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For being one of the youngest film critics groups acting as Oscar precursors, St. Louis does a fairly solid job making nomination predictions. Consider this: six categories have seen every winner also take an Oscar nomination (Picture, Animated Feature, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress). And while they aren’t as astute with Oscar winner predictions, three categories have four-for-five correlations (Animated Feature, Director and Actor). This is decent news for a lot of Oscar contenders.

In addition to the nominees and/or winners listed below, this year, we’re giving you a quick background on each individual precursor including founding year, first awards year and a glimpse at how many predictions the group has gotten right in the last five years. This data can be found below.

Award Tallies

(4) The Artist
(2) The Descendants / The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

The Awards

Best Film

The Artist (RU: The Descendants)

Best Animated Film

The Adventures of Tintin (RU: Rango)

Best Director

Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist (RU: Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life)

Best Actor

George Clooney – The Descendants (RU: Ryan Gosling – Drive)

Best Actress

Rooney Mara – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (RU: TIE: Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady / Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn)

Best Supporting Actor

Albert Brooks – Drive (RU: Alan Rickman – Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2)

Best Supporting Actress

Bérénice Bejo – The Artist (RU: TIE: Octavia Spencer – The Help / Shailene Woodley – The Descendants)

Best Original Screenplay

The Artist (RU: 50/50)

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Descendants (RU: Moneyball)

Best Music

The Artist (RU: Drive)

Best Cinematography

The Tree of Life (RU: TIE: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo / War Horse)

Best Visual Effects

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 (RU: Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Best Foreign-Language Film

13 Assassins (RU: Winter in Wartime)

Best Documentary

Being Elmo (RU: Tabloid)

Best Comedy

Bridesmaids (RU: Midnight In Paris)

Best Artistic/Creative Film

We Need To Talk About Kevin (RU: Win Win)

Best Scene

The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo – the opening credits (RU: The Artist – the dance scene finale)

St. Louis Film Critics Association Data

Year Founded: 2004
First Awards: 2006 (6)

Precursor Accuracy

KEY:

  • Winner won the corresponding Oscar
  • Winner was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
  • Winner was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
  • Total (2010-2009-2008-2007-2006)

Picture: 2 (0-0-0-1-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Animated Feature: 4 (1-1-1-1-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Director: 4 (0-1-1-1-1) W / 6 (1-2-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Actor: 4 (1-0-1-1-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Actress: 2 (1-0-0-0-1) W / 4 (1-1-0-1-1) N / 1 (0-0-1-0-0) I
Supporting Actor: 3 (1-1-1-0-0) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Supporting Actress: 3 (1-1-0-0-1) W / 5 (1-1-1-1-1) N / 0 (0-0-0-0-0) I
Original Screenplay: 1 (1-X) W / 1 (1-X) N / 0 (0-X) I
Adapted Screenplay: 1 (1-X) W / 1 (1-X) N / 0 (0-X) I
Original/Adapted Screenplay: 1 (X-0-0-1-0) W / 3 (X-0-1-1-1) N / 1 (X-1-0-0-0) I
Original Score: 1 (1-0-0-0-0) W / 2 (1-0-0-0-1) N / 3 (0-1-1-1-0) I
Cinematography: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 2 (1-0-0-1-0) N / 3 (0-1-1-0-1) I
Foreign Language Film: 0 (0-0-0-0-0) W / 1 (0-0-0-0-1) N / 4 (1-1-1-1-0) I
Documentary: 2 (0-0-1-0-1) W / 3 (0-0-1-1-1) N / 2 (1-1-0-0-0) I

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