2014 Group Nominations Predictions Summation

Our contributors each put forward a list of predictions for the Oscars. Here’s how we did. Please note that I (Wesley Lovell) made changes to my final predictions after this went live, so the accuracy here will differ. However, at the time we all put forth our nominations, this is how we saw it.

Our Overall Prediction Success Rate:

Wesley Lovell – 84
Tripp Burton – 82
Thomas La Tourrette – 82
Peter J. Patrick – 78

Having all of us come so close to one another is either a testament to our capabilities or a testament to how predictable four out of five slots in each category were this year. Of course, these numbers are all lower for us than last year when Tripp led the pack with 90 and I came in second with 88

Lone Predictions:

Best Animated Feature – Song of the Sea (Tripp)
Best Actress – Marion Cotillard (Peter)
Best Editing – The Grand Budapest Hotel (Peter)
Best Production Design – Interstellar (Peter)
Best Makeup – Foxcatcher (Peter)
Best Foreign Film – Tangerines (Tripp)
Best Documentary Feature – Finding Vivian Meier (Wesley), The Last Days in Vietnam (Tripp), The Salt of the Earth (Tripp), Virunga (Wesley)
Best Animated Short Film – The Dam Keeper (Peter)
Best Live-Action Short Film – Parvaneh (Tripp)

Peter and Tripp had an amazing year picking five nominees each that no one else got. Wesley only had the two while Thomas had none.

Best Picture

(40) Boyhood (10 S) (10 S) (10 S) (10 O/S)
(36) Birdman (9 O) (9 O) (9 N) (9 S)
(31) The Grand Budapest Hotel (8 O/D) (8 D) (8 D) (7 D)
(28) The Imitation Game (7 S) (6 C) (7 S) (8 N)
(22) The Theory of Everything (6 D) (5 O) (6 N) (5 N)
(19) Selma (2 N) (7 N) (4 N) (6 N)
(13) Whiplash (5 D) (3 F) [New] (2 F) [New] (3 N)
(8) American Sniper (3 N/F) (3 N/F) (2 F) [New]

Best Animated Feature

Big Hero 6 (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
The Boxtrolls (WL O) (PP O)(TL O)
How to Train Your Dragon 2 (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Song of the Sea (TB D)
The Tale of the Princess Kaguya (WL O) (TB D)

Best Director

Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL D) (PP D) (TB D) (TL O/F)
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu – Birdman (WL N) (PP S) (TB N) (TL N)
Richad Linklater – Boyhood (WL S) (PP S) (TB S) (TL S)
Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game (WL N) (TB S/F) (TL D)
Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher

Best Actor

Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game (WL N) (PP C) (TB S/F) (TL C)
Michael Keaton – Birdman (WL S) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O/S)
Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything (WL O) (PP O) (TB N) (TL N)
Steve Carell – Foxcatcher
Bradley Cooper – American Sniper

Best Actress

Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night (PP D)
Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything (WL F) [New] (PP O/N) (TB N) (TL N)
Julianne Moore – Still Alice (WL N) (PP N) (TB N) (TL N)
Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl (WL N) (PP C) (TB O) (TL C)
Reese Witherspoon – Wild (WL S) (PP C) (TB O) (TL O/S)

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall – The Judge (TB O/D) (TL D)
Ethan Hawke – Boyhood (WL D) (PP N) (TB D) (TL N)
Edward Norton – Birdman (WL N) (PP S) (TB N) (TL S)
Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher (WL C/N) (PP O/D) (TB O) (TL O)
J.K. Simmons – Whiplash (WL N) (PP N) (TB N) (TL C)

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood (WL N) (PP S) (TB S) (TL C)
Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game (WL S) (PP S) (TB S) (TL N)
Emma Stone – Birdman (WL C) (PP O/N) (TB D) (TL N)
Meryl Streep – Into the Woods (WL O) (TB N) (TL N)
Laura Dern – Wild

Best Original Screenplay

Birdman (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Boyhood (WL S) (PP S) (TB S) (TL O)
The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL O/D) (PP D) (TB O) (TL D)
Nightcrawler (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL D)
Foxcatcher

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Sniper (WL F) [New] (TB F) [New]
The Imitation Game (WL N) (PP O/N) (TB N) (TL N)
The Theory of Everything (WL N) (PP O)(TL N)
Whiplash (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Inherent Vice

Best Original Score

The Grand Budapest Hotel (O) (PP O)
The Imitation Game (F) [New] (TB O) (TL O)
Interstellar (PP F) [New] (TB O) (TL O)
The Theory of Everything (F) [New] (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Mr. Turner

Best Original Song

“Everything Is Awesome” – The Lego Movie (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
“Glory” – Selma (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You” – Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New]
“Grateful” – Beyond the Lights
“Lost Stars” – Begin Again

Best Editing

American Sniper (WL F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Boyhood (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
The Grand Budapest Hotel (PP F) [New]
The Imitation Game (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Whiplash

Best Cinematography

Birdman (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL D) (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Mr. Turner (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
Unbroken (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Ida

Best Production Design

The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
The Imitation Game (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Interstellar (PP F) [New]
Into the Woods (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Mr. Turner (WL F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]

Best Costume Design

The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Into the Woods (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Maleficent (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Mr. Turner (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New](TL F) [New]
Inherent Vice

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Foxcatcher (PP F) [New]
The Grand Budapest Hotel (WL F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Guardians of the Galaxy (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]

Best Sound Mixing

American Sniper (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New]
Interstellar (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New](TL F) [New]
Unbroken (PP F) [New](TL F) [New]
Birdman
Whiplash

Best Sound Editing

American Sniper (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Interstellar (WL F) [New](TL F) [New]
Birdman
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Unbroken

Best Visual Effects

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Guardians of the Galaxy (WL O) (PP N) (TB O) (TL O)
Interstellar (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
X-Men: Days of Future Past

Best Foreign Language Film

Ida – Poland (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Leviathan – Russia (WL O) (PP O)(TL O)
Tangerines – Estonia (TB O)
Timbuktu – Mauritania (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
Wild Tales – Argentina (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)

Best Documentary Feature

Citizenfour (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Finding Vivian Maier (WL F) [New]
The Last Days in Vietnam (TB F) [New]
The Salt of the Earth (TB F) [New]
Virunga (WL F) [New]

Best Documentary Short Subject

Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1 (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Joanna (WL F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL F) [New]
Our Curse (WL F) [New](TL F) [New]
The Reaper (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New]
White Earth (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New]