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Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Sound, Visual Effects.

The Fabelmans (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Directing, Actress (Michelle Williams), Supporting Actor (Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Sound, Visual Effects.

The Son (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Actor (Hugh Jackman), Supporting Actor (Anthony Hopkins), Original Screenplay.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 10-12, 2017

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th) – $1,460,463 ($88,051,760 total) {week 6}
  2. Lady Bird (2017, 90th) – $1,199,748 ($1,731,828 total) {week 2}
  3. Loving Vincent (2017, 90th) – $975,744 ($3,418,874 total) {week 8}
  4. Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th) – $677,906 ($21,140,610 total) {week 8}
  5. The Florida Project (2017, 90th) – $540,507 ($3,800,385 total) {week 6}
  6. Marshall (2017, 90th) – $412,217 ($8,456,575 total) {week 5}
  7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017, 90th) – $322,168 ($322,168 total) {week 1}
  8. The Square (2017, 90th) – $152,055 ($443,138 total) {week 3}
  9. Dunkirk (2017, 90th) – $72,401 ($188,020,880 total) {week 17}
  10. Faces Places (2017, 90th) – $32,207 ($423,588 total) {week 6}
  11. War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th) – $16,096 ($146,859,807 total) {week 18}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th) – $1,558,153 ($93,941,510 total)
  2. Lady Bird (2017, 90th) – $1,279,999 ($1,847,669 total)
  3. Loving Vincent (2017, 90th) – $1,041,011 ($3,647,561 total)
  4. Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th) – $723,251 ($22,554,698 total)
  5. The Florida Project (2017, 90th) – $576,661 ($4,054,591 total)
  6. Marshall (2017, 90th) – $439,790 ($9,022,232 total)
  7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017, 90th) – $343,718 ($343,718 total)
  8. The Square (2017, 90th) – $162,226 ($472,779 total)
  9. Dunkirk (2017, 90th) – $77,244 ($200,597,527 total)
  10. Faces Places (2017, 90th) – $34,361 ($451,922 total)
  11. War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th) – $17,173 ($156,683,205 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th): Cinematography [O], Production Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects [O]
  • Dunkirk (2017, 90th): Picture, Directing, Original Score, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Production Design, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Film Editing [O]
  • Faces Places (2017, 90th): Documentary Feature
  • The Florida Project (2017, 90th): Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe)
  • Lady Bird (2017, 90th): Picture, Directing, Actress (Saoirse Ronan), Supporting Actress (Laurie Metcalf), Original Screenplay
  • Loving Vincent (2017, 90th): Animated Feature
  • Marshall (2017, 90th): Original Song (“Stand Up for Something”)
  • The Square (2017, 90th): Foreign Language Film
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017, 90th): Picture, Actress (Frances McDormand) [O], Supporting Actor (Woody Harrelson), Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing
  • Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th): Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling
  • War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th): Visual Effects

