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Although it didn’t even get nominated for Best Picture, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 is the big winner here. No other film got two or more nominations save Harry. And apart from the wins by The Artist, Moneyball and Hugo, most of the rest of the choices were fairly eclectic covering a wide range of film styles. Other than Animated Feature, though, their winners seldom have a chance at Oscar glory and even this year I don’t think Arthur Christmas can triumph over others in the running. Picture, Animated Feature and Director winners have a 5-for-5 correlation to their corresponding Oscar categories in terms of nominations, though I think their Director choice is going to miss out in the end. Actress, Cinematography and Documentary Feature winners are also likely Oscar nominees at a four out of five ratio.

In addition to the nominees and/or winners listed below, this year, we’re giving you a quick background on each individual precursor including founding year, first awards year and a glimpse at how many predictions the group has gotten right in the last five years. This data can be found below.

Nomination Tallies

(2) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

The Nominations

Best Picture

The Artist

Best Animated Film

Arthur Christmas

Best Director

Nicolas Winding Refn – Drive

Best Actor

Michael Shannon – Take Shelter

Best Actress

Brit Marling – Another Earth

Best Supporting Actor

Nick Nolte – Warrior

Best Supporting Actress

Shailene Woodley – The Descendants

Best Original Screenplay

Midnight in Paris

Best Adapted Screenplay

Moneyball

Best Score

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

Best Editing

Beginners

Best Cinematography

The Tree of Life

Best Production Design

Hugo

Best Foreign Film

Le Quattro Volte

Best Documentary

Project Nim

Best Ensemble Performance

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

Body of Work for 2011

Jessica Chastain

San Diego Film Critics Society Data

First Awards: 1996 (16)

Precursor Accuracy

KEY:

  • Winner won the corresponding Oscar
  • Winner was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
  • Winner was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
  • Total (2010-2009-2008-2007-2006)

Picture: 2 (0-0-1-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / X (0-0-0-0-0) I
Animated Feature: 4 (1-1-1-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / X (0-0-0-0-0) I
Director: 1 (0-0-1-0-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / X (0-0-0-0-0) I
Actor: 1 (0-0-0-1-0) W / 3 (0-1-1-1-0) N / 2 (1-0-0-0-1) I
Actress: 2 (0-0-1-0-1) W / 4 (1-0-1-1-1) N / 1 (0-1-0-0-0) I
Supporting Actor: 2 (0-1-1-0-0) W / 3 (1-1-1-0-0) N / 2 (0-0-0-1-1) I
Supporting Actress: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 2 (0-0-1-1-0) N / 3 (1-1-0-0-1) I
Original Screenplay: 1 (0-0-0-1-0) W / 2 (0-1-0-1-0) N / 3 (1-0-1-0-1) I
Adapted Screenplay: 2 (1-0-1-0-0) W / 3 (1-0-1-1-0) N / 2 (0-1-0-0-1) I
Original Score: 2 (0-0-1-0-1) W / 2 (0-0-1-0-1) N / 3 (1-1-0-1-0) I
Editing: 1 (0-0-1-0-0) W / 2 (0-0-1-0-1) N / 3 (1-1-0-1-0) I
Cinematography: 2 (1-0-1-0-0) W / 4 (1-0-1-1-1) N / 1 (0-1-0-0-0) I
Art Direction: 2 (0-0-1-1-0) W / 2 (0-0-1-1-0) N / 3 (1-1-0-0-1) I
Foreign Language Film: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) N / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) I
Documentary Feature: 2 (0-1-1-0-0) W / 4 (1-1-1-1-0) N / 2 (0-0-0-1-1) I

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