A lot has happened since we last updated our predictions in August. Oscar contenders Grace of Monaco and Foxcatcher moved to 2014 while The Wolf of Wall Street‘s 2013 berth is in doubt. Telluride and Toronto cemented a few frontrunners while eliminating a few others. Our predictions today reflect most of those changes, though we’re still bearish about the prospects of a lot of these entries since the likes of Wolf and American Hustle haven’t been seen yet.

KEY:

Best Picture

• 12 Years a Slave (A) (O) (T) [New]
• American Hustle (A) (A)
• August: Osage County (O)
• Blue Jasmine (T) [New] (A)
• Captain Phillips (O)
• Dallas Buyers Club (O/T)
• The Fifth Estate (O)
• Fruitvale Station (A)
• Gravity (T) [New] (A) (T) [New]
• Inside Llewyn Davis (O)
• Lee Daniels’ The Butler (O) (T) [New]
• The Monuments Men (O) (O) (O)
• Nebraska (O) (T) [New] (O)
• Philomena (A)
• Rush (A)
• Saving Mr. Banks (O) (A)
• The Wolf of Wall Street (O) (O)

Best Director

• George Clooney – The Monuments Men (O)
• Ryan Coogler – Fruitvale Station (A)
• Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity (T) [New] (A)
• Lee Daniels – Lee Daniels’ The Butler (A)
• Stephen Frears – Philomena (T) [New]
• Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips (O)
• Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave (T) [New] (O) (T) [New]
• Alexander Payne – Nebraska (O)
• David O. Russell – American Hustle (T) [New]
• Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street (O) (O)
• John Wells – August: Osage County (O)

Best Actor

• Bruce Dern – Nebraska (O) (T) [New] (O)
• Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street (O)
• Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave (A) (O) (T) [New]
• Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips (O) (O)
• Michael B. Jordan – Fruitvale Station (O)
• Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club (O) (O)
• Robert Redford – All Is Lost (A) (A)
• Forest Whitaker – Lee Daniels’ The Butler (A)

Best Actress

• Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine (A) (A) (A)
• Sandra Bullock – Gravity (T) [New] (T) [New]
• Judi Dench – Philomena (A) (O) (A)
• Meryl Streep – August: Osage County (O/T) (O) (O/T)
• Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks (T) [New] (O) (A)
• Naomi Watts – Diana (O/T)

Best Supporting Actor

• Christian Bale – Americna Hustle (A)
• Daniel Bruhl – Rush (A) (T) [New]
• Bradley Cooper – American Hustle (T) [New]
• Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave (A) (O) (T) [New]
• Paul Giamatti – Parkland (O)
• John Goodman – Inside Llewyn Davis (T) [New]
• John Goodman – The Monuments Men (O)
• Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks (A)
• Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club (T) [New] (T) [New]
• Matthew McConaughey – The Wolf of Wall Street (T) [New] (A)

Best Supporting Actress

• Amy Adams – American Hustle (A)
• Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine (T) [New] (A)
• Margo Martindale – August: Osage County (O) (O)
• Carey Mulligan – Inside Llewyn Davis (T) [New]
• Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave (T) [New] (T) [New] (T) [New]
• Julia Roberts – August: Osage County (O)
• Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station (O)
• June Squibb – Nebraska (T) [New] (T) [New]
• Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniels’ The Butler (T) [New] (T) [New]

Best Original Screenplay

• American Hustle (A) (A) (T) [New]
• Blue Jasmine (A) (T) [New] (T) [New]
• Dallas Buyers Club (O)
• Fruitvale Station (T) [New]
• Gravity (T) [New]
• Her (T) [New]
• Inside Llewyn Davis (A) (O)
• Nebraska (A) (T) [New]
• Saving Mr. Banks (T) [New]

Best Adapted Screenplay

• 12 Years a Slave (A) (O) (T) [New]
• August: Osage County (A) (T) [New]
• Before Midnight (A) (O) (T) [New]
• Captain Phillips (A)
• Lee Daniels’ The Butler (A)
• The Monuments Men (O) (T) [New]
• Philomena (A) (T) [New]
• The Wolf of Wall Street (A)