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 9-11, 2012

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Skyfall (2012, 85th) – $88,364,714 ($90,564,714 total) {week 1}
  2. Wreck-It Ralph (2012, 85th) – $33,012,796 ($93,647,405 total) {week 2}
  3. Flight (2012, 85th) – $14,785,097 ($47,455,396 total) {week 2}
  4. Argo (2012, 85th) – $6,617,229 ($85,583,187 total) {week 5}
  5. Lincoln (2012, 85th) – $944,308 ($944,308 total) {week 1}
  6. The Sessions (2012, 85th) – $545,550 ($1,655,222 total) {week 4}
  7. Brave (2012, 85th) – $303,009 ($236,276,536 total) {week 21}
  8. Frankenweenie (2012, 85th) – $266,872 ($33,821,472 total) {week 6}
  9. ParaNorman (2012, 85th) – $163,086 ($55,458,403 total) {week 13}
  10. The Master (2012, 85th) – $103,425 ($15,688,483 total) {week 9}
  11. Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th) – $103,223 ($2,560,198 total) {week 16}
  12. A Royal Affair (2012, 85th) – $38,212 ($38,212 total) {week 1}
  13. Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th) – $10,205 ($11,240,985 total) {week 20}
  14. How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th) – $741 ($122,665 total) {week 8}
  15. 5 Broken Cameras (2012, 85th) – $141 ($73,961 total) {week 24}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Skyfall (2012, 85th) – $106,237,477 ($108,882,451 total)
  2. Wreck-It Ralph (2012, 85th) – $39,690,007 ($112,588,651 total)
  3. Flight (2012, 85th) – $17,775,550 ($57,053,786 total)
  4. Argo (2012, 85th) – $7,955,638 ($102,893,354 total)
  5. Lincoln (2012, 85th) – $1,135,305 ($1,135,305 total)
  6. The Sessions (2012, 85th) – $655,894 ($1,990,009 total)
  7. Brave (2012, 85th) – $364,296 ($284,066,137 total)
  8. Frankenweenie (2012, 85th) – $320,850 ($40,662,247 total)
  9. ParaNorman (2012, 85th) – $196,072 ($66,675,492 total)
  10. The Master (2012, 85th) – $124,344 ($18,861,656 total)
  11. Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th) – $124,101 ($3,078,027 total)
  12. A Royal Affair (2012, 85th) – $45,941 ($45,941 total)
  13. Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th) – $12,269 ($13,514,601 total)
  14. How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th) – $891 ($147,475 total)
  15. 5 Broken Cameras (2012, 85th) – $170 ($88,920 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 5 Broken Cameras (2012, 85th): Documentary Feature
  • Argo (2012, 85th): Picture [O], Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin), Adapted Screenlay [O], Original Score, Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th): Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
  • Brave (2012, 85th): Animated Feature [O]
  • Flight (2012, 85th): Actor (Denzel Washington), Original Screenplay
  • Frankenweenie (2012, 85th): Animated Feature
  • How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th): Documentary Feature
  • Lincoln (2012, 85th): Picture, Directing, Actor (Daniel Day-Lewis) [O], Supporting Actor (Tommy Lee Jones), Supporting Actress (Sally Field), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design [O], Costume Design, Sound Mixing
  • The Master (2012, 85th): Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
  • ParaNorman (2012, 85th): Animated Feature
  • A Royal Affair (2012, 85th): Foreign Language Film
  • Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th): Documentary Feature [O]
  • The Sessions (2012, 85th): Actress (Helen Hunt)
  • Skyfall (2012, 85th): Original Song (“Skyfall”) [O], Original Score, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing [O]
  • Wreck-It Ralph (2012, 85th): Animated Feature

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 9-11, 2007

Weekend Box Office:

  1. American Gangster (2007, 80th) – $24,028,445 ($80,388,420 total) {week 2}
  2. Michael Clayton (2007, 80th) – $1,697,456 ($35,631,903 total) {week 6}
  3. Gone Baby Gone (2007, 80th) – $1,444,394 ($17,044,169 total) {week 4}
  4. No Country for Old Men (2007, 80th) – $1,226,333 ($1,226,333 total) {week 1}
  5. Into the Wild (2007, 80th) – $1,105,004 ($12,548,052 total) {week 8}
  6. Across the Universe (2007, 80th) – $901,303 ($22,404,372 total) {week 9}
  7. Lars and the Real Girl (2007, 80th) – $702,550 ($3,372,897 total) {week 5}
  8. Elizabeth: The Golden Age (2007, 80th) – $298,700 ($15,880,245 total) {week 5}
  9. Ratatouille (2007, 80th) – $219,129 ($205,917,649 total) {week 20}
  10. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th) – $151,441 ($3,556,821 total) {week 8}
  11. 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th) – $78,726 ($53,574,088 total) {week 10}
  12. War/Dance (2007, 80th) – $15,471 ($15,471 total) {week 1}
  13. Once (2007, 80th) – $12,513 ($9,396,779 total) {week 26}
  14. In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th) – $8,290 ($6,723,264 total) {week 9}
  15. The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th) – $172,550 ($227,015,425 total) {week 15}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. American Gangster (2007, 80th) – $33,423,288 ($111,819,357 total)
  2. Michael Clayton (2007, 80th) – $2,361,142 ($49,563,563 total)
  3. Gone Baby Gone (2007, 80th) – $2,009,135 ($23,708,241 total)
  4. No Country for Old Men (2007, 80th) – $1,705,815 ($1,705,815 total)
  5. Into the Wild (2007, 80th) – $1,537,048 ($17,454,194 total)
  6. Across the Universe (2007, 80th) – $1,253,702 ($31,164,221 total)
  7. Lars and the Real Girl (2007, 80th) – $977,239 ($4,691,661 total)
  8. Elizabeth: The Golden Age (2007, 80th) – $415,488 ($22,089,236 total)
  9. Ratatouille (2007, 80th) – $304,806 ($286,429,055 total)
  10. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th) – $210,653 ($4,947,497 total)
  11. 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th) – $109,507 ($74,520,933 total)
  12. War/Dance (2007, 80th) – $21,520 ($21,520 total)
  13. Once (2007, 80th) – $17,405 ($13,070,810 total)
  14. In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th) – $11,531 ($9,351,982 total)
  15. The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th) – $240,015 ($315,775,816 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th): Original Score, Sound Mixing
  • Across the Universe (2007, 80th): Costume Design
  • American Gangster (2007, 80th): Supporting Actress (Ruby Dee), Art Direction
  • The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th): Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Cinematography
  • The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th): Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O], Sound Film Editing [O]
  • Elizabeth: The Golden Age (2007, 80th): Actress (Cate Blanchett), Costume Design [O]
  • Gone Baby Gone (2007, 80th): Supporting Actress (Amy Ryan)
  • In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th): Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)
  • Into the Wild (2007, 80th): Supporting Actor (Hal Holbrook), Film Editing
  • Lars and the Real Girl (2007, 80th): Original Screenplay
  • Michael Clayton (2007, 80th): Picture, Director, Actor (George Clooney), Supporting Actor (Tom Wilkinson), Supporting Actress (Tilda Swinton) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score
  • No Country for Old Men (2007, 80th): Picture [O], Director [O], Supporting Actor (Javier Bardem) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
  • Once (2007, 80th): Original Song [O]
  • Ratatouille (2007, 80th): Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
  • War/Dance (2007, 80th): Documentary Feature

