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As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

Some major groups announced awards this past week including the Producers Guild, Screen Actors Guild, and Annie Awards. With a handful of other groups as well, we got a lot of instructions about what is likely to happen on Oscar night.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 14 (TUE-MON)

Thursday, Mar. 2 – Academy Awards Voting Begins (Official)
Friday, Mar. 3 – Satellites (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Mar. 4 – Audio Society (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Mar. 4 – Spirit Awards (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Mar. 4 – USC Scripter (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Mar. 5 – Cinema Editors (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Mar. 5 – Cinematographers (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Mar. 5 – Writers Guild (Awards) (Official)
Sunday, Mar. 5 – Online Film & TV Association (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Mar. 6 – Toronto Critics – Canadian Film (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners


Everything Everywhere All at Once was the big winner this week once again with its wins at the Producers Guild and Screen Actors Guild. It’s becoming a steamrolling behemoth that might not be undone this late in the game.
Gullermo del Toro’s Pinocchio also had a solid performance with wins at the Producers Guild and Annie Awards.
Navalny won at the Producers guild which, when combined with the BAFTA win, suggests it may be the film to beat at the Oscars.

Big Losers

Angela Bassett had a setback at BAFTA, but she also had one at the Screen Actors Guild where she lost to Jamie Lee Curtis. One veteran replaces the other. That’s two high profile losses suggesting that her Golden Globe and Critics Choice wins may have been outliers.
Austin Butler needed a win at SAG to build on his BAFTA win towards an inevitable Oscar win. That doesn’t mean he won’t win, but the competition is now between Butler and Brendan Fraser rather than Fraser and Colin Farrell as we originally thought.
The Banshees of Inisherin has had a rough season. Although it’s done well in some places, at the big awards, it seems to be underperforming. The BAFTA wins notwithstanding, the shut-out at the SAG awards has almost doomed the film.

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