Sunday, the first television awards show of the season kicks off with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association hosting the biggest party of the year. Televised on NBC, the winners will have receive a tremendous bump going into Oscar nomination voting and could gain some traction towards a win. In this post is our list of predictions for this year’s winners along with runners-up. Introductions are included first, then after the break, we head into each category with more commentary from our contributors (where supplied).

GOLDEN GLOBE AWARDS

Introductions

Wesley Lovell: The Golden Globes could answer a lot of questions this year or they could utterly confuse things. We’ll see how things go.
Peter J. Patrick: No Introduction Provided.
Tripp Burton: No Introduction Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: This is always a difficult group to predict as so few people are actually voting. In some cases I think that star power might win out over talent, but they are getting better at not doing that over the years.

Best Picture, Drama

Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk (RU:Wesley)
The Post (Tripp, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
The Shape of Water (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Wesley Lovell: In the end, The Shape of Water has tons of nominations and feels like the right pick out of this group, though absolutely any of the other four could win.
Peter J. Patrick: The Post may be more topical with its obvious references to today’s White House vs. The Press shenanigans, but this past year was all about women reasserting themselves in the workplace which I think gives The Shape of Water the inside track here.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Right now I think the globe will go to the romantic The Shape of Water, though the timely Post might sneak in for a win.

Best Picture, Comedy/Musical

The Disaster Artist
Get Out (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
Lady Bird (Peter, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)

Wesley Lovell: While it was shoehorned into comedy, those extra drama elements will likely help Get Out over the top. Lady Bird could also win, as could a surprise victory by The Greatest Showman simply because of its major excess.
Peter J. Patrick: Get Out was lots of fun despite protests to the contrary, not a scary horror movie at all, but Lady Bird is an even more unique film – a coming-of-age story about a young woman that we haven’t seen since maybe Anne of Green Gables. It won’t be ignored.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Lady Bird has been the best reviewed film ever on Rotten Tomatoes, and I think that love for it will propel it to a win.

Best Picture, Animated

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner (RU:Thomas)
Coco (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Ferdinand (RU:Tripp)
Loving Vincent (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)

Wesley Lovell: Coco is a big hit and I can’t really see it losing, but if it does, it will be to either of the two indie animations, The Breadwinner or Loving Vincent.
Peter J. Patrick: The hand-painted Loving Vincent is certainly the year’s most beautiful animated film, but the heart-tugging Coco is the more conventional choice and will probably take it easily.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Coco remains the film to beat, and I don’t think any of these will do that.

Best Director

Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk (Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Ridley Scott – All the Money in the World
Steven Spielberg – The Post

Wesley Lovell: Give it to the guy with the most nominations and the most awards. Nolan could also win, but I think del Toro has the edge.
Peter J. Patrick: Nolan’s massive achievement with Dunkirk was mostly on the technical side, but del Toro touches all the emotional bases with The Shape of Water, his most accessible film in over a decade. He’s got it.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: I think del Toro will just beat Nolan, but I would not be surprised if it goes the other way.

Best Actor, Drama

Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name (Peter, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks – The Post (RU:Tripp)
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Peter)
Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Wesley Lovell: Gary Oldman is a major star and has been for decades with little recognition. Timothée Chalamet is a hot newcomer with lots of credible work this year. The battle between the two is likely to end with the veteran triumphing.
Peter J. Patrick: I know Oldman’s portrayal of Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour is the predicted favorite despite the actor’s past bad-mouthing of the HFPA, but the Globes passed over John Lithgow’s superior Churchill in The Crown last year, so I do think he’s vulnerable, giving critics’ favorite Chalamet a better shot at winning for Call Me by Your Name.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: The old pro Oldman probably will beat out the young newcomer Chalamet.

Best Actress, Drama

Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter)
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Meryl Streep – The Post (RU:Tripp)
Michelle Williams – All the Money in the World

Wesley Lovell: While Meryl Streep is a major star, I suspect that she, Chastain, and Williams will all come in distant behind Sally Hawkins and Frances McDormand. I’m leaning towards Hawkins as the frontrunner, but I could see McDormand winning as well.
Peter J. Patrick: McDormand is overdue for a Globe, which gives her vengeful mother in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri the edge over Sally Hawkins’ mute cleaning lady in The Shape of Water.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: This is a tight race between the two frontrunners. Even though she is handicapped by playing a mute, I will give the edge to Hawkins over McDormand.

Best Actor, Comedy/Musical

Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Ansel Elgort – Baby Driver
James Franco – The Disaster Artist (Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman (Wesley)
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: This ultimately comes down to the most honored actor of this group this season, James Franco, or the star of the breakout hit of the year, Daniel Kaluuya, or the actor in the major starring role in a music whom everyone loves, Hugh Jackman. I gave the nod to Jackman, but either of the other two are possible.
Peter J. Patrick: This one could be a toss-up between Franco and Kaluuya, but I have a feeling they’ll go with the more established Franco for the cult favorite The Disaster Artist over Kaluuya for the feel-good horror film, Get Out, in which he is basically the straight man to the comedians.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: The Globes like a star, and Franco has a big name. The little known Kaluuya or the well loved Jackman could edge him out, but it probably will be Franco.

