Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 12

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

We’re almost into the home stretch. The last of the major precursors will be given out in the next week after the last of the major guilds were handed out this past week. There are a few stragglers the subsequent week, plus the pre-Oscar Spirit Awards, but we’re getting close to the finish line and the picture is becoming ever clearer.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 13

Tue. 13 – Visual Effects Society (Awards) (Official)
Sat. 17 – Cinematographers (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – British Academy (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – Online Film & TV Association (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 18 – Sound Editors (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

Call Me by Your Name won both the Writers Guild of America award and the USC Scripter award, making it the almost certain winner of the Oscar. Is there really any other competition?
Get Out needed the WGA win to stay in the race for Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars. While it still faces stiff competition from Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, which was ineligible at the WGA, it could still come out on top as this is the only award the film really has much of a shot of winning.

Big Losers

Lady Bird had to win the WGA prize to stay in the race for Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars. This and Get Out were the two strongest contenders in this category and if either had won, it would have gone on to the Oscars to compete against Three Billboards. WGA voters have spoken and Get Out got there vote, which pretty much eliminates the last category where Lady Bird had much of a shot at the Oscars.

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