The SAG Awards are often reflective of the larger body of popular opinion, but not necessarily of Oscar predilections. Just looking at the statistics at the bottom of the page, you can see the only perfect correlation comes from Best Actor, a category that isn’t likely to repeat for them this year. Matter of fact, their other three winners for individual performances are more likely to carry over to Oscar than Best Actor. And the two actresses hope that the 3-for-5 match-up between SAG and Oscar won’t hurt their chances, though considering what Harvey’s probably seen from this, he’s gotta choose between Meryl Streep and Michelle Williams and push hard.

As for that cast win? It was really not at all surprising. SAG has a penchant for giving their Ensemble (or Cast) award to the largest ensemble, deeming bigger equal to best. This has caused them to mismatch Oscar’s Best Picture award quite frequently. And even with that record, they’ve corresponded three times in the last five years, their bizarre decisions to pick both Slumdog Millionaire and No Country for Old Men may have lulled some prognosticators into a false sense of security with regard to their potential to match up. Then there’s Inglourious Basterds and Little Miss Sunshine in the last five years that show they aren’t necessarily above failures. The Help is very likely to fall into this latter category. Simply being the most widely-seen film in the category certainly helped. I don’t expect this result to carry through to the Oscars since the film obviously didn’t have across-the-board support if it couldn’t get nominations from the directors, writers or editors within the Academy.

In addition to the nominees and/or winners listed below, this year, we’re giving you a quick background on each individual precursor including founding year, first awards year and a glimpse at how many predictions the group has gotten right in the last five years. This data can be found below.

As promised, I have posted the history of this particular guild on my website. You can find it by following this link: Screen Actors Guild.

Award Tallies

(3) The Help
(1) The Artist
(1) Beginners
(1) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

The Awards

Best Cast

The Help

Best Actor

Jean Dujradin – The Artist

Best Actress

Viola Davis – The Help

Best Supporting Actor

Christopher Plummer – Beginners

Best Supporting Actress

Octavia Spencer – The Help

Best Stunt Cast

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

Screen Actors Guild Data

Year Founded: 1933
First Awards: 1994 (18)

Precursor Accuracy

KEY:

• Winner won the corresponding Oscar
• Winner was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
• Winner was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
• Nominee was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
• Nominee was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
• Total (2010-2009-2008-2007-2006)

Picture (Cast): 3 (1-0-1-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Actor: 5 (1-1-1-1-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Actress: 3 (1-1-0-0-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Supporting Actor: 4 (1-1-1-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Supporting Actress: 3 (1-1-0-0-1) W / 4 (1-1-0-1-1) N / 1 (0-0-1-0-0) I