Best Actress, Comedy/Musical

Judi Dench – Victoria & Abdul
Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird (Peter, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes

Wesley Lovell: While Lady Bird is well regarded, in terms of acting powerhouses, Margot Robbie’s more forceful performance would be more in line with this group’s way of thinking than the more subdued Saoirse Ronan. Plus, Robbie is falls into that other tacky Globe tradition: sexy young actress.
Peter J. Patrick: Ronan has this one in the bag with her delightful interpretation of self-named Lady Bird. The only question is will the win make her the Oscar frontrunner or will it be her and my predicted drama winner, McDormand, to the finish line?
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: The love for Lady Bird should carry over and take Ronan to a win, but it will be close with Robbie prepared for an upset.

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project (Peter, RU:Tripp)
Armie Hammer – Call Me by Your Name (RU:Wesley)
Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World (Tripp, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Wesley, Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: While I would pick the legend in this group, picking between Plummer and Dafoe might be a challenge and since this group didn’t seem to love The Florida Project, I wonder if the season’s other major player, Sam Rockwell, could win out. Of course, I also wouldn’t be surprised if any of the others one, especially Armie Hammer.
Peter J. Patrick: The Globes like to pull a surprise or two, and an award for Plummer’s yeoman catch-up work in All the Money in the World might be the place to do it, but I think they’ll fall in line with awards circuit frontrunner Dafoe for The Florida Project.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Rockwell has had the best year of his career, and that should include a win here.

Best Supporting Actress

Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Hong Chau – Downsizing
Allison Janney – I, Tonya (Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water

Wesley Lovell: While I would go with the international choice with this group (Hong Chau), I think she’s an also-ran and the season’s two primary competitors, Allison Janney and Laurie Metcalf, are likely to duke it out with season-favorite Metcalf coming out on top.
Peter J. Patrick: It looks to me like a replay of last June’s Tony Awards in which TV veteran Metcalf took the Tony over fellow TV veteran Janney. Metcalf’s recognizably human mother in Lady Bird is much more satisfying than Janney’s monster mother from hell in I, Tonya.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Once again the love for Lady Bird should help Metcalf to win a Globe to go with the Tony she won last year.

Best Screenplay

Lady Bird (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Molly’s Game
The Post
The Shape of Water (Wesley)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: I’m going out on a limb here for a film that hasn’t been picking up a lot of screenwriting awards. If the film sweeps as I expect it to, having this trophy carry over would be a feather in the cap, but without Get Out in the mix, Lady Bird or Three Billboards could also contend.
Peter J. Patrick: The complexities of Billboards’ screenplay should take this one over the deft writing of Lady Bird, but I wouldn’t rule out an upset.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: All of these are pretty well written, though I give the edge to Lady Bird, the sweetest of the nominees.

Best Original Score

Dunkirk (Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Phantom Thread (RU:Tripp)
The Post
The Shape of Water (Wesley, Peter, Thomas)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Wesley Lovell: I’m really torn on this category, but the fantastical elements of The Shape of Water might be more in line with this group’s tastes than the more straight forward Dunkirk.
Peter J. Patrick: I’m going by my own taste here. I personally like Alexandre Desplat’s score for The Shape of Water more than Hans Zimmer’s score for Dunkirk.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: The more romantic score from The Shape of Water will best the pulsing work of Dunkirk.

Best Song

Home – Ferdinand
Mighty River – Mudbound
Remember Me – Coco (Peter, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
The Star – The Star (RU:Tripp)
This Is Me – The Greatest Showman (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: While I want to say “Remember Me” is a sure thing, this group loves its bombast and “This Is Me” is certainly bombastic. They also love their stars, so The Star could triumph as well.
Peter J. Patrick: The haunting “Remember Me” from Coco should be an easy winner here, with “This Is Me” from The Greatest Showman a distant second.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: Remember Me is in a popular film, and used well in it. It will win.

Best Foreign Language Film

A Fantastic Woman (RU:Tripp)
First They Killed My Father (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)
In the Fade (RU:Peter)
Loveless (RU:Wesley)
The Square (Peter, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: My inclination is that the love for Angelina Jolie will spread to this film itself. As for a runner-up, I’m really not certain as The Square would be too quirky and A Fantastic Woman just doesn’t seem like this group’s cup of tea. I think either In the Fade or Loveless could play spoiler.
Peter J. Patrick: With so many otherwise heavy dramas to choose from, it looks like the satirical Swedish drama The Square will be an easy winner here.
Tripp Burton: No Commentary Provided.
Thomas LaTourette: I don’t know if Angelina Jolie’s star power will push her film into the winner’s circle, but I won’t bet against it. If it doesn’t win, then look for either The Square or A Fantastic Woman to sneak in.