potential Upset —
  • TRON Legacy — Unlikely —
  • Toy Story 3 — Unlikely —
  • Unstoppable — Unlikely —

Best Visual Effects

  • Inception (c-4/13) — Lock —
  • Alice in Wonderland — Potential Upset —
  • Hereafter — Unlikely —
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I — Unlikely —
  • Iron Man 2 — Long Shot —

Best Foreign Film

  • In a Better World – Denmark (c-1/19) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Incendies – Canada — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Biutiful – Mexico — Potential Upset —
  • Hors la Loi (Outside the Law) – Algeria — Potential Upset —
  • Dogtooth – Greece — Unlikely —

Best Documentary Feature

  • Inside Job (c-1/25) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Exit Through the Gift Shop — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Restrepo — Potential Upset —
  • Gasland — Potential Upset —
  • Waste Land — Potential Upset —

Best Documentary Short Subject

  • Sun Come Up (c-10/26) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Warriors of Qiugang — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Killing in the Name — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Strangers No More — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Poster Girl — Neck-and-Neck —

Best Animated Short Film

  • Day & Night (c-11/30) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Lost Thing — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Let’s Pollute — Potential Upset —
  • The Gruffalo — Potential Upset —
  • Madagascar, Carnet de Voyage (Madagascar, A Journey Diary) — Potential Upset —

Best Live-Action Short Film

  • The Confession (c-11/30) — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Wish 143 — Neck-and-Neck —
  • The Crush — Neck-and-Neck —
  • Na Wewe — Neck-and-Neck —
  • God of Love — Neck-and-Neck —

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