The beginning of December has arrived and before the critics groups start citing their favorites of the year, we wanted to take one last stab at predicting the Oscar before then. Here are our latest thoughts looking back at all that occurred in November.

Also, with this update, we have made so many changes that WordPress can’t store them all. I have removed all changes prior to the current incarnation. So, you can see what we removed from our lists to make way for new items, but none of our prior predictions are listed any longer. These may return at some point in the future, but right now, the space is urgently needed.

A lot of our predictions are starting to coalesce around several contenders, but the critics groups ahead have a tendency to throw wrenches into things, so these may look pretty unified, but they will most assuredly change over the next several weeks. We’ll even try to update our predictions periodically throughout the month as new data is unveiled (such as the Golden Globe nominations and Screen Actors Guild nominations due later this month).

KEY:

BEST PICTURE
127 Hours (N) (N) The Fighter (Oc) Inception (O) The Kids Are All Right (Oc) The King’s Speech (Oc) Rabbit Hole (N) (N) The Social Network (S) Toy Story 3 (J) True Grit (O) The Way Back (N) (N) Secretariat (R) (N) Somewhere (R) (N)	127 Hours (J) Black Swan (O) The Fighter (O) Inception (O) The Kids Are All Right (J) The King’s Speech (O) The Social Network (J) Toy Story 3 (J) True Grit (Oc) The Way Back (N) (N) Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	127 Hours (S) The Fighter (S) Inception (S) The Kids Are All Right (N) (N) The King’s Speech (O) Rabbit Hole (Oc) The Social Network (O) Toy Story 3 (O) True Grit (Oc) The Way Back (O) Another Year (R) (N)	127 Hours (Oc) Another Year (Oc) Black Swan (N) (N) The Fighter (O) Inception (O) The Kids Are All Right (J) The King’s Speech (J) The Social Network (O) Toy Story 3 (O) True Grit (S)

BEST DIRECTOR
Lisa Cholodenko – The Kids Are All Right (N) (N) David Fincher – The Social Network (S) Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech (Oc) David O. Russell – The Fighter (Oc) Peter Weir – The Way Back (N) Edward Zwick – Love & Other Drugs (R) (N) Ben Affleck – The Town (R) (N)	Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan (S) Danny Boyle – 127 Hours (J) David Fincher – The Social Network (S) Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech (O) David O. Russell – The Fighter (J)	Danny Boyle – 127 Hours (S) David Fincher – The Social Network (S) Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech (S) David O. Russell – The Fighter (N) (N) Peter Weir – The Way Back (S) Joel Coen, Ethan Coen – True Grit (R) (N)	Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan (N) (N) Danny Boyle – 127 Hours (Oc) David Fincher – The Social Network (O) Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech (Oc) Christopher Nolan – Inception (O) Mike Leigh – Another Year (R) (N)

BEST ACTOR
Jeff Bridges – True Grit (O) Aaron Eckhart – Rabbit Hole (N) (J) Colin Firth – The King’s Speech (J) James Franco – 127 Hours (Oc) Mark Wahlberg – The Fighter (S) Jake Gyllenhaal – Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	Jeff Bridges – True Grit (Oc) Aaron Eckhart – Rabbit Hole (N) (N) Colin Firth – The King’s Speech (O) James Franco – 127 Hours (O) Ryan Gosling – Blue Valentine (J) Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network (R) (N)	Jeff Bridges – True Grit (S) Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network (N) (N) Colin Firth – The King’s Speech (O) James Franco – 127 Hours (S) Mark Wahlberg – The Fighter () Jake Gyllenhaal – Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	Jeff Bridges – True Grit (S) Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network (J) Colin Firth – The King’s Speech (J) James Franco – 127 Hours (Oc) Ryan Gosling – Blue Valentine (N) (N) Jim Broadbent – Another Year (R) (N)

BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right (O) Nicole Kidman – The Rabbit Hole (Oc) Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone (Oc) Gwyneth Paltrow – Country Strong (N) (N) Natalie Portman – Black Swan (Oc) Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right (R) (N) Anne Hathaway – Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right (O) Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole (Oc) Lesley Manville – Another Year (N) (N) Natalie Portman – Black Swan (O) Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine (O) Anne Hathaway – Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right (O) Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole (O) Lesley Manville – Another Year (N) Gwyneth Paltrow – Country Strong (Oc) Natalie Portman – Black Swan (Oc) Anne Hathaway – Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right (J) Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole (Oc) Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone (J) Natalie Portman – Black Swan (S) Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine (N) (N) Lesley Manville – Another Year (R) (N)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale – The Fighter (O) Matt Damon – True Grit (S) Ed Harris – The Way Back (O) Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right (O) Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech (S)	Christian Bale – The Fighter (O) Matt Damon – True Grit (N) (N) Andrew Garfield – The Social Network (Oc) Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right (O) Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech (O) Sam Rockwell – Conviction (R) (N)	Christian Bale – The Fighter (O) Andrew Garfield – The Social Network (S) Ed Harris – The Way Back (O) Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right (S) Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech (S)	Christian Bale – The Fighter (O) Andrew Garfield – The Social Network (J) Ed Harris – The Way Back (O) Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right (J) Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech (Oc)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams – The Fighter (O) Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech (Oc) Miranda Richardson – Made in Dagenham (N) (N) Barbara Hershey – Black Swan (S) Dianne Wiest – Rabbit Hole (Oc) Elle Fanning – Somewhere (R) (N)	Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech (O) Barbara Hershey – Black Swan (N) (S) Melissa Leo – The Fighter (Oc) Hailee Setinfeld – True Grit (N) (N) Dianne Wiest – Rabbit Hole (Oc) Miranda Richardson – Made in Dagenham (R) (N)	Amy Adams – The Fighter (S) Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech (S) Melissa Leo – The Fighter (N) (N) Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right (Oc) Dianne Wiest – Rabbit Hole (Oc) Amy Ryan – Jack Goes Boating (R) (N)	Amy Adams – The Fighter (O) Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech (Oc) Lesley Manville – Another Year (N) (N) Miranda Richardson – Made in Dagenham (Oc) Dianne Wiest – Rabbit Hole (J) Hallie Steinfeld – True Grit (R) (N)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Another Year (S) The Fighter (N) (N) Inception (O) The Kids Are All Right (S) The King’s Speech (Oc) Somewhere (R) (N)	Another Year (S) Black Swan (Oc) The Fighter (J) The Kids Are All Right (J) The King’s Speech (J)	Another Year (Oc) The Fighter (S) Inception (N) (N) The Kids Are All Right (S) The King’s Speech (S) Made in Dagenham (R) (N)	Black Swan (N) (N) Blue Valentine (N) (N) Inception (O) The Kids Are All Right (O) The King’s Speech (Oc) Another Year (R) (N) The Fighter (R) (N)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Rabbit Hole (N) (N) The Social Network (S) Toy Story 3 (O) True Grit (O) The Way Back (O) Love and Other Drugs (R) (N)	127 Hours (Oc) Rabbit Hole (Oc) The Social Network (J) Toy Story 3 (J) True Grit (N) (N) Winter’s Bone (R) (N) The Way Back (R) (N)	The Social Network (S) Toy Story 3 (S) True Grit (S) The Way Back (S) Winter’s Bone (S)	127 Hours (Oc) The Social Network (O) The Town (Oc) Toy Story 3 (O) True Grit (J)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon (O) Toy Story 3 (O) Tangled (O) Despicable Me (R) (N) The Illusionist (R) (N)	How to Train Your Dragon (Oc) Tangled (Oc) Toy Story 3 (S)	How to Train Your Dragon (S) The Illusionist (S) Toy Story 3 (S)	How to Train Your Dragon (O) The Illusionist (O) Toy Story 3 (O)