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 8-10, 2002

Weekend Box Office:

  1. 8 Mile (2002, 75th) – $51,240,555 ($51,240,555 total) {week 1}
  2. My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th) – $5,854,005 ($192,857,165 total) {week 30}
  3. Frida (2002, 75th) – $2,754,118 ($4,506,816 total) {week 3}
  4. Bowling for Columbine (2002, 75th) – $1,559,426 ($6,783,493 total) {week 5}
  5. Spirited Away (2002, 75th) – $269,983 ($4,787,610 total) {week 8}
  6. Far From Heaven (2002, 75th) – $211,279 ($211,279 total) {week 1}
  7. Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th) – $198,591 ($145,434,644 total) {week 21}
  8. Promises (2001, 74th) – $302 ($223,285 total) {week 35}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. 8 Mile (2002, 75th) – $84,401,396 ($84,401,396 total)
  2. My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th) – $9,642,483 ($317,666,621 total)
  3. Frida (2002, 75th) – $4,536,473 ($7,423,447 total)
  4. Bowling for Columbine (2002, 75th) – $2,568,624 ($11,173,499 total)
  5. Spirited Away (2002, 75th) – $444,705 ($7,885,960 total)
  6. Far From Heaven (2002, 75th) – $348,010 ($348,010 total)
  7. Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th) – $327,111 ($239,554,138 total)
  8. Promises (2001, 74th) – $497 ($367,786 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 8 Mile (2002, 75th): Original Song (“Lose Yourself”) [O]
  • Bowling for Columbine (2002, 75th): Documentary Feature [O]
  • Far From Heaven (2002, 75th): Actress (Julianne Moore), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Cinematography
  • Frida (2002, 75th): Actress, Original Score [O], Original Song (“Burn It Blue”), Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup [O]
  • Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th): Animated Feature
  • My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th): Original Screenplay
  • Promises (2001, 74th): Documentary Feature
  • Spirited Away (2002, 75th): Animated Feature [O]

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 7-9, 1997

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Starship Troopers (1997, 70th) – $22,058,773 ($22,058,773 total) {week 1}
  2. Boogie Nights (1997, 70th) – $3,940,924 ($14,550,063 total) {week 5}
  3. Gattaca (1997, 70th) – $1,380,024 ($10,558,312 total) {week 3}
  4. The Full Monty (1997, 70th) – $1,295,595 ($28,475,102 total) {week 13}
  5. In & Out (1997, 70th) – $1,107,728 ($60,765,222 total) {week 8}
  6. Air Force One (1997, 70th) – $252,630 ($171,013,550 total) {week 16}
  7. Men in Black (1997, 70th) – $252,630 ($245,419,734 total) {week 19}
  8. The Wings of the Dove (1997, 70th) – $183,610 ($183,610 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Starship Troopers (1997, 70th) – $45,991,821 ($45,991,821 total)
  2. Boogie Nights (1997, 70th) – $8,216,698 ($30,336,406 total)
  3. Gattaca (1997, 70th) – $2,877,305 ($22,013,735 total)
  4. The Full Monty (1997, 70th) – $2,701,273 ($59,369,657 total)
  5. In & Out (1997, 70th) – $2,309,577 ($126,693,502 total)
  6. Air Force One (1997, 70th) – $526,725 ($356,557,663 total)
  7. Men in Black (1997, 70th) – $526,725 ($511,692,125 total)
  8. The Wings of the Dove (1997, 70th) – $382,821 ($382,821 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Air Force One (1997, 70th): Film Editing, Sound
  • Boogie Nights (1997, 70th): Supporting Actor (Burt Reynolds), Supporting Actress (Julianne Moore), Original Screenplay
  • The Full Monty (1997, 70th): Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score [O]
  • Gattaca (1997, 70th): Art Direction
  • In & Out (1997, 70th): Supporting Actress (Joan Cusack)
  • Men in Black (1997, 70th): Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]
  • Starship Troopers (1997, 70th): Visual Effects
  • The Wings of the Dove (1997, 70th): Actress (Helena Bonham Carter), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume Design

