As is our tradition here at Cinema Sight, we have put our heads together (separately, of course) and made the absolute earliest predictions we’re ever willing to make. With just over 6 months until the first precursors are announced, we look at where we think the race stands before Cannes has a chance to wow or disappoint.

What we have guessed below is likely to change a lot between now and November. Some releases will get pushed back, others will suddenly appear, picked up from the festival circuit. We make no guarantees that these selections will make it throug and, as you can see, we don’t even agree on what or who the top contenders are. We present six categories below and among them, only two predictions are shared by all four of our participants. Neither of these, Paul Thomas Anderon’s latest Inherent Vice or Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken, have even been seen. If things didn’t change between now and year-end, it would be an awfully boring Oscar season.

As I mentioned in the paragraph above, we have four contributors this year. Our regular contributors, Peter, Tripp and I, are joined by 2013 Oscar Prediction contest winner Thomas LaTourrette. You’ve already seen his first comments appearing in our Looking at the Weekend posts, but here are his first Oscar predictions of the new year. We welcome him to the circuit and hope to see how his thoughts stack up against ours.

KEY:

Best Picture

• Big Eyes (O)
• Birdman (O) (O)
• Boyhood (O)
• Foxcatcher (O) (O) (O)
• Fury (O)
• Get On Up (O)
• Gone Girl (O) (O) (O)
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (O)
• The Immigrant (O)
• Inherent Vice (O) (O) (O) (O)
• Interstellar (O) (O) (O)
• Into the Woods (O) (O)
• Jersey Boys (O)
• A Most Violent Year (O) (O)
• Mr. Turner (O) (O)
• Paddington (O)
• Serena (O)
• Suite Francaise (O)
• Theory of Everything (O)
• Trash (O) (O)
• Unbroken (O) (O) (O) (O)
• Wild (O) (O)

Best Director

• Paul Thomas Anderson – Inherent Vice (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Susanne Bier – Serena (WL O)
• Tim Burton – Big Eyes (TB O)
• J.C. Chandor – A Most Violent Year (TB O) (TL O)
• Stephen Daldry – Trash (TL O)
• Clint Eastwood – Jersey Boys (WL O)
• David Fincher – Gone Girl (WL O) (PP O)
• James Gray – The Immigrant (WL O)
• Angelina Jolie – Unbroken (TL O)
• Paul King – Paddington (PP O)
• Mike Leigh – Mr. Turner (PP O)
• Rob Marshall – Into the Woods (PP O)
• Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Christopher Nolan – Interstellar (TB O)

Best Actor

• Ben Affleck – Gone Girl (PP O)
• Chadwick Boseman – Get On Up (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Steve Carell – Foxcatcher (PP O) (TL O)
• Bradley Cooper – Serena (WL O)
• Robert Downey Jr. – The Judge (TB O)
• Michael Keaton – Birdman (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Jack O’Connell – Unbroken (TL O)
• Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Brad Pitt – Fury (WL O)
• Eddie Redmayne – Theory of Everything (WL O) (PP O)
• Timothy Spall – Mr. Turner (PP O) (TB O)

Best Actress

• Amy Adams – Big Eyes (TB O) (TL O)
• Bérénice Bejo – The Search (PP O)
• Cate Blanchett – Blackbird (WL O)
• Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year (TB O) (TL O)
• Marion Cotillard – The Immigrant (WL O) (PP O)
• Felicity Jones – Theory of Everything (PP O)
• Jennifer Lawrence – Serena (WL O)
• Helen Mirren – The Hundred-Foot Journey (WL O)
• Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl (TB O)
• Meryl Streep – Into the Woods (PP O)
• Hilary Swank – The Homseman (TL O)
• Naomi Watts – Birdman (WL O)
• Michelle Williams – Suite Francaise (TB O) (TL O)
• Reese Witherspoon – The Good Lie (PP O)
• Reese Witherspoon – Wild (TB O) (TL O)

Best Supporting Actor

• Hugh Bonneville – Paddington (PP O)
• Josh Brolin – Inherent Vice (WL O) (TL O)
• Albert Brooks – A Most Violent Year (TB O)
• James Corden – Into the Woods (PP O)
• Robert Duvall – The Judge (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation (TB O)
• Colin Firth – Magic in the Moonlight (WL O)
• Domnhall Gleeson – Unbroken (TB O)
• Neil Patrick Harris – Gone Girl (WL O)
• Oscar Isaac – Mojave (TL O)
• Toby Jones – Serena (WL O)
• Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Martin Sheen – Trash (TL O)
• Christopher Walken – Jersey Boys (WL O) (PP O)

Best Supporting Actress

• Annette Bening – The Search (WL O) (PP O)
• Emily Blunt – Into the Woods (PP O)
• Helena Bonham Carter – Suffragette (TL O)
• Viola Davis – Get On Up (WL O) (TL O)
• Anna Kendrick – Into the Woods (PP O) (TB O)
• Jena Malone – Inherent Vice (TB O) (TL O)
• Rooney Mara – Trash (TB O) (TL O)
• Julianne Moore – Maps of the Stars (TB O)
• Vanessa Redgrave – Foxcatcher (TL O)
• Emma Stone – Birdman (PP O) (TB O)
• Emma Stone – Magic in the Moonlight (WL O)
• Meryl Streep – Into the Woods (WL O)
• Tilda Swinton – Snowpiercer (WL O)
• Emily Watson – Theory of Everything (PP O)