The Toronto critics have proclaimed their best of the year without a single film really emerging as a surprise. This group is not good at predicting with Animated Feature and Supporting Actor each earning three prizes in the last five years. Though, they are better at getting nominees with Animated Feature (The Adventures of Tintin), Actress (Michelle Williams), Supporting Actress (Jessica Chastain) and Screenplay (Moneyball) picking up every nomination in the last five years. Of those picks, the one who needs to be most excited about this outcome is Jessica Chastain whose work has yet to find a common film to rally around.

In addition to the nominees and/or winners listed below, this year, we’re giving you a quick background on each individual precursor including founding year, first awards year and a glimpse at how many predictions the group has gotten right in the last five years. This data can be found below.

Nomination Tallies

(2) Take Shelter / The Tree of Life

The Nominations

Best Picture

The Tree of Life (RU: The Artist / The Descendants)

Best Animated Film

The Adventures of Tintin (RU: Puss in Boots / Rango)

Best Director

Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life (RU: Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist / Nicolas Winding Refn – Drive)

Best Actor

Michael Shannon – Take Shelter (RU: George Clooney – The Descendants / Michael Fassbender – Shame)

Best Actress

Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn (RU: Elizabeth Olsen – Martha Marcy May Marlene / Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady)

Best Supporting Actor

Christopher Plummer – Beginners (RU: Albert Brooks – Drive / Patton Oswalt – Young Adult)

Best Supporting Actress

Jessica Chastain – Take Shelter (RU: Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life / Shailene Woodley – The Descendants)

Best Screenplay

Moneyball (RU: The Descendants / The Tree of Life)

Best Foreign Film

Mysteries of Lisbon (RU: Attenberg / Le Havre / A Separation)

Best Documentary

Nostalgia for Light (RU: Into the Abyss / Project Nim)

Best First Feature

Attack the Block (RU: Margin Call / Martha Marcy May Marlene)

Best Canadian Film

NOMINEES:
Cafe de Flore
A Dangerous Method
Monsieur Lazhar

Toronto Film Critics Association Data

Year Founded: 1997
First Awards: 1997 (15)

Precursor Accuracy

KEY:

• Winner won the corresponding Oscar
• Winner was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
• Winner was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
• Total (2010-2009-2008-2007-2006)

Picture: 1 (0-0-0-1-0) W / 2 (1-1-0-1-1) N / 2 (0-1-1-0-0) I
Animated Feature: 3 (0-0-1-1-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Director: 2 (0-1-0-1-0) W / 4 (1-1-0-1-1) N / 2 (0-0-1-0-1) I
Actor: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 3 (1-0-1-1-0) N / 2 (0-1-0-0-1) I
Actress: 1 (0-0-0-0-1) W / 5 (1-1-0-2-1) N / 1 (0-0-1-0-0) I
Supporting Actor: 3 (0-1-1-1-0) W / 3 (0-1-1-1-0) N / 2 (1-0-0-0-1) I
Supporting Actress: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Original/Adapted Screenplay: 2 (1-0-0-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Foreign Language Film: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 1 (0-1-0-0-0) N / 4 (1-0-1-1-1) I
Documentary Feature: 2 (0-1-1-0-0) W / 4 (1-1-1-1-0) N / 1 (0-0-0-0-1) I