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 6-8, 1992

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Under Siege (1992, 65th) – $5,682,925 ($59,492,365 total) {week 5}
  2. A River Runs Through It (1992, 65th) – $5,044,540 ($14,085,043 total) {week 5}
  3. The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th) – $3,451,025 ($59,282,089 total) {week 7}
  4. The Lover (1992, 65th) – $164,893 ($442,353 total) {week 1}
  5. Unforgiven (1992, 65th) – $81,826 ($74,550,303 total) {week 14}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Under Siege (1992, 65th) – $13,104,962 ($137,190,827 total)
  2. A River Runs Through It (1992, 65th) – $11,632,831 ($32,480,449 total)
  3. The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th) – $7,958,147 ($136,705,926 total)
  4. The Lover (1992, 65th) – $380,247 ($1,020,077 total)
  5. Unforgiven (1992, 65th) – $188,693 ($171,914,795 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th): Sound [O]
  • The Lover (1992, 65th): Cinematography
  • A River Runs Through It (1992, 65th): Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Cinematography [O]
  • Under Siege (1992, 65th): Sound, Sound Effects
  • Unforgiven (1992, 65th): Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 6-8, 1987

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th) – $7,089,680 ($85,704,764 total) {week 8}
  2. The Princess Bride (1987, 60th) – $1,914,379 ($18,931,395 total) {week 7}
  3. Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th) – $1,704,920 ($41,469,209 total) {week 12}
  4. Cry Freedom (1987, 60th) – $318,723 ($318,723 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th) – $17,352,490 ($209,768,438 total)
  2. The Princess Bride (1987, 60th) – $4,685,577 ($46,335,921 total)
  3. Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th) – $4,172,912 ($101,498,806 total)
  4. Cry Freedom (1987, 60th) – $780,097 ($780,097 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Cry Freedom (1987, 60th): Supporting Actor (Denzel Washington), Original Song (“Cry Freedom”), Original Score
  • Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th): Original Song (“(I’ve Had) The Time of My Life”) [O]
  • Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th): Picture, Director, Actress (Glenn Close), Supporting Actress (Anne Archer), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing
  • The Princess Bride (1987, 60th): Original Song (“Storybook Love”)

40 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 5-7, 1982

Weekend Box Office:

  1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th) – $3,046,692 ($282,598,650 total) {week 22}
  2. An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th) – $2,910,728 ($87,056,969 total) {week 15}
  3. My Favorite Year (1982, 55th) – $1,434,011 ($11,659,508 total) {week 5}
  4. Poltergeist (1982, 55th) – $385,617 ($73,485,501 total) {week 23}
  5. Rocky III (1982, 55th) – $201,677 ($118,641,395 total) {week 24}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th) – $9,917,293 ($919,887,442 total)
  2. An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th) – $9,474,717 ($283,379,317 total)
  3. My Favorite Year (1982, 55th) – $4,667,852 ($37,952,888 total)
  4. Poltergeist (1982, 55th) – $1,255,223 ($239,202,804 total)
  5. Rocky III (1982, 55th) – $656,479 ($386,189,847 total)

Oscar Details:

  • E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th): Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • My Favorite Year (1982, 55th): Actor (Peter O’Toole)
  • An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th): Actress (Debra Winger), Supporting Actor (Louis Gossett Jr.) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Up Where We Belong”) [O], Original Score, Film Editing
  • Poltergeist (1982, 55th): Original Score, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects
  • Rocky III (1982, 55th): Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)

45 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 11-13, 1977

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Star Wars (1977, 50th) – $2,269,052 ($184,397,772 total) {week 25}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Star Wars (1977, 50th) – $9,737,591 ($791,339,318 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Star Wars (1977, 50th): Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Alec Guinness), Orginal Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Sound [O], Visual Effects [O], Special Achievement Award (Sound Effects) [O]

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