Oscar Predictions – Post-Toronto Update

Now that the Toronto International Film Festival is over, the Oscar race is in full swing. Many of the year’s highest profile releases have finally seen the light of day and now we’ll be able to begin forming stronger predictions. While we still caution that predictions this early aren’t very accurate, please feel free to share and enjoy our thoughts.

Everyone is starting to come on board with Silver Linings Playbook, a film which yours truly had put at the forefront of the race back in May. Its Toronto Audience Award will be all the help Harvey Weinstein will need to flog the film into the Oscar landscape. Helen Hunt, Toni Collette and Amour also gained significant ground in this month’s update while Hyde Park on Hudson took a nose dive.


Appears on Three Lists
Appears on Two Lists

Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton
(New) = New Prediction
(O) = Original Prediction
(T) = Post-Toronto Prediction

Best Picture

  • Amour (T) [New] (O) (T) [New]
  • Anna Karenina (O)
  • Argo (T) [New] (O) (O)
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild (A)
  • The Dark Knight Rises (O)
  • Django Unchained (O)
  • Hitchcock (T) [New]
  • The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (O) (O)
  • Life of Pi (A)
  • Lincoln (O) (O)
  • The Master (O) (O) (O)
  • Les Miserables (O) (O) (O)
  • Moonrise Kingdom (A)
  • The Sessions (T) [New] (O)
  • The Silver Linings Playbook (O) (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Zero Dark Thirty (O) (O)

Best Director

  • Ben Affleck – Argo (T) [New] (O)
  • Paul Thomas Anderson – The Master (O) (O)
  • Kathryn Bigelow – Zero Dark Thirty (O)
  • Michael Haneke – Amour (T) [New] (A)
  • Tom Hooper – Les Miserables (O) (T) [New] (O)
  • Ang Lee – Life of Pi (A)
  • Ben Lewin – The Sessions (O)
  • David O. Russell – The Silver Linings Playbook (O)
  • Steven Spielberg – Lincoln (O) (O)

Best Actor

  • Bradley Cooper – The Silver Linings Playbook (O) (T) [New]
  • Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln (O) (O)
  • John Hawkes – The Sessions (O) (O)
  • Anthony Hopkins – Hitchcock (T) [New]
  • Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables (O) (O) (O)
  • Joaquin Phoenix – The Master (A) (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Jean-Louis Trintignant – Amour (T) [New] (T) [New]

Best Actress

  • Sandra Bullock – Gravity (O)
  • Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone (T) [New] (A)
  • Greta Gerwig – Frances Ha (T) [New]
  • Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina (O)
  • Jennifer Lawrence – The Silver Linings Playbook (O) (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Laura Linney – Hyde Park on Hudson (O)
  • Helen Mirren – Hitchcock (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Emmanuelle Riva – Amour (T) [New]
  • Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild (T) [New] (A)
  • Michelle Williams – Take This Waltz (O)

Best Supporting Actor

  • Alan Arkin – Argo (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Bryan Cranston – Argo (O)
  • Russell Crowe – Les Miserables (O)
  • Robert De Niro – The Silver Linings Playbook (O) (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Joseph Gordon-Levitt – Lincoln (O) (T) [New]
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master (T) [New] (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Hal Holbrook – Promised Land (T) [New]
  • William H. Macy – The Sessions (A)
  • Peter Sarsgaard – Lovelace (O)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Samantha Barks – Les Miserables (O) (O)
  • Toni Collette – Hitchcock (T) [New] (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (A)
  • Sally Field – Lincoln (O) (O)
  • Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables (T) [New] (T) [New] (O)
  • Helen Hunt – The Sessions (T) [New] (T) [New] (T) [New]
  • Maggie Smith – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (A)

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