The Producers Guild of America have announced their choices for the Best Pictures of 2009. Below are the lists:
The Nominees
Best Picture
Avatar
District 9
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
Star Trek
Up
Up in the Air
Animated Picture
9
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up
Documentary
Burma VJ
The Cove
Sergio
Soundtrack for a Revolution
Predictions
And here’s how your fearless Oscar prognosticators here did:
Peter Patrick, Tripp Burton and Wes Huizar got 8 each, Wesley Lovell got 7.
All of the films that were shared by the four made the cut. Peter and Wesley missed A Serious Man; Wesley and Wes missed Nine; Wesley and Tripp missed The Blind Side; Peter missed A Single Man; Tripp missed Where the Wild Things Are; and Wes missed (500) Days of Summer. No doubt all of our predictions will be changing after these announcements. We’ll let you know when they do.
5 responses to “Precursor: Producers Guild of America Nominations”
Peter J Patrick
I don’t see The Blind Side being nominated for anything except Best Actress. It’s basically a glorified TV movie with an old-fashioned star performance.
Statistically Producers Guild does not 100% guarentee the best picture candidates, however becoming the most evident indicator. Apart in avarage PGA gives a 80% success, which may say that “The Blind Side” & “A Serious Man” may be the 2 surprise nominees….
The PGA list could become Oscar’s, but the difference between this list and Oscar’s is that the PGA uses a weighted ballot system and Oscar uses a convoluted one where only one choice per ballot counts.
If your first Oscar pick gets enough votes for a nomination your ballot is set aside. If your pick doesn’t make it, it goes into a pile from which your second pick is counted and so on until they arrive at the magic ten.
In a weighted ballot system a film that is on a lot of lists but not at the top of any of them could conceivably be among the final ten but even if Nine is on a few lists it will not likely be anywhere close enough to matter.
Invictus and possibly Star Trek may have the same problem with Oscar. I’d say they are the most vulnerable at this point. The others on the PGA list all have passionate supporters and are films that are likely to be in first or second position on the majority of ballots. The problem, though, are there any other films that large groups of voters are passionate about at this point?
A Serious Man, Where the Wild Things Are and maybe The Messenger are just about all I can think of.
I’m so glad to see District 9 get nominated here. It’s been getting shafted by critics awards, so I’m glad to see it get some love. It deserves it. Also happy Star Trek got nominated. I don’t expect it to win at all, but considering how much of a critical and box office success the movie was, it really shouldn’t just be forgotten. I don’t think it will, or should, win, but a nomination is nice to see.
Up was nominated for both Best Picture AND Best Animated Picture, which makes me wonder what Oscar is going to do. Of course a complete correlation between the PGA and Oscars is more than unlikely, but the fact that Up got nominated here I think really raise its chances of becoming the second animated movie to get nominated for Best Picture.
I went out on the line to avoid Invictus and ended up wrong. However, this does seem to spell the end of dreams for Nine, which badly needed this award to carry forward. Though it’s not entirely dead, its chances are significantly unlikely.
As for the rest, I think District 9 and An Education got the biggest boosts here. An Education was released so long ago and did so poorly at the box office that most thought it might get swept under the rug, but with a group as large as the PGA nominating it, I can very much see the Academy following suit.
The same goes for District 9 which not many had taken seriously as an Oscar contender. I’m hopeful it will make the Oscar cut and this does give it a boost, but a 100% correlation between the PGA and the Oscars is rare…so, District 9 and/or Star Trek have to leave this line-up to mirror these awards and I hope for the latter.
The Producers Guild of America have announced their choices for the Best Pictures of 2009. Below are the lists:
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